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We study a Monte Carlo algorithm for simulation of probability distributions based on stochastic step functions, and compare to the traditional Metropolis/Hastings method. Unlike the latter, the step function algorithm can produce an…

概率论 · 数学 2015-12-07 Torquil Macdonald Sørensen , Fred Espen Benth

We propose a new approach for estimating the finite dimensional transition matrix of a Markov chain using a large number of independent sample paths observed at random times. The sample paths may be observed as few as two times, and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-20 Daphne Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

This paper considers discretization of the L\'evy process appearing in the Lamperti representation of a strictly positive self-similar Markov process. Limit theorems for the resulting approximation are established under some regularity…

概率论 · 数学 2020-06-17 Jevgenijs Ivanovs , Jakob D. Thøstesen

Previous authors have considered optimal stopping problems driven by the running maximum of a spectrally negative L\'evy process $X$, as well as of a one-dimensional diffusion. Many of the aforementioned results are either implicitly or…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-25 Mine Caglar , Andreas E. Kyprianou , Ceren Vardar-Acar

Continuous-time Markov chains are used to model stochastic systems where transitions can occur at irregular times, e.g., birth-death processes, chemical reaction networks, population dynamics, and gene regulatory networks. We develop a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-12-13 Majerle Reeves , Harish S. Bhat

We consider the problem of inferring a latent function in a probabilistic model of data. When dependencies of the latent function are specified by a Gaussian process and the data likelihood is complex, efficient computation often involve…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-23 Martin Tegner , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy , Stephen Roberts

Markov-modulated L\'evy processes lead to matrix integral equations of the kind $ A_0 + A_1X+A_2 X^2+A_3(X)=0$ where $A_0$, $A_1$, $A_2$ are given matrix coefficients, while $A_3(X)$ is a nonlinear function, expressed in terms of integrals…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-07-27 Dario A. Bini , Guy Latouche , Beatrice Meini

The article is devoted to the estimation of the rate of convergence of integral functionals of a Markov process. Under the assumption that the given Markov process admits a transition probability density which is differentiable in $t$ and…

概率论 · 数学 2015-08-03 I. Ganychenko , V. Knopova , A. Kulik

We develop a martingale approximation approach to studying the limiting behavior of quadratic forms of Markov chains. We use the technique to examine the asymptotic behavior of lag-window estimators in time series and we apply the results…

概率论 · 数学 2011-08-16 Yves F. Atchade , Matias D. Cattaneo

Reversible Markov chains play a central role in stochastic modelling and in algorithms such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Motivated by the fundamental importance of reversibility in classical settings, this paper develops a…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-28 Damjan Škulj

We formulate some simple conditions under which a Markov chain may be approximated by the solution to a differential equation, with quantifiable error probabilities. The role of a choice of coordinate functions for the Markov chain is…

概率论 · 数学 2008-04-23 R. W. R. Darling , J. R. Norris

This paper is devoted to the convergence analysis of stochastic approximation algorithms of the form $\theta\_{n+1} = \theta\_n + \gamma\_{n+1} H\_{\theta\_n}(X\_{n+1})$ where $\{\theta\_nn, n \geq 0\}$ is a $R^d$-valued sequence,…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-27 Gersende Fort , Eric Moulines , Amandine Schreck , Matti Vihola

We analyse the performance of a recursive Monte Carlo method for the Bayesian estimation of the static parameters of a discrete--time state--space Markov model. The algorithm employs two layers of particle filters to approximate the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-03-31 Dan Crisan , Joaquin Miguez

A level-dependent L\'evy process solves the stochastic differential equation $dU(t) = dX(t)-{\phi}(U(t)) dt$, where $X$ is a spectrally negative L\'evy process. A special case is a multi-refracted L\'evy process with…

概率论 · 数学 2019-03-07 Irmina Czarna , José-Luis Pérez , Tomasz Rolski , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

Ito's construction of Markovian solutions to stochastic equations driven by a L\'evy noise is extended to nonlinear distribution dependent integrands aiming at the effective construction of linear and nonlinear Markov semigroups and the…

概率论 · 数学 2022-05-03 Vassili N. Kolokoltsov

The inverse Langevin function is a fundamental part of the statistical chain models used to describe the behavior of polymeric-like materials, appearing also in other fields such as magnetism, molecular dynamics and even biomechanics. In…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-07-15 José María Benitez , Francisco Javier Montáns

For a spectrally negative L\'evy process, scale functions appear in the solution of two-sided exit problems, and in particular in relation with the Laplace transform of the first time it exits a closed interval. In this paper, we consider…

概率论 · 数学 2023-06-21 Jesús Contreras , Victor Rivero

We present a convex-concave reformulation of the reversible Markov chain estimation problem and outline an efficient numerical scheme for the solution of the resulting problem based on a primal-dual interior point method for monotone…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-03-08 Benjamin Trendelkamp-Schroer , Hao Wu , Frank Noe

In this paper we develop a statistical estimation technique to recover the transition kernel $P$ of a Markov chain $X=(X_m)_{m \in \mathbb N}$ in presence of censored data. We consider the situation where only a sub-sequence of $X$ is…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-05-05 Flavia Barsotti , Yohann De Castro , Thibault Espinasse , Paul Rochet

This paper investigates the Gaussian quasi-likelihood estimation of an exponentially ergodic multidimensional Markov process, which is expressed as a solution to a L\'{e}vy driven stochastic differential equation whose coefficients are…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-08-14 Hiroki Masuda