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Estimation of the covariance matrix of asset returns from high frequency data is complicated by asynchronous returns, market mi- crostructure noise and jumps. One technique for addressing both asynchronous returns and market microstructure…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-02-19 Michael Ho , Jack Xin

Filtering and smoothing algorithms for linear discrete-time state-space models with skewed and heavy-tailed measurement noise are presented. The algorithms use a variational Bayes approximation of the posterior distribution of models that…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2015-06-30 Henri Nurminen , Tohid Ardeshiri , Robert Piché , Fredrik Gustafsson

Credible forecasting and representation learning of dynamical systems are of ever-increasing importance for reliable decision-making. To that end, we propose a family of Gaussian processes (GP) for dynamical systems with linear…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 Petar Bevanda , Max Beier , Armin Lederer , Alexandre Capone , Stefan Sosnowski , Sandra Hirche

We present an expression for the covariance matrix for the set of state vectors describing a track fitted with a Kalman filter. We demonstrate that this expression facilitates the use of a Kalman filter track model in a minimum $\chi^2$…

仪器与探测器 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Wouter Hulsbergen

Filtering is concerned with online estimation of the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations. In applications where the state is high dimensional, ensemble Kalman filters are often the method of choice. This paper…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-12-20 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Nathan Waniorek

We introduce Kalman Gradient Descent, a stochastic optimization algorithm that uses Kalman filtering to adaptively reduce gradient variance in stochastic gradient descent by filtering the gradient estimates. We present both a theoretical…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-30 James Vuckovic

A novel approach for vehicle tracking using a hybrid adaptive Kalman filter is proposed. The filter utilizes recurrent neural networks to learn the vehicle's geometrical and kinematic features, which are then used in a supervised learning…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-04-05 Barak Or , Itzik Klein

Saliency maps have been widely used to interpret the decisions of neural network classifiers and discover phenomena from their learned functions. However, standard gradient-based maps are frequently observed to be highly sensitive to the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-03-12 Zhuorui Ye , Farzan Farnia

Kalman filtering has been traditionally applied in three application areas of estimation, state estimation, parameter estimation (a.k.a. model updating), and dual estimation. However, Kalman filter is often not sufficient when experimenting…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-11-11 Johnny Condori , Amin Maghareh , Shirley Dyke

Koopman theory asserts that a nonlinear dynamical system can be mapped to a linear system, where the Koopman operator advances observations of the state forward in time. However, the observable functions that map states to observations are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-04 Jeremy Morton , Freddie D Witherden , Mykel J Kochenderfer

Kalman filtering is a cornerstone of estimation theory, yet learning the optimal filter under unknown and potentially singular noise covariances remains a fundamental challenge. In this paper, we revisit this problem through the lens of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-08 Larsen Bier , Shahriar Talebi

This paper introduces a novel approach to detect and address faulty or corrupted external sensors in the context of inertial navigation by leveraging a switching Kalman Filter combined with parameter augmentation. Instead of discarding the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-12-12 Artem Mustaev , Nicholas Galioto , Matt Boler , John D. Jakeman , Cosmin Safta , Alex Gorodetsky

Autonomous vehicles have gained significant attention due to technological advancements and their potential to transform transportation. A critical challenge in this domain is precise localization, particularly in LiDAR-based map matching,…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-01-07 Minoo Dolatabadi , Fardin Ayar , Ehsan Javanmardi , Manabu Tsukada , Mahdi Javanmardi

The input-parameter-state estimation capabilities of a novel unscented Kalman filter is examined herein on both linear and nonlinear systems. The unknown input is estimated in two stages within each time step. Firstly, the predicted dynamic…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-11-05 Marios Impraimakis , Andrew W. Smyth

Continuous-time state-space models (SSMs) are flexible tools for analysing irregularly sampled sequential observations that are driven by an underlying state process. Corresponding applications typically involve restrictive assumptions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-29 Sina Mews , Roland Langrock , Marius Ötting , Houda Yaqine , Jost Reinecke

Deep learning is widely used to predict complex dynamical systems in many scientific and engineering areas. However, the black-box nature of these deep learning models presents significant challenges for carrying out simultaneous data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-04 Chuanqi Chen , Nan Chen , Yinling Zhang , Jin-Long Wu

This paper proposes a probabilistic approach to the problem of intrinsic filtering of a system on a matrix Lie group with invariance properties. The problem of an invariant continuous-time model with discrete-time measurements is cast into…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-02-22 Axel Barrau , Silvere Bonnabel

Kalman filter is a key tool for time-series forecasting and analysis. We show that the dependence of a prediction of Kalman filter on the past is decaying exponentially, whenever the process noise is non-degenerate. Therefore, Kalman filter…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-24 Mark Kozdoba , Jakub Marecek , Tigran Tchrakian , Shie Mannor

Multi-scale problems, where variables of interest evolve in different time-scales and live in different state-spaces, can be found in many fields of science. Here, we introduce a new recursive methodology for Bayesian inference that aims at…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-07-08 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Harold Molina-Bulla , Joaquin Miguez

Learning governing equations from data is central to understanding the behavior of physical systems across diverse scientific disciplines, including physics, biology, and engineering. The Sindy algorithm has proven effective in leveraging…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-17 Gianluigi Pillonetto , Akram Yazdani , Aleksandr Aravkin