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The calibration of complex computer codes using uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods is a rich area of statistical methodological development. When applying these techniques to simulators with spatial output, it is now standard to use…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-25 James M Salter , Daniel B Williamson , John Scinocca , Viatcheslav Kharin

Early design decisions strongly influence environmental, economic and social outcomes, yet sustainability assessment tools rarely reveal trade-offs among these three pillars. This study presents a framework for Conflict Mapping and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-12-15 Apala Chakrabarti

Sustainability is becoming increasingly critical in the maritime transport, encompassing both environmental and social impacts, such as Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions and navigational safety. Traditional vessel navigation heavily relies on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-19 Zhang Xiaocai , Xiao Zhe , Liang Maohan , Liu Tao , Li Haijiang , Zhang Wenbin

While Large Language Model-based Multi-Agent Systems (MAS) consistently outperform single-agent systems on complex tasks, their intricate interactions introduce critical reliability challenges arising from communication dynamics and role…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-13 Tiejin Chen , Huaiyuan Yao , Jia Chen , Evangelos E. Papalexakis , Hua Wei

Reduced-order dynamical models play a central role in developing our understanding of predictability of climate irrespective of whether we are dealing with the actual climate system or surrogate climate-models. In this context, the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2021-03-11 B. T. Nadiga

Extreme learning machine (ELM) is a new single hidden layer feedback neural network. The weights of the input layer and the biases of neurons in hidden layer are randomly generated, the weights of the output layer can be analytically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-03-13 Lin Feng , Shuliang Xu , Feilong Wang , Shenglan Liu

The real-time prediction of chaotic systems requires a nonlinear-reduced order model (ROM) to forecast the dynamics, and a stream of data from sensors to update the ROM. Data-driven ROMs are typically built with a two-step strategy: data…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2026-01-19 Elise Özalp , Andrea Nóvoa , Luca Magri

Reliable Large Language Models (LLMs) should abstain when confidence is insufficient. However, prior studies often treat refusal as a generic "I don't know'', failing to distinguish input-level ambiguity (data uncertainty) from capability…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Jingyi Ren , Ante Wang , Yunghwei Lai , Xiaolong Wang , Linlu Gong , Weitao Li , Weizhi Ma , Yang Liu

Large language models (LLMs) often miscommunicate their uncertainty: repeated queries can produce divergent answers, yet generated responses are typically unhedged or hedged in ways that do not reflect this variability. This conveys…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-10-15 Bryan Eikema , Evgenia Ilia , José G. C. de Souza , Chrysoula Zerva , Wilker Aziz

Rule-based classification models described in the language of logic directly predict boolean values, rather than modeling a probability and translating it into a prediction as done in statistical models. The vast majority of existing…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-11-04 Yusik Kim

Retrieval-Augmented Language Models (RALMs) face significant challenges in reducing factual errors, particularly in document relevance evaluation and knowledge integration. We introduce a framework for structured relevance assessment that…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-07-30 Aryan Raj , Astitva Veer Garg , Anitha D

Uncertainty estimation in multi-LLM systems remains largely single-model-centric: existing methods quantify uncertainty within each model but do not adequately capture semantic disagreement across models. To address this gap, we propose…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-03-31 Kangkang Sun , Jun Wu , Jianhua Li , Minyi Guo , Xiuzhen Che , Jianwei Huang

In recent years, large-scale language models (LLMs) have gained attention for their impressive text generation capabilities. However, these models often face the challenge of "hallucination," which undermines their reliability. In this…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-10-10 Yuchen Yang , Houqiang Li , Yanfeng Wang , Yu Wang

Human-robot interactive decision-making is increasingly becoming ubiquitous, and trust is an influential factor in determining the reliance on autonomy. However, it is not reasonable to trust systems that are beyond our comprehension, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-16 Daoming Lyu , Fangkai Yang , Hugh Kwon , Wen Dong , Levent Yilmaz , Bo Liu

With increasing computational demand, Neural-Network (NN) based models are being developed as pre-trained surrogates for different thermohydraulics phenomena. An area where this approach has shown promise is in developing higher-fidelity…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2024-12-13 Cody Grogan , Som Dutta , Mauricio Tano , Somayajulu L. N. Dhulipala , Izabela Gutowska

The increasing use of Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) systems in various applications necessitates stringent protocols to ensure RAG systems accuracy, safety, and alignment with user intentions. In this paper, we introduce VERA…

Existing procedures for model validation have been deemed inadequate for many engineering systems. The reason of this inadequacy is due to the high degree of complexity of the mechanisms that govern these systems. It is proposed in this…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 A. Guergachi

Robotic task execution faces challenges due to the inconsistency between symbolic planner models and the rich control structures actually running on the robot. In this paper, we present the first physical deployment of an integrated…

The use of Internet of Things (IoT) technologies is becoming a preferred solution for the assessment of tailings dams' safety. Real-time sensor monitoring proves to be a key tool for reducing the risk related to these ever-evolving…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2021-06-08 Christina Nasikaa , Pedro Diez , Pierre Gerard , Thierry J. Massart , Sergio Zlotnik

Reliable uncertainty estimation is critical for deploying neural networks (NNs) in real-world applications. While existing calibration techniques often rely on post-hoc adjustments or coarse-grained binning methods, they remain limited in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-30 Pedro Mendes , Paolo Romano , David Garlan
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