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Parametric estimation for diffusion processes is considered for high frequency observations over a fixed time interval. The processes solve stochastic differential equations with an unknown parameter in the diffusion coefficient. We find…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-03 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen

We consider on-line density estimation with a parameterized density from the exponential family. The on-line algorithm receives one example at a time and maintains a parameter that is essentially an average of the past examples. After…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-01-30 Katy S. Azoury , Manfred K. Warmuth

Comparison of two univariate distributions based on independent samples from them is a fundamental problem in statistics, with applications in a wide variety of scientific disciplines. In many situations, we might hypothesize that the two…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-08 Ted Westling , Kevin J. Downes , Dylan S. Small

We describe $k$-MLE, a fast and efficient local search algorithm for learning finite statistical mixtures of exponential families such as Gaussian mixture models. Mixture models are traditionally learned using the expectation-maximization…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-11-15 Frank Nielsen

Gaussian mixture models are widely used to study clustering problems. These model-based clustering methods require an accurate estimation of the unknown data density by Gaussian mixtures. In Maugis and Michel (2009), a penalized maximum…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-19 Maugis Cathy , Michel Bertrand

The Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is an iterative method to maximize the log-likelihood function for parameter estimation. Previous works on the convergence analysis of the EM algorithm have established results on the asymptotic…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-05-31 Chong Wu , Can Yang , Hongyu Zhao , Ji Zhu

This paper concerns the nonparametric estimation problem of the distribution-state dependent drift vector field in an interacting $N$-particle system. Observing single-trajectory data for each particle, we derive the mean-field rate of…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-06-28 Rentian Yao , Xiaohui Chen , Yun Yang

A Maximum Likelihood recursive state estimator is derived for non-linear and non-Gaussian state-space models. The estimator combines a particle filter to generate the conditional density and the Expectation Maximization algorithm to compute…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-22 Mohammad S. Ramadan , Robert R. Bitmead

We often seek to estimate the impact of an exposure naturally occurring or randomly assigned at the cluster-level. For example, the literature on neighborhood determinants of health continues to grow. Likewise, community randomized trials…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-08 Laura B. Balzer , Wenjing Zheng , Mark J. van der Laan , Maya L. Petersen

Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is a statistical method used to estimate the parameters of a probability distribution that best explain the observed data. In the context of text generation, MLE is often used to train generative language…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-10-27 Chenze Shao , Zhengrui Ma , Min Zhang , Yang Feng

We study and compare three estimators of a discrete monotone distribution: (a) the (raw) empirical estimator; (b) the "method of rearrangements" estimator; and (c) the maximum likelihood estimator. We show that the maximum likelihood…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-10-20 Hanna K. Jankowski , Jon A. Wellner

A number of discrete time, finite population size models in genetics describing the dynamics of allele frequencies are known to converge (subject to suitable scaling) to a diffusion process in the infinite population limit, termed the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-09-14 Jaromir Sant , Paul A. Jenkins , Jere Koskela , Dario Spano

We explore the problems of classification of composite object (images, speech signals) with low number of models per class. We study the question of improving recognition performance for medium-sized database (thousands of classes). The key…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2017-09-19 Andrey Savchenko

In the modal approach to clustering, clusters are defined as the local maxima of the underlying probability density function, where the latter can be estimated either non-parametrically or using finite mixture models. Thus, clusters are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-30 Luca Scrucca

We consider the problem of recovering a distribution function on the real line from observations additively contaminated with errors following the standard Laplace distribution. Assuming that the latent distribution is completely unknown…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-21 Catia Scricciolo

We consider the problem of estimating functionals of discrete distributions, and focus on tight nonasymptotic analysis of the worst case squared error risk of widely used estimators. We apply concentration inequalities to analyze the random…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2017-08-11 Jiantao Jiao , Kartik Venkat , Yanjun Han , Tsachy Weissman

A comprehensive new approach is presented for deriving probability densities of physical properties characterizing lens or source that constitute an observed galactic microlensing event. While previously encountered problems are overcome,…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 M. Dominik

This work aims at making a comprehensive contribution in the general area of parametric inference for discretely observed diffusion processes. Established approaches for likelihood-based estimation invoke a time-discretisation scheme for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-30 Yuga Iguchi , Alexandros Beskos , Matthew M. Graham

We consider the Minimum Description Length principle for online sequence prediction. If the underlying model class is discrete, then the total expected square loss is a particularly interesting performance measure: (a) this quantity is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2007-07-16 Jan Poland , Marcus Hutter

For many diseases, logistic and other constraints often render large incidence studies difficult, if not impossible, to carry out. This becomes a drawback, particularly when a new incidence study is needed each time the disease incidence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-08-11 Vittorio Addona , Masoud Asgharian , David B. Wolfson