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I derive the pointwise conditional means and variances of an arbitrary Gauss-Markov process, given noisy observations of points on a sample path. These moments depend on the process's mean and covariance functions, and on the conditional…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-02 Benjamin Davies

Let $X$ be a Markov process taking values in $\mathbf{E}$ with continuous paths and transition function $(P_{s,t})$. Given a measure $\mu$ on $(\mathbf{E}, \mathscr{E})$, a Markov bridge starting at $(s,\varepsilon_x)$ and ending at…

概率论 · 数学 2015-11-13 Umut Çetin , Albina Danilova

Motivated by the Brownian bridge on random interval considered by Bedini et al \cite{BBE}, we introduce and study Gaussian bridges with random length with special emphasis to the Markov property. We prove that if the starting process is…

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-08 Mohamed Erraoui , Mohammed Louriki

Spectral decomposition of the covariance operator is one of the main building blocks in the theory and applications of Gaussian processes. Unfortunately it is notoriously hard to derive in a closed form. In this paper we consider the…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-19 P. Chigansky , M. Kleptsyna , D. Marushkevych

A conditioned stochastic process can display a very different behavior from the unconditioned process. In particular, a conditioned process can exhibit non-Gaussian fluctuations even if the unconditioned process is Gaussian. In this work,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-03-18 Tristan Gautié , Naftali R. Smith

In this paper, we introduce and study McKean-Vlasov processes of bridge type. Specifically, we examine a stochastic differential equation (SDE) of the form: $$\mathrm{d} \xi_t=-\mu(t,\mathbb{E}[\varphi_1(\xi_t)]) \frac{\xi_t}{T-t}…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-28 Wolfgang Bock , Astrid Hilbert , Mohammed Louriki

We study a generalization of the Brownian bridge as a stochastic process that models the position and velocity of inertial particles between the two end-points of a time interval. The particles experience random acceleration and are assumed…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2014-07-15 Yongxin Chen , Tryphon Georgiou

We present a new method to sample conditioned trajectories of a system evolving under Langevin dynamics, based on Brownian bridges. The trajectories are conditioned to end at a certain point (or in a certain region) in space. The bridge…

数学物理 · 物理学 2022-08-17 Patrice Koehl , Henri Orland

Many inverse problems require reconstructing physical fields from limited and noisy data while incorporating known governing equations. A growing body of work within probabilistic numerics formalizes such tasks via Bayesian inference in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-19 Alex Alberts , Ilias Bilionis

In this paper we are concerned with distribution dependent backward stochastic differential equations (DDBSDEs) driven by Gaussian processes. We first show the existence and uniqueness of solutions to this type of equations. This is done by…

概率论 · 数学 2023-02-08 Xiliang Fan , Jiang-Lun Wu

We study the pathwise description of a (sub-)critical continuous-state branching process (CSBP) conditioned to be never extinct, as the solution to a stochastic differential equation driven by Brownian motion and Poisson point measures. The…

概率论 · 数学 2012-12-24 M. C. Fittipaldi , J. Fontbona

In this paper, we study linear backward stochastic differential equations driven by a class of centered Gaussian non-martingales, including fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in (0,1)\setminus \{\frac12\}$. We show that, for…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-20 Christian Bender , Lauri Viitasaari

A generalized bridge is the law of a stochastic process that is conditioned on N linear functionals of its path. We consider two types of representations of such bridges: orthogonal and canonical. The orthogonal representation is…

概率论 · 数学 2013-11-25 Tommi Sottinen , Adil Yazigi

In many applications it is important to be able to sample paths of SDEs conditional on observations of various kinds. This paper studies SPDEs which solve such sampling problems. The SPDE may be viewed as an infinite dimensional analogue of…

概率论 · 数学 2010-05-27 M. Hairer , A. M. Stuart , J. Voss , P. Wiberg

The problems of the construction of the asymptotically distribution free goodness-of-fit tests for three models of stochastic processes are considered. The null hypothesis for all models is composite parametric. All tests are based on the…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-04-01 Yury A. Kutoyants

The paper deals with the asymptotic behavior of the bridge of a Gaussian process conditioned to stay in $n$ fixed points at $n$ fixed past instants. In particular, functional large deviation results are stated for small time. Several…

概率论 · 数学 2016-04-06 L. Caramellino , B. Pacchiarotti

We propose a novel stochastic method to generate Brownian paths conditioned to start at an initial point and end at a given final point during a fixed time $t_{f}$ under a given potential $U(x)$. These paths are sampled with a probability…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-11-24 Marc Delarue , Patrice Koehl , Henri Orland

Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a principled probabilistic model over functions, but exact inference is restricted to the linear-Gaussian regime. We establish an explicit equivalence between GPs and a class of linear diffusion models,…

Let X and Y be time-homogeneous Markov processes with common state space E, and assume that the transition kernels of X and Y admit densities with respect to suitable reference measures. We show that if there is a time t>0 such that, for…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 P. J. Fitzsimmons

Gaussian processes retain the linear model either as a special case, or in the limit. We show how this relationship can be exploited when the data are at least partially linear. However from the perspective of the Bayesian posterior, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-07-13 Robert B. Gramacy , Herbert K. H. Lee
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