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In this work, the goal is to estimate the abundance of an animal population using data coming from capture-recapture surveys. We leverage the prior knowledge about the population's structure to specify a parsimonious finite mixture model…

In recent years, the shortcomings of Bayesian posteriors as inferential devices have received increased attention. A popular strategy for fixing them has been to instead target a Gibbs measure based on losses that connect a parameter of…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-24 David T. Frazier , Jeremias Knoblauch , Jack Jewson , Christopher Drovandi

Detection heterogeneity is inherent to ecological data, arising from factors such as varied terrain or weather conditions, inconsistent sampling effort, or heterogeneity of individuals themselves. Incorporating additional covariates into a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-08-27 Daniel Turek , Claudia Wehrhahn , Olivier Gimenez

We develop a multi-state model to estimate the size of a closed population from ecological capture-recapture studies. We consider the case where capture-recapture data are not of a simple binary form, but where the state of an individual is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-08-02 Hannah Worthington , Rachel S. McCrea , Ruth King , Richard A. Griffiths

Efficient estimation of population size from dependent dual-record system (DRS) remains a statistical challenge in capture-recapture type experiment. Owing to the nonidentifiability of the suitable Time-Behavioral Response Variation model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-10 Kiranmoy Chatterjee , Diganta Mukherjee

For Dual-record system, in the context of human population, the popular Chandrasekar-Deming model incorporates only the time variation effect on capture probabilities. How-ever, in practice population may undergo behavioral change after…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-04-30 Kiranmoy Chatterjee , Diganta Mukherjee

It is now practically the norm for data to be very high dimensional in areas such as genetics, machine vision, image analysis and many others. When analyzing such data, parametric models are often too inflexible while nonparametric…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-05-31 Abhishek Bhattacharya , Garritt Page , David Dunson

Graphical models are powerful tools for capturing conditional dependence structures in complex systems but remain underexplored in analyzing ordinal data, especially in sports analytics. Ordinal variables, such as team rankings, player…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-05 Wang Wen , Ziqi Chen , Guanyu Hu

Most capture-recapture models assume that individuals either do not emigrate or emigrate permanently from the sampling area during the sampling period. This assumption is violated when individuals temporarily leave the sampling area and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-10-09 Katarina Skopalova , Jafet Osuna , Wei Zhang

Deep learning has become the standard methodology to approach computer vision tasks when large amounts of labeled data are available. One area where traditional deep learning approaches fail to perform is one-shot learning tasks where a…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-07-02 Stefan Schneider , Graham W. Taylor , Stefan Linquist , Stefan C. Kremer

Person re-identification (Re-ID) is the task of matching humans across cameras with non-overlapping views that has important applications in visual surveillance. Like other computer vision tasks, this task has gained much with the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-07-24 Sergey Rodionov , Alexey Potapov , Hugo Latapie , Enzo Fenoglio , Maxim Peterson

Obtaining reliable and precise estimates of wildlife species abundance and distribution is essential for the conservation and management of animal populations and natural reserves. Spatial capture-recapture (SCR) models provide estimates of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-09 Clara Panchaud , Ruth King , David Borchers , Hannah Worthington , Ian Durbach , Paul Van Dam-Bates

We incorporate heteroskedasticity into Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) by modeling the log of the error variance parameter as a linear function of prespecified covariates. Under this scheme, the Gibbs sampling procedure for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-02-24 Justin Bleich , Adam Kapelner

Advances in field techniques have lead to an increase in spatially-referenced capture-recapture data to estimate a species' population size as well as other demographic parameters and patterns of space usage. Statistical models for these…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-05-09 Brian J. Reich , Beth Gardner

Recently developed spatial capture-recapture (SCR) models represent a major advance over traditional capture-recapture (CR) models because they yield explicit estimates of animal density instead of population size within an unknown area.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-01-29 Richard B. Chandler , J. Andrew Royle

Model misspecification is a long-standing enigma of the Bayesian inference framework as posteriors tend to get overly concentrated on ill-informed parameter values towards the large sample limit. Tempering of the likelihood has been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-12-13 Owen Thomas , Jukka Corander

Traditional analyses of capture-recapture data are based on likelihood functions that explicitly integrate out all missing data. We use a complete data likelihood (CDL) to show how a wide range of capture-recapture models can be easily…

应用统计 · 统计学 2010-09-21 Matthew R. Schofield , Richard J. Barker

Recent advances in probabilistic deep learning enable efficient amortized Bayesian inference in settings where the likelihood function is only implicitly defined by a simulation program (simulation-based inference; SBI). But how faithful is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-07 Marvin Schmitt , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Ullrich Köthe , Stefan T. Radev

Inferring dependencies between complex biological traits while accounting for evolutionary relationships between specimens is of great scientific interest yet remains infeasible when trait and specimen counts grow large. The…

Estimation of the number of species or unobserved classes from a random sample of the underlying population is a ubiquitous problem in statistics. In classical settings, the size of the sample is usually small. New technologies such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-06 Timothy Daley , Andrew D Smith