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We introduce a new method for estimating the mean of an outcome variable within groups when researchers only observe the average of the outcome and group indicators across a set of aggregation units, such as geographical areas. Existing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-01 Cory McCartan , Shiro Kuriwaki

Unit-level models for survey data offer many advantages over their area-level counterparts, such as potential for more precise estimates and a natural benchmarking property. However two main challenges occur in this context: accounting for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-18 Paul A. Parker , Scott H. Holan , Ryan Janicki

Neural networks capable of accurate, input-conditional uncertainty representation are essential for real-world AI systems. Deep ensembles of Gaussian networks have proven highly effective for continuous regression due to their ability to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-02 Spencer Young , Porter Jenkins , Longchao Da , Jeff Dotson , Hua Wei

We estimate the distribution of random parameters in a distributed parameter model with unbounded input and output for the transdermal transport of ethanol in humans. The model takes the form of a diffusion equation with the input being the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-08-14 Melike Sirlanci , Susan E. Luczak , Catharine E. Fairbairn , Dahyeon Kang , Ruoxi Pan , Xin Yu , I. G. Rosen

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a powerful tool for probabilistic inference over functions. They have been applied to both regression and non-linear dimensionality reduction, and offer desirable properties such as uncertainty estimates,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-10-01 Yarin Gal , Mark van der Wilk , Carl E. Rasmussen

Distribution regression has recently attracted much interest as a generic solution to the problem of supervised learning where labels are available at the group level, rather than at the individual level. Current approaches, however, do not…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-01-18 Ho Chung Leon Law , Danica J. Sutherland , Dino Sejdinovic , Seth Flaxman

We propose a new statistical observation scheme of diffusion processes named convolutional observation, where it is possible to deal with smoother observation than ordinary diffusion processes by considering convolution of diffusion…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-28 Shogo H Nakakita , Masayuki Uchida

We put forward a new Bayesian modeling strategy for spatiotemporal count data that enables efficient posterior sampling. Most previous models for such data decompose logarithms of the response Poisson rates into fixed effects and spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-29 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

The Poisson distribution arises naturally when dealing with data involving counts, and it has found many applications in inverse problems and imaging. In this work, we develop an approximate Bayesian inference technique based on expectation…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-09-04 Chen Zhang , Simon Arridge , Bangti Jin

Background: We study the statistical properties of fragment coverage in genome sequencing experiments. In an extension of the classic Lander-Waterman model, we consider the effect of the length distribution of fragments. We also introduce…

基因组学 · 定量生物学 2010-05-03 Steven N. Evans , Valerie Hower , Lior Pachter

Using Stein's method and the Malliavin calculus of variations, we derive explicit estimates for the Gamma approximation of functionals of a Poisson measure. In particular, conditions are presented under which the distribution of a sequence…

概率论 · 数学 2013-09-16 Giovanni Peccati , Christoph Thaele

The claim experience of the past is a very important information to calculate the fair price of an insurance contract. In a lot of European countries for instance the prices for motor car insurance depend on the number of claims the driver…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2010-09-22 Magda Schiegl

Generative diffusion processes are an emerging and effective tool for image and speech generation. In the existing methods, the underline noise distribution of the diffusion process is Gaussian noise. However, fitting distributions with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-17 Eliya Nachmani , Robin San Roman , Lior Wolf

Results of numerical procedure of constructing confidence intervals for parameter of the Poisson distribution of signal events in the presence of background events with known value of parameter of Poisson distribution are presented. It is…

高能物理 - 实验 · 物理学 2007-05-23 S. I. Bityukov , N. V. Krasnikov , V. A. Taperechkina

A frequent challenge encountered with compositional ecological data is how to interpret and model data with a high proportion of zeros and $N$'s. Such data frequently occur in ecological applications where counts of species are collected…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-04 James Sweeney , John Haslett , Dipankar Bandyopadhyay , Michael Fop , Andrew C. Parnell

The paper presents a new statistical method that enables the use of systematic errors in the maximum-likelihood regression of integer-count Poisson data to a parametric model. The method is primarily aimed at the characterization of the…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2024-07-18 Max Bonamente , Yang Chen , Dale Zimmerman

We study the tradeoff between the statistical error and communication cost of distributed statistical estimation problems in high dimensions. In the distributed sparse Gaussian mean estimation problem, each of the $m$ machines receives $n$…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-05-11 Mark Braverman , Ankit Garg , Tengyu Ma , Huy L. Nguyen , David P. Woodruff

A common approach to analyze a covariate-sample count matrix, an element of which represents how many times a covariate appears in a sample, is to factorize it under the Poisson likelihood. We show its limitation in capturing the tendency…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-06 Mingyuan Zhou

Consider a situation of analyzing high-dimensional count data containing an excess of near-zero counts with a small number of moderate or large counts. Assuming that the observations are modeled by a Poisson distribution, we are interested…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-27 Sayantan Paul , Arijit Chakrabarti

Quantile regression is a powerful tool for inferring how covariates affect specific percentiles of the response distribution. Existing methods either estimate conditional quantiles separately for each quantile of interest or estimate the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-19 Joseph Feldman , Daniel Kowal
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