相关论文: A SARIMAX coupled modelling applied to individual …
In climate science, the tuning of climate models is a computationally intensive problem due to the combination of the high-dimensionality of the system state and long integration times. Supermodelling is a technique which has shown the…
Accurate load forecasting is critical for efficient and reliable operations of the electric power system. A large part of electricity consumption is affected by weather conditions, making weather information an important determinant of…
This work presents a new plasma cooling curve that is calculated using the SPEX package. We compare our cooling rates to those in previous works, and implement the new cooling function in the grid-adaptive framework `AMRVAC'. Contributions…
In this paper, the modeling of building end-use energy profile is comprehensively investigated. Top-down and Bottom-up approaches are discussed with a focus on the latter for better integration with occupant information. Compared to the…
Renewable energy power is influenced by the atmospheric system, which exhibits nonlinear and time-varying features. To address this, a dynamic temporal correlation modeling framework is proposed for renewable energy scenario generation. A…
The emergence of connected and automated vehicles (CAVs) provides an unprecedented opportunity to capitalize on these technologies well beyond their original designed intents. While abundant evidence has been accumulated showing substantial…
Increasing shares of fluctuating renewable energy sources induce higher and higher power flow variability at the transmission level. The question arises as to what extent existing networks can absorb additional fluctuating power injection…
In this work, we study quantum heat transport in a single trapped ion, driven by laser excitation and coupled to thermal reservoirs operating at different temperatures. Our focus lies in understanding how different laser coupling scenarios…
Electric load forecasting is an indispensable component of electric power system planning and management. Inaccurate load forecasting may lead to the threat of outages or a waste of energy. Accurate electric load forecasting is challenging…
We focus on day-ahead electricity load forecasting of substations of the distribution network in France; therefore, our problem lies between the instability of a single consumption and the stability of a countrywide total demand. Moreover,…
The flexibility in electricity consumption and production in communities of residential buildings, including those with renewable energy sources and energy storage (a.k.a., prosumers), can effectively be utilized through the advancement of…
Understanding the energy consumption patterns of different types of consumers is essential in any planning of energy distribution. However, obtaining consumption information for single individuals is often either not possible or too…
For the last ten years, utilities have observed on-going transitions on consumers' load curves. The previously flat load curves have more frequently turned into duck-shape. This is jointly caused by the increasing household loads as well as…
This article proposes a dynamical system modeling approach for the analysis of longitudinal data of self-regulated systems experiencing multiple excitations. The aim of such an approach is to focus on the evolution of a signal (e.g., heart…
With an increasing share of electric energy produced from non-dispatchable renewable sources both energy storage and demand side management might gain tremendously in importance. While there has been significant progress in general…
We present a case study and methodological developments in large-scale hierarchical dynamic modeling for personalized prediction in commerce. The context is supermarket sales, where improved forecasting of customer/household-specific…
Time series forecasting remains a central challenge problem in almost all scientific disciplines. We introduce a novel load forecasting method in which observed dynamics are modeled as a forced linear system using Dynamic Mode Decomposition…
The demand of electricity keeps increasing in this modern society and the behavior of customers vary greatly from time to time, city to city, type to type, etc. Generally, buildings are classified into residential, commercial and…
Starting from a classical Budyko-Sellers-Ghil energy balance model for the average surface temperature of the Earth, a nonautonomous version is designed by allowing the solar irradiance and the cloud cover coefficients to vary with time in…
We explore how the thermodynamic properties and dynamics of a self-interstitial prismatic dislocation loop are affected by microscopic-scale variations in its geometric configuration, an aspect that rarely received attention in literature.…