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The convergence of stochastic integrals is essential to stochastic analysis, especially in applications to mathematical finance, where they model the gains associated with a self-financing strategy. However, Fatou convergence of…

概率论 · 数学 2025-03-11 Vasily Melnikov

Given a random sample from a random variable $T$ which is bounded from above, $T\le\tau$ a.s., we define processes that are positive supermartingales if $E(T)\ge\mu$. Such processes are called test martingales. Tests of the supermartingale…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-20 Harrie Hendriks

Given a positive random variable $X$, $X\ge0$ a.s., a null hypothesis $H_0:E(X)\le\mu$ and a random sample of infinite size of $X$, we construct test supermartingales for $H_0$, i.e. positive processes that are supermartingale if the null…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-21 Harrie Hendriks

Let $\mm_n, n=0,1,...$ be the supercritical branching random walk, in which the number of direct descendants of one individual may be infinite with positive probability. Assume that the standard martingale $W_n$ related to $\mm_n$ is…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Aleksander Iksanov

We consider a sequence $X^n=(X^n_t)_{t\ge 0},n\ge 1$ of semimartingales. Each $X^n$ is a weak solution to an It\^o equation with respect to a Wiener process and a Poissonian martingale measure and is in general non-Markovian process. For…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Robert Sh. Liptser , Anatolii A. Pukhalskii

We explore the asymptotic convergence and nonasymptotic maximal inequalities of supermartingales and backward submartingales in the space of positive semidefinite matrices. These are natural matrix analogs of scalar nonnegative…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-21 Hongjian Wang , Aaditya Ramdas

Certain countably and finitely additive measures can be associated to a given nonnegative supermartingale. Under weak assumptions on the underlying probability space, existence and (non)uniqueness results for such measures are proven.

概率论 · 数学 2015-12-23 Nicolas Perkowski , Johannes Ruf

Positive $T$-martingales were developed as a general framework that extends the positive measure-valued martingales and are meant to model intermittent turbulence. We extend their scope by allowing the martingale to take complex values. We…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-14 Julien Barral , Xiong Jin , Benoît Mandelbrot

In this paper, we obtain stability results for martingale representations in a very general framework. More specifically, we consider a sequence of martingales each adapted to its own filtration, and a sequence of random variables…

概率论 · 数学 2022-06-06 Antonis Papapantoleon , Dylan Possamai , Alexandros Saplaouras

This paper extends classical probabilistic results to the broader class of demimartingales and demisubmartingales. We establish variants of Doob's-type optional sampling theorem under minimal structural conditions on stopping times, relying…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-24 Milto Hadjikyriakou , B. L. S Prakasa Rao

We construct a class of nonnegative martingale processes that oscillate indefinitely with high probability. For these processes, we state a uniform rate of the number of oscillations and show that this rate is asymptotically close to the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-08-18 Jan Leike , Marcus Hutter

We consider deterministic fast-slow dynamical systems on $\mathbb{R}^m\times Y$ of the form \[ \begin{cases} x_{k+1}^{(n)} = x_k^{(n)} + n^{-1} a(x_k^{(n)}) + n^{-1/\alpha} b(x_k^{(n)}) v(y_k)\;,\quad y_{k+1} = f(y_k)\;, \end{cases} \]…

动力系统 · 数学 2020-10-30 Ilya Chevyrev , Peter K. Friz , Alexey Korepanov , Ian Melbourne

Extending our own and others' earlier approaches to reasoning about termination of probabilistic programs, we propose and prove a new rule for termination with probability one, also known as "almost-certain termination". The rule uses both…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2017-01-09 Annabelle McIver , Carroll Morgan

Strassen's theorem asserts that for given marginal probabilities $\mu,\nu$ there exists a martingale starting in $\mu$ and terminating in $\nu$ if and only if $\mu,\nu$ are in convex order. From a financial perspective, it guarantees the…

概率论 · 数学 2025-09-17 Beatrice Acciaio , Mathias Beiglböck , Evgeny Kolosov , Gudmund Pammer

We obtain functional central limit theorems for both discrete time expressions of the form $1/\sqrt{N}\sum_{n=1}^{[Nt]}(F(X(q_1(n)),\ldots, X(q_{\ell}(n)))-\bar{F})$ and similar expressions in the continuous time where the sum is replaced…

概率论 · 数学 2014-02-26 Yuri Kifer , S. R. S. Varadhan

Given a bounded sequence $\{X^{n}\}_{n}$ of semimartingales on a time interval $[0,T]$, we find a sequence of convex combinations $\{Y^{n}\}_{n}$ and a limiting semimartingale $Y$ such that $\{Y^{n}\}_{n}$ converges to $Y$ in a…

概率论 · 数学 2024-12-10 Vasily Melnikov

We are concerned with a new type of supermartingale decomposition in the Max-Plus algebra, which essentially consists in expressing any supermartingale of class $(\mathcal{D})$ as a conditional expectation of some running supremum process.…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2008-12-18 Nicole El Karoui , Asma Meziou

We prove that for a so-called sticky process $S$ there exists an equivalent probability $Q$ and a $Q$-martingale $\tilde{S}$ that is arbitrarily close to $S$ in $L^p(Q)$ norm. For continuous $S$, $\tilde{S}$ can be chosen arbitrarily close…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2017-03-03 Miklós Rásonyi , Hasanjan Sayit

We consider random walks, say $W_n=(M_0, M_1,\dots, M_n)$, of length $n$ starting at 0 and based on the martingale sequence $M_k$ with differences $X_m=M_m-M_{m-1}$. Assuming that the differences are bounded, $|X_m|\leq 1$, we solve the…

概率论 · 数学 2013-05-30 Dainius Dzindzalieta

Let $X$ be a progressively measurable, almost surely right-continuous stochastic process such that $X_\tau \in L^1$ and $E[X_\tau] = E[X_0]$ for each finite stopping time $\tau$. In 2006, Cherny showed that $X$ is then a uniformly…

概率论 · 数学 2015-05-05 Johannes Ruf
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