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Motivated by the analysis of the distribution of university grades, which is usually asymmetric, we discuss two informative priors for the shape parameter of the skew-normal distribution, showing that they lead to closed-form…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-05-15 Antonio Canale , Bruno Scarpa

This paper addresses the issue of inversion in cases where (1) the observation system is modeled by a linear transformation and additive noise, (2) the problem is ill-posed and regularization is introduced in a Bayesian framework by an a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-12 Jean-François Giovannelli

Counterfactual explanations utilize feature perturbations to analyze the outcome of an original decision and recommend an actionable recourse. We argue that it is beneficial to provide several alternative explanations rather than a single…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-24 Natraj Raman , Daniele Magazzeni , Sameena Shah

In this paper, we present the Bayesian inference procedures for the parameters of the multivariate random effects model derived under the assumption of an elliptically contoured distribution when the Berger and Bernardo reference and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-26 Olha Bodnar , Taras Bodnar

Monte Carlo methods are essential tools for Bayesian inference. Gibbs sampling is a well-known Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm, extensively used in signal processing, machine learning, and statistics, employed to draw samples from…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-12-21 Luca Martino , Victor Elvira , Gustau Camps-Valls

Bayesian inference for models that have an intractable partition function is known as a doubly intractable problem, where standard Monte Carlo methods are not applicable. The past decade has seen the development of auxiliary variable Monte…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-10-13 Richard G. Everitt , Dennis Prangle , Philip Maybank , Mark Bell

Bivariate count data arise in several different disciplines (epidemiology, marketing, sports statistics, etc., to name but a few) and the bivariate Poisson distribution which is a generalization of the Poisson distribution plays an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-12 Barry C. Arnold , Indranil Ghosh

We consider the problem of drawing samples from posterior distributions formed under a Dirichlet prior and a truncated multinomial likelihood, by which we mean a Multinomial likelihood function where we condition on one or more counts being…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-09-04 Matthew James Johnson , Alan S. Willsky

Full Bayesian posteriors are rarely analytically tractable, which is why real-world Bayesian inference heavily relies on approximate techniques. Approximations generally differ from the true posterior and require diagnostic tools to assess…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-08 Luca Rendsburg , Agustinus Kristiadi , Philipp Hennig , Ulrike von Luxburg

Gibbs states are familiar from statistical mechanics, yet their use is not limited to that domain. For instance, they also feature in the maximum entropy reconstruction of quantum states from incomplete measurement data. Outside the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2011-07-04 Jochen Rau

Many psychological theories can be operationalized as linear inequality constraints on the parameters of multinomial distributions (e.g., discrete choice analysis). These constraints can be described in two equivalent ways: Either as the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-04-23 Daniel W. Heck , Clintin P. Davis-Stober

Favaro, Lijoi, and Pruenster (2012, Biometrics, 68, 1188--1196) derive a novel Bayesian nonparametric estimator of the probability of detecting at the $(n+m+1)$th observation a species already observed with any given frequency in an…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-04-04 Annalisa Cerquetti

Inference in Bayesian statistics involves the evaluation of marginal likelihood integrals. We present algebraic algorithms for computing such integrals exactly for discrete data of small sample size. Our methods apply to both uniform priors…

统计计算 · 统计学 2009-02-13 Shaowei Lin , Bernd Sturmfels , Zhiqiang Xu

In recent years, the shortcomings of Bayesian posteriors as inferential devices have received increased attention. A popular strategy for fixing them has been to instead target a Gibbs measure based on losses that connect a parameter of…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-24 David T. Frazier , Jeremias Knoblauch , Jack Jewson , Christopher Drovandi

We present a Bayesian scheme for the approximate diagonalisation of several square matrices which are not necessarily symmetric. A Gibbs sampler is derived to simulate samples of the common eigenvectors and the eigenvalues for these…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-06-22 Mingjun Zhong , Mark Girolami

We develop a new Gibbs sampler for a linear mixed model with a Dirichlet process random effect term, which is easily extended to a generalized linear mixed model with a probit link function. Our Gibbs sampler exploits the properties of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-02-26 Minjung Kyung , Jeff Gill , George Casella

Denoising diffusion models have driven significant progress in the field of Bayesian inverse problems. Recent approaches use pre-trained diffusion models as priors to solve a wide range of such problems, only leveraging inference-time…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-06 Yazid Janati , Badr Moufad , Mehdi Abou El Qassime , Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson

Bayesian inference in state-space models is challenging due to high-dimensional state trajectories. A viable approach is particle Markov chain Monte Carlo, combining MCMC and sequential Monte Carlo to form "exact approximations" to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-10-27 Anna Wigren , Riccardo Sven Risuleo , Lawrence Murray , Fredrik Lindsten

The MC$^3$ (Madigan and York, 1995) and Gibbs (George and McCulloch, 1997) samplers are the most widely implemented algorithms for Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) in linear regression models. These samplers draw a variable at random in each…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-06-26 Demetris Lamnisos , Jim E. Griffin , Mark F. J. Steel

In this paper we develop a very general class of bivariate discrete distributions. The basic idea is very simple. The marginals are obtained by taking the random geometric sum of a baseline distribution function. The proposed class of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-22 Debasis Kundu