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In this technical report, we consider conditional density estimation with a maximum likelihood approach. Under weak assumptions, we obtain a theoretical bound for a Kullback-Leibler type loss for a single model maximum likelihood estimate.…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-07-11 Serge Cohen , Erwan Le Pennec

This paper investigates tradeoffs among optimization errors, statistical rates of convergence and the effect of heavy-tailed errors for high-dimensional robust regression with nonconvex regularization. When the additive errors in linear…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-01-01 Xiaoou Pan , Qiang Sun , Wen-Xin Zhou

This paper contributes to the literature on treatment effects estimation with machine learning inspired methods by studying the performance of different estimators based on the Lasso. Building on recent work in the field of high-dimensional…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-05-15 Michael Zimmert

Many estimators of the average effect of a treatment on an outcome require estimation of the propensity score, the outcome regression, or both. It is often beneficial to utilize flexible techniques such as semiparametric regression or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-05-14 Cheng Ju , David Benkeser , Mark J. van der Laan

This paper provides guidance for researchers with some mathematical background on the conduct of time-to-event analysis in observational studies based on intensity (hazard) models. Discussions of basic concepts like time axis, event…

The generalized outcome-adaptive lasso (GOAL) is a variable selection for high-dimensional causal inference proposed by Bald\'e et al. [2023, {\em Biometrics} {\bfseries 79(1)}, 514--520]. When the dimension is high, it is now well…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-06-11 Ismaila Baldé

The hazard ratio from the Cox proportional hazards model is a ubiquitous summary of treatment effect. However, when hazards are non-proportional, the hazard ratio can lose a stable causal interpretation and become study-dependent because it…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-17 Xiang Meng , Lu Tian , Kenneth Kehl , Hajime Uno

This paper proposes a new methodological framework for estimating inferential models with latent variables. It also introduces a new latent variable regression model called LARX: an extension of the ubiquitous autoregressive model with…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-09 Daniil Bargman

We study oracle complexity of gradient based methods for stochastic approximation problems. Though in many settings optimal algorithms and tight lower bounds are known for such problems, these optimal algorithms do not achieve the best…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-06-20 Jingzhao Zhang , Hongzhou Lin , Subhro Das , Suvrit Sra , Ali Jadbabaie

Massive sized survival datasets are becoming increasingly prevalent with the development of the healthcare industry. Such datasets pose computational challenges unprecedented in traditional survival analysis use-cases. A popular way for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-09 Nir Keret , Malka Gorfine

A general many quantiles + noise model is studied in the robust formulation (allowing non-normal, non-independent observations), where the identifiability requirement for the noise is formulated in terms of quantiles rather than the…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-21 Eduard Belitser , Paulo Serra , Alexandra Vegelien

Severe Ionosphere magnetic storms are feared events for integrity and continuity of navigation systems such as EGNOS, the European SBAS (Satellite-Based Augmentation System) complementing GPS and an accurate modelling of this event…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-05-22 Malika Chassan , Jean-Marc Azaïs , Guillaume Buscarlet , Norbert Suard

The additive hazards model specifies the effect of covariates on the hazard in an additive way, in contrast to the popular Cox model, in which it is multiplicative. As non-parametric model, it offers a very flexible way of modeling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-24 Chengyuan Lu , Jelle Goeman , Hein Putter

A multiple interval-valued linear regression model considering all the cross-relationships between the mids and spreads of the intervals has been introduced recently. A least-squares estimation of the regression parameters has been carried…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-02-09 Marta García Bárzana , Ana Colubi , Erricos John Kontoghiorghes

We propose a novel approach to elicit the weight of a potentially non-stationary regressor in the consistent and oracle-efficient estimation of autoregressive models using the adaptive Lasso. The enhanced weight builds on a statistic that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-23 Thilo Reinschlüssel , Martin C. Arnold

The method of instrumental variables provides a fundamental and practical tool for causal inference in many empirical studies where unmeasured confounding between the treatments and the outcome is present. Modern data such as the genetical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-28 Ziang Niu , Yuwen Gu , Wei Li

Augmenting a smooth cost function with an $\ell_1$ penalty allows analysts to efficiently conduct estimation and variable selection simultaneously in sophisticated models and can be efficiently implemented using proximal gradient methods.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-12-10 Nathan Wycoff , Lisa O. Singh , Ali Arab , Katharine M. Donato

In this paper we present new theoretical results for the Dantzig and Lasso estimators of the drift in a high dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model under sparsity constraints. Our focus is on oracle inequalities for both estimators and error…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-08-04 Gabriela Ciolek , Dmytro Marushkevych , Mark Podolskij

There remain theoretical gaps in deep neural network estimators for the nonparametric Cox proportional hazards model. In particular, it is unclear how gradient-based optimization error propagates to population risk under partial likelihood,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-26 Sattwik Ghosal , Xuran Meng , Yi Li

New methods for time-to-event prediction are proposed by extending the Cox proportional hazards model with neural networks. Building on methodology from nested case-control studies, we propose a loss function that scales well to large data…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-16 Håvard Kvamme , Ørnulf Borgan , Ida Scheel