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To answer questions of "causes of effects", the probability of necessity is introduced for assessing whether or not an observed outcome was caused by an earlier treatment. However, the statistical inference for probability of necessity is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-14 Ping Zhang , Ruoyu Wang , Wang Miao

Uncertainty quantification of causal effects is crucial for safety-critical applications such as personalized medicine. A powerful approach for this is conformal prediction, which has several practical benefits due to model-agnostic…

It is not clear how to target patients who are most likely to benefit from digital care management programs ex-ante, a shortcoming of current risk score based approaches. This study focuses on defining impactability by identifying those…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2019-05-16 Heather Mattie , Patrick Reidy , Patrik Bachtiger , Emily Lindemer , Mohammad Jouni , Trishan Panch

We analyze differences between two information-theoretically motivated approaches to statistical inference and model selection: the Minimum Description Length (MDL) principle, and the Minimum Message Length (MML) principle. Based on this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-02-01 Peter D Grunwald , Petri Kontkanen , Petri Myllymaki , Tomi Silander , Henry Tirri

The Multiple Comparison Procedures with Modeling Techniques (MCP-Mod) framework has been recently approved by the U.S. Food and Administration and European Medicines Agency as fit-per-purpose for phase II studies. Nonetheless, this approach…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-16 Márcio A. Diniz , Diego I. Gallardo , Tiago M. Magalhães

This paper introduces marginal fairness, a new individual fairness notion for equitable decision-making in the presence of protected attributes such as gender, race, and religion. This criterion ensures that decisions based on generalized…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-27 Fei Huang , Silvana M. Pesenti

The predictions from an accurate prognostic model can be of great interest to patients and clinicians. When predictions are reported to individuals, they may decide to take action to improve their health or they may simply be comforted by…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2019-09-10 Michael C Sachs , Arvid Sjölander , Erin E Gabriel

Reliable medical image classification requires accurate predictions and well-calibrated uncertainty estimates, especially in high-stakes clinical settings. This work presents MedSymmFlow, a generative-discriminative hybrid model built on…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-03-10 Francisco Caetano , Lemar Abdi , Christiaan Viviers , Amaan Valiuddin , Fons van der Sommen

Intensity-based multistate models provide a useful framework for characterizing disease processes, the introduction of interventions, loss to follow-up, and other complications arising in the conduct of randomized trials studying complex…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-29 Alexandra Bühler , Richard J. Cook , Jerald F. Lawless

Adaptive designs have been proposed for clinical trials in which the nuisance parameters or alternative of interest are unknown or likely to be misspecified before the trial. Whereas most previous works on adaptive designs and mid-course…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-05-18 Jay Bartroff , Tze Leung Lai

We face the problem of pattern classification by proposing a quantum-inspired version of the widely used minimum distance classifier (i.e. the Nearest Mean Classifier (NMC)) already introduced in [31,33,28,27] and by applying this…

Stochastic Closed-Loop Active Fault Diagnosis (CLAFD) aims to select the input sequentially in order to improve the discrimination of different models by minimizing the predicted error probability. As computation of these error…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-01-12 Jacques Noom , Oleg Soloviev , Carlas Smith , Michel Verhaegen

Objectives: Clinical prediction models (CPMs) can inform decision-making concerning treatment initiation. Here, one requires predicted risks assuming that no treatment is given. This is challenging since CPMs are often derived in datasets…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-21 Matthew Sperrin , Glen Martin , Tjeerd Van Staa , Niels Peek , Iain Buchan

Probabilities of Causation play a fundamental role in decision making in law, health care and public policy. Nevertheless, their point identification is challenging, requiring strong assumptions such as monotonicity. In the absence of such…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-04-06 Numair Sani , Atalanti A. Mastakouri , Dominik Janzing

Measuring treatment efficacy in mixture of subgroups from a randomized clinical trial is a fundamental problem in personalized medicine development, in deciding whether to treat the entire patient population or to target a subgroup. We show…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-09-03 Ying Ding , Hui-Min Lin , Jason C. Hsu

The impact of machine learning models on healthcare will depend on the degree of trust that healthcare professionals place in the predictions made by these models. In this paper, we present a method to provide people with clinical expertise…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-05 Aniruddh Raghu , John Guttag , Katherine Young , Eugene Pomerantsev , Adrian V. Dalca , Collin M. Stultz

Auxiliary information is frequently utilized in survey sampling to improve the efficiency of estimators of the finite population mean. However, the simultaneous use of multiple auxiliary variables often induces multicollinearity, which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-30 Rajesh Singh , Shobh Nath Tiwari

Likelihood-free inference methods typically make use of a distance between simulated and real data. A common example is the maximum mean discrepancy (MMD), which has previously been used for approximate Bayesian computation, minimum…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-11 Ayush Bharti , Masha Naslidnyk , Oscar Key , Samuel Kaski , François-Xavier Briol

This paper proposes a novel criterion for the allocation of patients in Phase~I dose-escalation clinical trials aiming to find the maximum tolerated dose (MTD). Conventionally, using a model-based approach the next patient is allocated to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-17 Pavel Mozgunov , Thomas Jaki

We provide a simple distribution regression estimator for treatment effects in the difference-in-differences (DiD) design. Our procedure is particularly useful when the treatment effect differs across the distribution of the outcome…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-20 Iván Fernández-Val , Jonas Meier , Aico van Vuuren , Francis Vella