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This work develops formal statistical inference procedures for machine learning ensemble methods. Ensemble methods based on bootstrapping, such as bagging and random forests, have improved the predictive accuracy of individual trees, but…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-09-11 Lucas Mentch , Giles Hooker

In this paper we study a bootstrap strategy for estimating the variance of a mean taken over large multifactor crossed random effects data sets. We apply bootstrap reweighting independently to the levels of each factor, giving each…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-09-28 Art B. Owen , Dean Eckles

We propose a new conditional dependence measure and a statistical test for conditional independence. The measure is based on the difference between analytic kernel embeddings of two well-suited distributions evaluated at a finite set of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-17 Meyer Scetbon , Laurent Meunier , Yaniv Romano

Confidence intervals based on the central limit theorem (CLT) are a cornerstone of classical statistics. Despite being only asymptotically valid, they are ubiquitous because they permit statistical inference under weak assumptions and can…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-15 Ian Waudby-Smith , David Arbour , Ritwik Sinha , Edward H. Kennedy , Aaditya Ramdas

Because the stationary bootstrap resamples data blocks of random length, this method has been thought to have the largest asymptotic variance among block bootstraps Lahiri [Ann. Statist. 27 (1999) 386--404]. It is shown here that the…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-03-04 Daniel J. Nordman

This article establishes novel strong uniform laws of large numbers for randomly weighted sums such as bootstrap means. By leveraging recent advances, these results extend previous work in their general applicability to a wide range of…

概率论 · 数学 2023-10-24 Neil A. Spencer , Jeffrey W. Miller

The bootstrap, based on resampling, has, for several decades, been a widely used method for computing confidence intervals for applications where no exact method is available and when sample sizes are not large enough to be able to rely on…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-08-27 Chris Gotwalt , Li Xu , Yili Hong , William Q. Meeker

Statistical inference in competing risks models is often based on the famous Aalen-Johansen estimator. Since the corresponding limit process lacks independent increments, it is typically applied together with Lin's (1997) resampling…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-01-31 Dennis Dobler , Markus Pauly

In the paper, we investigate the asymptotic behaviors of the randomly weighted sums with upper tail asymptotically independent increments under new conditions without requiring moment assumptions on random weights.An application of the…

Recently there has been much interest in data that, in statistical language, may be described as having a large crossed and severely unbalanced random effects structure. Such data sets arise for recommender engines and information retrieval…

应用统计 · 统计学 2007-12-18 Art B. Owen

Clustering methods are a valuable tool for the identification of patterns in high dimensional data with applications in many scientific problems. However, quantifying uncertainty in clustering is a challenging problem, particularly when…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-01 Marcio Valk , Gabriela Bettella Cybis

We propose sieve wild bootstrap analogues to the adaptive Lasso solution path unit root tests of Arnold and Reinschl\"ussel (2024) arXiv:2404.06205 to improve finite sample properties and extend their applicability to a generalised…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-13 Martin C. Arnold , Thilo Reinschlüssel

This paper proposes novel tests for the absence of jumps in a univariate semimartingale and for the absence of common jumps in a bivariate semimartingale. Our methods rely on ratio statistics of power variations based on irregular…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-12-21 Ole Martin , Mathias Vetter

The asymptotic behaviour of the commonly used bootstrap percentile confidence interval is investigated when the parameters are subject to linear inequality constraints. We concentrate on the important one- and two-sample problems with data…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-12-06 Chunlin Wang , Paul Marriott , Pengfei Li

In this paper we revisit the weighted likelihood bootstrap, a method that generates samples from an approximate Bayesian posterior of a parametric model. We show that the same method can be derived, without approximation, under a Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-23 Simon Lyddon , Chris Holmes , Stephen Walker

This paper is concerned with testing global null hypotheses about population mean vectors of high-dimensional data. Current tests require either strong mixing (independence) conditions on the individual components of the high-dimensional…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-09-06 Alexander Giessing , Jianqing Fan

We study the asymptotic stability properties of nonlinear switched systems under the assumption of the existence of a common weak Lyapunov function. We consider the class of nonchaotic inputs, which generalize the different notions of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2012-10-29 Philippe Jouan , Naciri Saïd

We derive in this article the asymptotic behavior as well as non-asymptotical estimates of tail of distribution for self-normalized sums of random variables (r.v.) under natural classical norming. We investigate also the case of…

概率论 · 数学 2017-10-10 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

The exploration of associations between random objects with complex geometric structures has catalyzed the development of various novel statistical tests encompassing distance-based and kernel-based statistics. These methods have various…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-28 Zhe Gao , Roulin Wang , Xueqin Wang , Heping Zhang

Clustered data arise naturally in many scientific and applied research settings where units are grouped within clusters. They are commonly analyzed using linear mixed models to account for within-cluster correlations. This article focuses…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-10 Zhi Yang Tho , Raymond Chambers , A. H. Welsh