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We introduce the evolving categories multinomial (ECM) distribution for multivariate count data taken over time. This distribution models the counts of individuals following iid stochastic dynamics among categories, with the number and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-05-27 Ricardo Carrizo Vergara , Marc Kéry , Trevor Hefley

Bayesian hierarchical models are commonly employed for inference in count datasets, as they account for multiple levels of variation by incorporating prior distributions for parameters at different levels. Examples include Beta-Binomial,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-04 Yuexi Wang , Nicholas G. Polson

A random variable is equi-dispersed if its mean equals its variance. A Poisson distribution is a classical example of this phenomenon. However, a less well-known fact is that the class of normal densities that are equi-dispersed constitutes…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-09-07 Barry C. Arnold , B. G. Manjunath

Learning for control in repeated tasks allows for well-designed experiments to gather the most useful data. We consider the setting in which we use a data-driven controller that does not have access to the true system dynamics. Rather, the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-02-21 Sean Anderson , Katie Byl , João P. Hespanha

Large-scale datasets with count outcome variables are widely present in various applications, and the Poisson regression model is among the most popular models for handling count outcomes. This paper considers the high-dimensional sparse…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-29 Prabrisha Rakshit , Zijian Guo

We show that Poisson regression, though often recommended over log-linear regression for modeling count and other non-negative variables in finance and economics, can be far from optimal when heteroskedasticity and sparsity -- two common…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-03 Agostino Capponi , Zhaonan Qu

The Peaks Over Threshold (POT) method is the most popular statistical method for the analysis of univariate extremes. Even though there is a rich applied literature on Bayesian inference for the POT, the asymptotic theory for such proposals…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-01 Clément Dombry , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

In Bayesian nonparametric inference, random discrete probability measures are commonly used as priors within hierarchical mixture models for density estimation and for inference on the clustering of the data. Recently, it has been shown…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-26 Stefano Favaro , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster

Multitype branching processes with immigration in one type are used to model the dynamics of stage-structured plant populations. Parametric inference is first carried out when count data of all types are observed. Statistical…

应用统计 · 统计学 2009-02-27 Catherine Laredo , Olivier David , Aurélie Garnier

The problem of overdispersed claim counts and mismeasured covariates is common in insurance. On the one hand, the presence of overdispersion in the count data violates the homogeneity assumption, and on the other hand, measurement errors in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-12 Minkun Kim

We consider three new classes of exponential dispersion models of discrete probability distributions which are defined by specifying their variance functions in their mean value parameterization. In a previous paper (Bar-Lev and Ridder,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-01 Shaul K. Bar-Lev , Ad Ridder

Diffusion models are a class of probabilistic generative models that have been widely used as a prior for image processing tasks like text conditional generation and inpainting. We demonstrate that these models can be adapted to make…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-14 Marc Finzi , Anudhyan Boral , Andrew Gordon Wilson , Fei Sha , Leonardo Zepeda-Núñez

In many fields, and especially in the medical and social sciences and in recommender systems, data are gathered through clinical studies or targeted surveys. Participants are generally reluctant to respond to all questions in a survey or…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-11-15 Mohammad Reza Gholami , Magnus Jansson , Erik G. Ström , Ali H. Sayed

The availability of high-throughput parallel methods for sequencing microbial communities is increasing our knowledge of the microbial world at an unprecedented rate. Though most attention has focused on determining lower-bounds on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-09-15 Manuel Lladser , Raúl Gouet , Jens Reeder

The paper addresses general aspects of experimental data analysis, dealing with the separation of ``signal vs. background''. It consists of two parts. Part I is a tutorial on statistical event classification, Bayesian inference, and test…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2023-06-30 Rudolf Frühwirth , Winfried Mitaroff

In this paper, the panel count data analysis for recurrent events is considered. Such analysis is useful for studying tumor or infection recurrences in both clinical trial and observational studies. A bivariate Gaussian Cox process model is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-02-19 Ye Liang , Yang Li , Bin Zhang

In regression analysis of counts, a lack of simple and efficient algorithms for posterior computation has made Bayesian approaches appear unattractive and thus underdeveloped. We propose a lognormal and gamma mixed negative binomial (NB)…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-07-03 Mingyuan Zhou , Lingbo Li , David Dunson , Lawrence Carin

We use the theory of normal variance-mean mixtures to derive a data augmentation scheme for models that include gamma functions. Our methodology applies to many situations in statistics and machine learning, including Multinomial-Dirichlet…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-22 Jingyu He , Nicholas Polson , Jianeng Xu

We consider here together the inference questions and the change-point problem in Poisson autoregressions (see Tj{\o}stheim, 2012). The conditional mean (or intensity) of the process is involved as a non-linear function of it past values…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-09 Paul Doukhan , William Kengne

This paper develops forecasting methodology and application of new classes of dynamic models for time series of non-negative counts. Novel univariate models synthesise dynamic generalized linear models for binary and conditionally Poisson…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-07 Lindsay Berry , Mike West