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Climate models have become an important tool in the study of climate and climate change, and ensemble experiments consisting of multiple climate-model runs are used in studying and quantifying the uncertainty in climate-model output.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-04-15 Stephan R. Sain , Reinhard Furrer , Noel Cressie

The problem of detection and possible estimation of a signal generated by a dynamic system when a variable number of noisy measurements can be taken is here considered. Assuming a Markov evolution of the system (in particular, the pair…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2022-05-12 Emanuele Grossi , Marco Lops

Identifying the infection status of each individual during infectious diseases informs public health management. However, performing frequent individual-level tests may not be feasible. Instead, sparse and sometimes group-level tests are…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-06-06 Zahra Gholamalian , Zeinab Maleki , MasoudReza Hashemi , Pouria Ramazi

Permutation tests have been proposed by Albert et al. (2015) to detect dependence between point processes, modeling in particular spike trains, that is the time occurrences of action potentials emitted by neurons. Our present work focuses…

We introduce a class of continuous-time bivariate phase-type distributions for modeling dependencies from common shocks. The construction uses continuous-time Markov processes that evolve identically until an internal common-shock event,…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-01 Martin Bladt , Oscar Peralta , Jorge Yslas

Given the vastness of chemical space and the ongoing emergence of previously uncharacterized proteins, zero-shot compound-protein interaction (CPI) prediction better reflects the practical challenges and requirements of real-world drug…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-29 Hongzhi Zhang , Zhonglie Liu , Kun Meng , Jiameng Chen , Jia Wu , Bo Du , Di Lin , Yan Che , Wenbin Hu

We consider a continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) whose state space is partitioned into aggregates, and each aggregate is assigned a probability measure. A sufficient condition for defining a CTMC over the aggregates is presented as a…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2013-03-21 Arnab Ganguly , Tatjana Petrov , Heinz Koeppl

Copula mixed models for trivariate (or bivariate) meta-analysis of diagnostic test accuracy studies accounting (or not) for disease prevalence have been proposed in the biostatistics literature to synthesize information. However, many…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-12 Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

In unsupervised classification, Hidden Markov Models (HMM) are used to account for a neighborhood structure between observations. The emission distributions are often supposed to belong to some parametric family. In this paper, a…

Developing satisfactory methodology for the analysis of Markov random field is a very challenging task. Indeed, due to the Markovian dependence structure, the normalizing constant of the fields cannot be computed using standard analytical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-12 Julien Stoehr

We combined the genetic crossover, which is one of the operations of genetic algorithm, and replica-exchange method in parallel molecular dynamics simulations. The genetic crossover and replica-exchange method can search the global…

生物大分子 · 定量生物学 2015-05-25 Yoshitake Sakae , Tomoyuki Hiroyasu , Mitsunori Miki , Katsuya Ishii , Yuko Okamoto

In this study, we propose a hidden Markov mixture model for the analysis of gene expression measurements mapped to chromosome locations. These expression values represent preprocessed light intensities observed in each probe of Affymetrix…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-09-27 Vinícius Diniz Mayrink , Flávio Bambirra Gonçalves

Split conformal prediction is a computationally efficient method for performing distribution-free predictive inference in regression. It involves, however, a one-time random split of the data, and the result depends on the particular split.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-22 Aldo Solari , Vera Djordjilović

Common deep learning approaches for antibody engineering focus on modeling the marginal distribution of sequences. By treating sequences as independent samples, however, these methods overlook affinity maturation as a rich and largely…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-28 Stephen Zhewen Lu , Aakarsh Vermani , Kohei Sanno , Jiarui Lu , Frederick A Matsen , Milind Jagota , Yun S. Song

Computing the probability of evidence even with known error bounds is NP-hard. In this paper we address this hard problem by settling on an easier problem. We propose an approximation which provides high confidence lower bounds on…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-06-26 Vibhav Gogate , Bozhena Bidyuk , Rina Dechter

In this work we develop a stochastic model of acute HIV infection, based on the well-known standard model, that allows us to simulate the complex mutation pathways of HIV escape from multiple CTL responses. Under this model, we describe two…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2012-08-16 Sivan Leviyang

Dropout represents a typical issue to be addressed when dealing with longitudinal studies. If the mechanism leading to missing information is non-ignorable, inference based on the observed data only may be severely biased. A frequent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-23 Maria Francesca Marino , Marco Alfo'

We derive tests of stationarity for univariate time series by combining change-point tests sensitive to changes in the contemporary distribution with tests sensitive to changes in the serial dependence. The proposed approach relies on a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-21 Axel Bücher , Jean-David Fermanian , Ivan Kojadinovic

Collecting multiple longitudinal measurements and time-to-event outcomes is a common practice in clinical and epidemiological studies, often focusing on exploring associations between them. Joint modeling is the standard analytical tool for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-10 Taban Baghfalaki , Reza Hashemi , Catherine Helmer , Helene Jacqmin-Gadda

Analyses of serially-sampled data often begin with the assumption that the observations represent discrete samples from a latent continuous-time stochastic process. The continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) is one such generative model whose…

应用统计 · 统计学 2009-10-12 Asger Hobolth , Eric A. Stone