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We study a new measure of codependency in the second moment of a continuous-time multivariate asset price process, which we name the realized copula of volatility. The statistic is based on local volatility estimates constructed from…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-22 Kim Christensen , Wenjing Liu , Zhi Liu , Yoann Potiron

Use of copula for the purpose of modeling dependence has been receiving considerable attention in recent times. On the other hand, search for multivariate copulas with desirable dependence properties also is an important area of research.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-18 Subhajit Chattopadhyay

A new class of copulas, termed the MGL copula class, is introduced. The new copula originates from extracting the dependence function of the multivariate generalized log-Moyal-gamma distribution whose marginals follow the univariate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-23 Zhengxiao Li , Jan Beirlant , Liang Yang

The present contribution derives an explicit expression for (a version of) every uni- and multi-variate conditional distribution (i.e., Markov kernel) of Archimedean copulas and uses this representation to generalize a recently established…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-07 Thimo Maria Kasper

Learning the joint dependence of discrete variables is a fundamental problem in machine learning, with many applications including prediction, clustering and dimensionality reduction. More recently, the framework of copula modeling has…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-11-15 Alfredo Kalaitzis , Ricardo Silva

For modeling multivariate financial time series we propose a single factor copula model together with stochastic volatility margins. This model generalizes single factor models relying on the multivariate normal distribution and allows for…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-07-22 Alexander Kreuzer , Claudia Czado

All too often measuring statistical dependencies between financial time series is reduced to a linear correlation coefficient. However this may not capture all facets of reality. We study empirical dependencies of daily stock returns by…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2017-09-01 Marcel Wollschläger , Rudi Schäfer

In this work, we analyze the steady-state maximum overlap time distribution in a single-server queue by introducing a dependence structure between service and interarrival times under the Farlie-Gumber-Morgenstern copula. We provide…

概率论 · 数学 2025-09-18 Ioannis Dimitriou

We introduce a general approach for modeling the dynamic of multivariate time series when the data are of mixed type (binary/count/continuous). Our method is quite flexible and conditionally on past values, each coordinate at time $t$ can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-05 Zinsou Max Debaly , Lionel Truquet

In many studies multivariate event time data are generated from clusters having a possibly complex association pattern. Flexible models are needed to capture this dependence. Vine copulas serve this purpose. Inference methods for vine…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-07-25 Nicole Barthel , Candida Geerdens , Matthias Killiches , Paul Janssen , Claudia Czado

We propose parametric copulas that capture serial dependence in stationary heteroskedastic time series. We develop our copula for first order Markov series, and extend it to higher orders and multivariate series. We derive the copula of a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-01-26 Rubén Loaiza-Maya , Michael S. Smith , Worapree Maneesoonthorn

Testing for pairwise independence for the case where the number of variables may be of the same size or even larger than the sample size has received increasing attention in the recent years. We contribute to this branch of the literature…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-18 Axel Bücher , Cambyse Pakzad

Although the independent censoring assumption is commonly used in survival analysis, it can be violated when the censoring time is related to the survival time, which often happens in many practical applications. To address this issue, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-28 Huazhen Yu , Lixin Zhang

We propose a multivariate generative model to capture the complex dependence structure often encountered in business and financial data. Our model features heterogeneous and asymmetric tail dependence between all pairs of individual…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-10 Xiangqian Sun , Xing Yan , Qi Wu

Multivariate mixed-type outcomes are difficult to model jointly, and additional complexity arises when both marginal effects and dependence structures vary with a covariate such as age or time. Existing approaches often impose restrictive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-15 Yujin Jeong , Seonghyun Jeong

Joint modelling of longitudinal and time-to-event data is usually described by a joint model which uses shared or correlated latent effects to capture associations between the two processes. Under this framework, the joint distribution of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-07 Zili Zhang , Christiana Charalambous , Peter Foster

When modeling multivariate phenomena, properly capturing the joint extremal behavior is often one of the many concerns. Archimax copulas appear as successful candidates in case of asymptotic dependence. In this paper, the class of Archimax…

Multivariate time series exhibit two types of dependence: across variables and across time points. Vine copulas are graphical models for the dependence and can conveniently capture both types of dependence in the same model. We derive the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-16 Thomas Nagler , Daniel Krüger , Aleksey Min

In dependently censored survival data, the usual assumption of independent censoring or an incorrect specification of the correlation between the event and censoring times can bias marginal survival inference. Likelihood-based estimation of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-07 Hyun-Soo Zhang , Inkyung Jung , Chung Mo Nam

We prove that the default times (or any of their minima) in the dynamic Gaussian copula model of Cr{\'e}pey, Jeanblanc, and Wu (2013) are invariance times in the sense of Cr{\'e}pey and Song (2017), with related invariance probability…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2017-02-13 Stéphane Crépey , Shiqi Song