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With the rise in popularity of public social media and micro-blogging services, most notably Twitter, the people have found a venue to hear and be heard by their peers without an intermediary. As a consequence, and aided by the public…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2016-06-21 Prashanth Vijayaraghavan , Soroush Vosoughi , Deb Roy

In this paper, we present a new application-focused benchmark dataset and results from a set of baseline Natural Language Processing and Machine Learning models for prediction of match outcomes for games of football (soccer). By doing so we…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-12-09 Ryan Beal , Stuart E. Middleton , Timothy J. Norman , Sarvapali D. Ramchurn

We study the power of Twitter events to predict consumer sales events by analysing sales for 75 companies from the retail sector and over 150 million tweets mentioning those companies along with their sentiment. We suggest an approach for…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2015-08-18 Olga Kolchyna , Th'arsis T. P. Souza , Tomaso Aste , Philip C. Treleaven

We showcase in this paper the use of some tools from network theory to describe the strategy of football teams. Using passing data made available by FIFA during the 2010 World Cup, we construct for each team a weighted and directed network…

组合数学 · 数学 2013-12-03 Javier López Peña , Hugo Touchette

In recent years, Twitter data related to political trends have tentatively been used to make predictions (poll) about several electoral events. Given $q$ candidates for an election and a time-series of Twitts (short messages), one can…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-01-09 Lucas Nicolao , Massimo Ostilli

Microblogs such as Twitter represent a powerful source of information. Part of this information can be aggregated beyond the level of individual posts. Some of this aggregated information is referring to events that could or should be acted…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-08-04 Ali Hürriyetoğlu

Electoral prediction from Twitter data is an appealing research topic. It seems relatively straightforward and the prevailing view is overly optimistic. This is problematic because while simple approaches are assumed to be good enough, core…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2013-09-04 Daniel Gayo-Avello

Numerals that contain much information in financial documents are crucial for financial decision making. They play different roles in financial analysis processes. This paper is aimed at understanding the meanings of numerals in financial…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2019-03-06 Chung-Chi Chen , Hen-Hsen Huang , Yow-Ting Shiue , Hsin-Hsi Chen

We present a systematic approach to the prediction of soccer matches. First, we show that the information about chances for goals is by far more informative than about the actual results. Second, we present a multivariate regression…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2012-07-20 Andreas Heuer , Oliver Rubner

Predicting personality is essential for social applications supporting human-centered activities, yet prior modeling methods with users written text require too much input data to be realistically used in the context of social media. In…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2017-04-20 Pierre-Hadrien Arnoux , Anbang Xu , Neil Boyette , Jalal Mahmud , Rama Akkiraju , Vibha Sinha

Twitter is a well-known microblogging social site where users express their views and opinions in real-time. As a result, tweets tend to contain valuable information. With the advancements of deep learning in the domain of natural language…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-10-22 Mohiuddin Md Abdul Qudar , Vijay Mago

Measuring and forecasting opinion trends from real-time social media is a long-standing goal of big-data analytics. Despite its importance, there has been no conclusive scientific evidence so far that social media activity can capture the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-09-12 Alexandre Bovet , Flaviano Morone , Hernan A. Makse

Micro-blogging sources such as the Twitter social network provide valuable real-time data for market prediction models. Investors' opinions in this network follow the fluctuations of the stock markets and often include educated speculations…

While the polls have been the most trusted source for election predictions for decades, in the recent presidential election they were called inaccurate and biased. How inaccurate were the polls in this election and can social media beat the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2017-01-24 David Anuta , Josh Churchin , Jiebo Luo

How predictable is success in complex social systems? In spite of a recent profusion of prediction studies that exploit online social and information network data, this question remains unanswered, in part because it has not been adequately…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-02-03 Travis Martin , Jake M. Hofman , Amit Sharma , Ashton Anderson , Duncan J. Watts

Social media platforms allow users to create polls to gather public opinion on diverse topics. However, we know little about what such polls are used for and how reliable they are, especially in significant contexts like elections. Focusing…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-06-11 Stephen Scarano , Vijayalakshmi Vasudevan , Mattia Samory , Kai-Cheng Yang , JungHwan Yang , Przemyslaw A. Grabowicz

Nowcasting based on social media text promises to provide unobtrusive and near real-time predictions of community-level outcomes. These outcomes are typically regarding people, but the data is often aggregated without regard to users in the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-08-30 Salvatore Giorgi , Daniel Preotiuc-Pietro , Anneke Buffone , Daniel Rieman , Lyle H. Ungar , H. Andrew Schwartz

Assessing political conversations in social media requires a deeper understanding of the underlying practices and styles that drive these conversations. In this paper, we present a computational approach for assessing online conversational…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2014-05-28 Haiko Lietz , Claudia Wagner , Arnim Bleier , Markus Strohmaier

Social media is a rich source of user behavior and opinions. Twitter senses nearly 500 million tweets per day from 328 million users.An appropriate machine learning pipeline over this information enables up-to-date and cost-effective data…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-04-11 Alan Smith , Manas Gaur

Tweets pertaining to a single event, such as a national election, can number in the hundreds of millions. Automatically analyzing them is beneficial in many downstream natural language applications such as question answering and…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2013-11-06 Saif M. Mohammad , Svetlana Kiritchenko , Joel Martin