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A Kalman filter can be used to determine material parameters using uncertain experimental data. However, starting with inappropriate initial values for material parameters might include false local attractors or even divergence. Also,…

材料科学 · 物理学 2015-02-13 Abdallah Shokry , Per Ståhle

A fully Bayesian approach is proposed for ultrahigh-dimensional nonparametric additive models in which the number of additive components may be larger than the sample size, though ideally the true model is believed to include only a small…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-09-24 Zuofeng Shang , Ping Li

Many nonlinear extensions of the Kalman filter, e.g., the extended and the unscented Kalman filter, reduce the state densities to Gaussian densities. This approximation gives sufficient results in many cases. However, this filters only…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-07-19 Oliver Grothe

In the following article we develop a particle filter for approximating Feynman-Kac models with indicator potentials. Examples of such models include approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) posteriors associated with hidden Markov models…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-04-02 Ajay Jasra , Anthony Lee , Christopher Yau , Xiaole Zhang

The Ensemble Kalman inversion (EKI) method is a method for the estimation of unknown parameters in the context of (Bayesian) inverse problems. The method approximates the underlying measure by an ensemble of particles and iteratively…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-08-02 Dirk Blömker , Claudia Schillings , Philipp Wacker , Simon Weissmann

We propose a modification of a maximum likelihood procedure for tuning parameter values in models, based upon the comparison of their output to field data. Our methodology, which uses polynomial approximations of the sample space to…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-07-03 Nusret Balci , Juan M. Restrepo , Shankar C. Venkataramani

We propose spectral methods for long-term forecasting of temporal signals stemming from linear and nonlinear quasi-periodic dynamical systems. For linear signals, we introduce an algorithm with similarities to the Fourier transform but…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-02 Henning Lange , Steven L. Brunton , Nathan Kutz

In this technical note, a recursive set-membership filtering algorithm for discrete-time nonlinear dynamical systems subject to unknown but bounded process and measurement noises is proposed. The nonlinear dynamics is represented in a…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-09-29 Diganta Bhattacharjee , Kamesh Subbarao

We introduce neural information field filter, a Bayesian state and parameter estimation method for high-dimensional nonlinear dynamical systems given large measurement datasets. Solving such a problem using traditional methods, such as…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-12-17 Kairui Hao , Ilias Bilionis

We present a theory-first framework that interprets inference-time adaptation in large language models (LLMs) as online Bayesian state estimation. Rather than modeling rapid adaptation as implicit optimization or meta-learning, we formulate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-13 Andrew Kiruluta

Significant efforts have gone into the development of statistical models for analyzing data in the form of networks, such as social networks. Most existing work has focused on modeling static networks, which represent either a single time…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2013-04-23 Kevin S. Xu , Alfred O. Hero

Approximate Bayesian inference methods that scale to very large datasets are crucial in leveraging probabilistic models for real-world time series. Sparse Markovian Gaussian processes combine the use of inducing variables with efficient…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-10 William J. Wilkinson , Arno Solin , Vincent Adam

The contraction properties of the Extended Kalman Filter, viewed as a deterministic observer for nonlinear systems, are analyzed. This yields new conditions under which exponential convergence of the state error can be guaranteed. As…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2012-12-04 Silvere Bonnabel , Jean-Jacques Slotine

We quantify the performance of approximations to stochastic filtering by the Kullback-Leibler divergence to the optimal Bayesian filter. Using a two-state Markov process that drives a Brownian measurement process as prototypical test case,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-10-26 Rahul O. Ramakrishnan , Andrea Auconi , Benjamin M. Friedrich

Our article deals with Bayesian inference for a general state space model with the simulated likelihood computed by the particle filter. We show empirically that the partially or fully adapted particle filters can be much more efficient…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-06-11 Michael Pitt , Ralph Silva , Paolo Giordani , Robert Kohn

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are powerful kernelized methods for non-parameteric regression used in many applications. However, their use is limited to a few thousand of training samples due to their cubic time complexity. In order to scale GPs…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-20 Manuel Schürch , Dario Azzimonti , Alessio Benavoli , Marco Zaffalon

Parameter estimation is a growing area of interest in statistical signal processing. Some parameters in real-life applications vary in space as opposed to those that are static. Most common methods in estimating parameters involve solving…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-02 David Angwenyi

Longitudinal item response data are common in social science, educational science, and psychology, among other disciplines. Studying the time-varying relationships between items is crucial for educational assessment or designing marketing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-26 Jaewoo Park , Yeseul Jeon , Minsuk Shin , Minjeong Jeon , Ick Hoon Jin

A set of N independent Gaussian linear time invariant systems is observed by M sensors whose task is to provide the best possible steady-state causal minimum mean square estimate of the state of the systems, in addition to minimizing a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2008-10-30 Jerome Le Ny , Eric Feron , Munther A. Dahleh

This paper is concerned with the problem of distributed Kalman filtering in a network of interconnected subsystems with distributed control protocols. We consider networks, which can be either homogeneous or heterogeneous, of linear…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-11-22 Damian Marelli , Mohsen Zamani , Minyue Fu