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Multivariate generalized Pareto distributions arise as the limit distributions of exceedances over multivariate thresholds of random vectors in the domain of attraction of a max-stable distribution. These distributions can be parametrized…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-05-24 Holger Rootzén , Johan Segers , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

Parameter estimation is one of the most important tasks in statistics, and is key to helping people understand the distribution behind a sample of observations. Traditionally parameter estimation is done either by closed-form solutions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-04 Xiaoxin Yin , David S. Yin

Often it is not easy to choose between estimators, based on the estimated MSE and bias using simulation studies. Normality in small samples and a variance of the estimator, which is correct and easy to calculate using a single sample, give…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-11-06 J. Martin van Zyl

Due to its heavy-tailed and fully parametric form, the multivariate generalized Gaussian distribution (MGGD) has been receiving much attention for modeling extreme events in signal and image processing applications. Considering the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-02-27 F. Pascal , L. Bombrun , J. Y. Tourneret , Y. Berthoumieu

In extreme value statistics, the peaks-over-threshold method is widely used. The method is based on the generalized Pareto distribution characterizing probabilities of exceedances over high thresholds in $\mathbb {R}^d$. We present a…

概率论 · 数学 2014-10-17 Ana Ferreira , Laurens de Haan

The most popular approach in extreme value statistics is the modelling of threshold exceedances using the asymptotically motivated generalised Pareto distribution. This approach involves the selection of a high threshold above which the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-05-27 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jonathan A. Tawn

This paper presents foundational theoretical results on distributed parameter estimation for undirected probabilistic graphical models. It introduces a general condition on composite likelihood decompositions of these models which…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-06-13 Yariv Dror Mizrahi , Misha Denil , Nando de Freitas

Multivariate peaks over thresholds modeling based on generalized Pareto distributions has up to now only been used in few and mostly 2-dimensional situations. This paper contributes theoretical understanding, physically based models,…

概率论 · 数学 2017-05-04 Holger Rootzén , Johan Segers , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

When assessing the impact of extreme events, it is often not just a single component, but the combined behaviour of several components which is important. Statistical modelling using multivariate generalized Pareto (GP) distributions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-07 Anna Kiriliouk , Holger Rootzén , Johan Segers , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

For estimating area-specific parameters (quantities) in a finite population, a mixed model prediction approach is attractive. However, this approach strongly depends on the normality assumption of the response values although we often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-12 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

In statistics, processed data are becoming increasingly complex, and classical probability distributions are limited in their ability to model them. This is why, to better model data, extensive work has been conducted on extending classical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-12 Issa Cherif Geraldo , Edoh Katchekpele , Tchilabalo Abozou Kpanzou

In this paper, we discuss a method to define prior distributions for the threshold of a generalised Pareto distribution, in particular when its applications are directed to heavy-tailed data. We propose to assign prior probabilities to the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-06 Cristiano Villa

Most extreme events in real life can be faithfully modeled as random realizations from a Generalized Pareto distribution, which depends on two parameters: the scale and the shape. In many actual situations, one is mostly concerned with the…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-06-30 Paul Rochet , Isabel Serra

A new multivariate distribution possessing arbitrarily parametrized and positively dependent univariate Pareto margins is introduced. Unlike the probability law of Asimit et al. (2010) [Asimit, V., Furman, E. and Vernic, R. (2010) On a…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-07-19 Jianxi Su , Edward Furman

When modeling a vector of risk variables, extreme scenarios are often of special interest. The peaks-over-thresholds method hinges on the notion that, asymptotically, the excesses over a vector of high thresholds follow a multivariate…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-23 Anas Mourahib , Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers

The generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) is a fundamental model for analyzing the tail behavior of a distribution. In particular, the shape parameter of the GPD characterizes the extremal properties of the distribution. As described in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-18 Takuma Yoshida , Koki Momoki , Shuichi Kawano

Importance weighting is a general way to adjust Monte Carlo integration to account for draws from the wrong distribution, but the resulting estimate can be highly variable when the importance ratios have a heavy right tail. This routinely…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-04-12 Aki Vehtari , Daniel Simpson , Andrew Gelman , Yuling Yao , Jonah Gabry

This paper reviews generalized Pareto copulas (GPC), which turn out to be a key to multivariate extreme value theory. Any GPC can be represented in an easy analytic way using a particular type of norm on $\mathbb{R}^d$, called $D$-norm. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-11-26 Michael Falk , Simone Padoan , Florian Wisheckel

In this paper, we begin our discussion with some of the well-known methods available in the literature for the estimation of the parameters of a univariate/multivariate stable distribution. Based on the available methods, a new hybrid…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-02-27 Aastha M. Sathe , Neelesh. S. Upadhye

Transmutation is a technique for extending classical probability distributions in order to give them more flexibility. In this paper, we are interested in cubic transmutations of the Pareto distribution. We establish a general formula that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-14 Edoh Katchekpele , Issa Cherif Geraldo , Tchilabalo Abozou Kpanzou
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