相关论文: Bootstrap Methods for the Empirical Study of Decis…

There are some papers which describe the use of bootstrap techniques in point process statistics. The aim of the present paper is to show that the form in which bootstrap is used there is dubious. In case of variance estimation of pair…

We introduce an epistemic information measure between two data streams, that we term $influence$. Closely related to transfer entropy, the measure must be estimated by epistemic agents with finite memory resources via sampling accessible…

We introduce a nonparametric bootstrap procedure based on a dynamic factor model to construct pointwise prediction intervals for period life-table death counts. The age distribution of death counts is an example of constrained data, which…

As the frontiers of applied statistics progress through increasingly complex experiments we must exploit increasingly sophisticated inferential models to analyze the observations we make. In order to avoid misleading or outright erroneous…

The aim of this paper is to investigate various information-theoretic measures, including entropy, mutual information, and some systematic measures that based on mutual information, for a class of structured spiking neuronal network. In…

We investigate Bayesian predictive inference for finite population quantities when there are unequal probabilities of selection. Only limited information about the sample design is available; i.e., only the first-order selection…

The use of longitudinal finite mixture models such as group-based trajectory modeling has seen a sharp increase during the last decades in the medical literature. However, these methods have been criticized especially because of the…

Bootstrapping can produce confidence levels for hypotheses about quadratic regression models - such as whether the U-shape is inverted, and the location of optima. The method has several advantages over conventional methods: it provides…

When faced with severely imbalanced binary classification problems, we often train models on bootstrapped data in which the number of instances of each class occur in a more favorable ratio, e.g., one. We view algorithmic inequity through…

Some of the most used sampling mechanisms that implicitly leverage a social network depend on tuning parameters; for instance, Respondent-Driven Sampling (RDS) is specified by the number of seeds and maximum number of referrals. We are…

While running any experiment, we often have to consider the statistical power to ensure an effective study. Statistical power or power ensures that we can observe an effect with high probability if such a true effect exists. However,…

Maximum entropy estimation is of broad interest for inferring properties of systems across many different disciplines. In this work, we significantly extend a technique we previously introduced for estimating the maximum entropy of a set of…

The ability to make decisions based on data, with its inherent uncertainties and variability, is a complex and vital skill in the modern world. The need for such quantitative critical thinking occurs in many different contexts, and while it…

We propose an information-theoretic framework to measure narratives, providing a formalism to understand pivotal moments, cliffhangers, and plot twists. This approach offers creatives and AI researchers tools to analyse and benchmark human-…

In information theory, the link between continuous information and discrete information is established through well-known sampling theorems. Sampling theory explains, for example, how frequency-filtered music signals are reconstructible…

Reliable forward uncertainty quantification in engineering requires methods that account for aleatory and epistemic uncertainties. In many applications, epistemic effects arising from uncertain parameters and model form dominate prediction…

Traditional statistical theory assumes that the analysis to be performed on a given data set is selected independently of the data themselves. This assumption breaks downs when data are re-used across analyses and the analysis to be…

With recent advances in high throughput technology, researchers often find themselves running a large number of hypothesis tests (thousands+) and esti- mating a large number of effect-sizes. Generally there is particular interest in those…

One of the crucial steps in scientific studies is to specify dependent relationships among factors in a system of interest. Given little knowledge of a system, can we characterize the underlying dependent relationships through observation…

Natural and social multivariate systems are commonly studied through sets of simultaneous and time-spaced measurements of the observables that drive their dynamics, i.e., through sets of time series. Typically, this is done via hypothesis…