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We study maximum likelihood estimation for spatial generalized linear mixed models with Gaussian process approximations using a stochastic Newton-Raphson algorithm. We consider two Gaussian Process approximations in this context: spectral…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-19 Samuel I. Watson , Yixin Wang , Emanuele Giorgi

Latent Gaussian models (LGMs) are a popular class of Bayesian hierarchical models that include Gaussian processes, as well as certain spatial models and mixed-effect models. Efficient Bayesian inference of LGMs often requires marginalizing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-21 Jinlin Lai , Charles C. Margossian , Daniel R. Sheldon

Engineers widely use Gaussian process regression framework to construct surrogate models aimed to replace computationally expensive physical models while exploring design space. Thanks to Gaussian process properties we can use both samples…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-14 Evgeny Burnaev , Alexey Zaytsev

Spatially misaligned data can be fused by using a Bayesian melding model that assumes that underlying all observations there is a spatially continuous Gaussian random field process. This model can be used, for example, to predict air…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-06 Ruiman Zhong , André Victor Ribeiro Amaral , Paula Moraga

We analyze the dynamics of an algorithm for approximate inference with large Gaussian latent variable models in a student-teacher scenario. To model nontrivial dependencies between the latent variables, we assume random covariance matrices…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-26 Burak Çakmak , Manfred Opper

Physics-based models capture broad spatial and temporal dynamics, but often suffer from biases and numerical approximations, while observations capture localized variability but are sparse. Integrating these complementary data modalities is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-23 Atlanta Chakraborty , Julie Bessac

Posterior inference for Dirichlet process mixture models is analytically intractable and typically relies on Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, which can become computationally prohibitive at moderate to large sample sizes. In this work, we…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-04-29 Beatrice Franzolini , Francesco Pozza

Generalized linear mixed models are useful in studying hierarchical data with possibly non-Gaussian responses. However, the intractability of likelihood functions poses challenges for estimation. We develop a new method suitable for this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-26 Zexi Song , Zhiqiang Tan

We introduce a framework for updating large scale geospatial processes using a model-data synthesis method based on Bayesian hierarchical modelling. Two major challenges come from updating large-scale Gaussian process and modelling…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-05-01 Zhe Sha , Jonathan Rougier , Maike Schumacher , Jonathan Bamber

This work explores a novel approach for adaptive, differentiable parametrization of large-scale non-stationary random fields. Coupled with any gradient-based algorithm, the method can be applied to variety of optimization problems,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-03-19 Andrei Mukhin , Aleksey Khlyupin

Purely data driven approaches for machine learning present difficulties when data is scarce relative to the complexity of the model or when the model is forced to extrapolate. On the other hand, purely mechanistic approaches need to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-16 Mauricio A. Álvarez , David Luengo , Neil D. Lawrence

In this paper, we develop a method to model and estimate several, _dependent_ count processes, using granular data. Specifically, we develop a multivariate Cox process with shot noise intensities to jointly model the arrival process of…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-08-19 Benjamin Avanzi , Gregory Clive Taylor , Bernard Wong , Xinda Yang

Gaussian processes (GPs) are powerful but computationally expensive machine learning models, requiring an estimate of the kernel covariance matrix for every prediction. In large and complex domains, such as graphs, sets, or images, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-22 Alessandro Tibo , Thomas Dyhre Nielsen

Motivated by a large ground-level ozone dataset, we propose a new computationally efficient additive approximate Gaussian process. The proposed method incorporates a computational-complexity-reduction method and a separable covariance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-10 Pulong Ma , Bledar A. Konomi , Emily L. Kang

Model calibration or data inversion is one of fundamental tasks in uncertainty quantification. In this work, we study the theoretical properties of the scaled Gaussian stochastic process (S-GaSP), to model the discrepancy between reality…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-08-04 Mengyang Gu , Fangzheng Xie , Long Wang

Latent variable models for ordinal data represent a useful tool in different fields of research in which the constructs of interest are not directly observable. In such models, problems related to the integration of the likelihood function…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-06-26 Silvia Bianconcini , Silvia Cagnone

Quantifying spatial and/or temporal associations in multivariate geolocated data of different types is achievable via spatial random effects in a Bayesian hierarchical model, but severe computational bottlenecks arise when spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-02 Michele Peruzzi , David B. Dunson

Measurement error and missing data in variables used in statistical models are common, and can at worst lead to serious biases in analyses if they are ignored. Yet, these problems are often not dealt with adequately, presumably in part…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-13 Emma Skarstein , Stefanie Muff

Coming up with Bayesian models for spatial data is easy, but performing inference with them can be challenging. Writing fast inference code for a complex spatial model with realistically-sized datasets from scratch is time-consuming, and if…

Nonstationary Gaussian process models can capture complex spatially varying dependence structures in spatial datasets. However, the large number of observations in modern datasets makes fitting such models computationally intractable with…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-06-13 Paul G. Beckman , Christopher J. Geoga , Michael L. Stein , Mihai Anitescu