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This paper generalizes recent proposals of density forecasting models and it develops theory for this class of models. In density forecasting, the density of observations is estimated in regions where the density is not observed.…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-18 Young K. Lee , Enno Mammen , Jens P. Nielsen , Byeong U. Park

We study the estimation of the value function for continuous-time Markov diffusion processes using a single, discretely observed ergodic trajectory. Our work provides non-asymptotic statistical guarantees for the least-squares…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-07 Wenlong Mou

Manifold learning methods are useful for high dimensional data analysis. Many of the existing methods produce a low dimensional representation that attempts to describe the intrinsic geometric structure of the original data. Typically, this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-06-07 Oren Barkan , Jonathan Weill , Amir Averbuch

In this paper, we aim to provide a statistical theory for object matching based on the Gromov-Wasserstein distance. To this end, we model general objects as metric measure spaces. Based on this, we propose a simple and efficiently…

In this paper, we propose a novel bootstrap algorithm that is more efficient than existing methods for approximating the distribution of the factor-augmented regression estimator for a rotated parameter vector. The regression is augmented…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-02 Peiyun Jiang , Takashi Yamagata

Consider $M$-estimation in a semiparametric model that is characterized by a Euclidean parameter of interest and an infinite-dimensional nuisance parameter. As a general purpose approach to statistical inferences, the bootstrap has found…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-02-04 Guang Cheng , Jianhua Z. Huang

Diffusion models, which convert noise into new data instances by learning to reverse a diffusion process, have become a cornerstone in contemporary generative modeling. In this work, we develop non-asymptotic convergence theory for a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-06 Gen Li , Yuting Wei , Yuejie Chi , Yuxin Chen

Motivated by certain problems of statistical physics we consider a stationary stochastic process in which deterministic evolution is interrupted at random times by upward jumps of a fixed size. If the evolution consists of linear decay, the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 O. Deloubriere , H. J. Hilhorst

Real data are constrained to finite sampling rates, which calls for a suitable mathematical description of the corrections to the finite-time estimations of the dynamic equations. Often in the literature, lower order discrete time…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-05-13 C. Anteneodo , R. Riera

We consider Gowdy spacetimes under the assumption that the spatial hypersurfaces are diffeomorphic to the torus. The relevant equations are then wave map equations with the hyperbolic space as a target. In an article by Grubisic and…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2015-06-25 Hans Ringstrom

Spectral analysis plays a crucial role in high-dimensional statistics, where determining the asymptotic distribution of various spectral statistics remains a challenging task. Due to the difficulties of deriving the analytic form, recent…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-02 Guoyu Zhang , Dandan Jiang , Fang Yao

In this article, we investigate the asymptotic properties of Bayesian multiple testing procedures under general dependent setup, when the sample size and the number of hypotheses both tend to infinity. Specifically, we investigate strong…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-14 Noirrit Kiran Chandra , Sourabh Bhattacharya

We show that the asymptotic properties of the link-wise artificial compressibility method are not compatible with a correct approximation of fluid properties. We propose to adapt the previous method through a framework suggested by the…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-03-02 François Dubois , Pierre Lallemand , Christian Obrecht , Mohamed Tekitek

The large sample theory of estimators for density modes is well understood. In this paper we consider density ridges, which are a higher-dimensional extension of modes. Modes correspond to zero-dimensional, local high-density regions in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-10-14 Yen-Chi Chen , Christopher R. Genovese , Larry Wasserman

The Peaks Over Threshold (POT) method is the most popular statistical method for the analysis of univariate extremes. Even though there is a rich applied literature on Bayesian inference for the POT, the asymptotic theory for such proposals…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-01 Clément Dombry , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

We present the asymptotic distribution theory for a class of increment-based estimators of the fractal dimension of a random field of the form g{X(t)}, where g:R\to R is an unknown smooth function and X(t) is a real-valued stationary…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Grace Chan , Andrew T. A. Wood

Given a sequence of observations from a discrete-time, finite-state hidden Markov model, we would like to estimate the sampling distribution of a statistic. The bootstrap method is employed to approximate the confidence regions of a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2009-09-29 Cheng-Der Fuh , Inchi Hu

The mean absolute deviation about the mean is an alternative to the standard deviation for measuring dispersion in a sample or in a population. For stationary, ergodic time series with a finite first moment, an asymptotic expansion for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-06-18 Johan Segers

Extreme floods cause casualties, and widespread damage to property and vital civil infrastructure. We here propose a Bayesian approach for predicting extreme floods using the generalized extreme-value (GEV) distribution within gauged and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-07 Árni V. Johannesson , Stefan Siegert , Raphaël Huser , Haakon Bakka , Birgir Hrafnkelsson

Simple Exponential Smoothing is a classical technique used for smoothing time series data by assigning exponentially decreasing weights to past observations through a recursive equation; it is sometimes presented as a rule of thumb…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-08 Enrico Bernardi , Alberto Lanconelli , Christopher S. A. Lauria