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We study Bayesian posterior consistency in parametric density models with proper priors, challenging the perception that the problem is settled. Classical results established consistency via MLE convergence under regularity and…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-27 Nicola Bariletto , Bernardo Flores , Stephen G. Walker

We consider the situation where a temporal process is composed of contiguous segments with differing slopes and replicated noise-corrupted time series measurements are observed. The unknown mean of the data generating process is modelled as…

Consider the Gaussian sequence model under the additional assumption that a fixed fraction of the means is known. We study the problem of variance estimation from a frequentist Bayesian perspective. The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE)…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-12-19 Gianluca Finocchio , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

Principal stratification is a widely used framework for addressing post-randomization complications. After using principal stratification to define causal effects of interest, researchers are increasingly turning to finite mixture models to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-20 Avi Feller , Evan Greif , Nhat Ho , Luke Miratrix , Natesh Pillai

In some misspecified settings, the posterior distribution in Bayesian statistics may lead to inconsistent estimates. To fix this issue, it has been suggested to replace the likelihood by a pseudo-likelihood, that is the exponential of a…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-12-12 Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif , Pierre Alquier

We study the posterior distribution of the Bayesian multiple change-point regression problem when the number and the locations of the change-points are unknown. While it is relatively easy to apply the general theory to obtain the…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-08-21 Heng Lian

In the Bayesian approach, the a priori knowledge about the input of a mathematical model is described via a probability measure. The joint distribution of the unknown input and the data is then conditioned, using Bayes' formula, giving rise…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-15 Sebastian J. Vollmer

For ill-posed inverse problems, a regularised solution can be interpreted as a mode of the posterior distribution in a Bayesian framework. This framework enriches the set the solutions, as other posterior estimates can be used as a solution…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-04-22 Natalia Bochkina

In recent years, the literature in the area of Bayesian asymptotics has been rapidly growing. It is increasingly important to understand the concept of posterior consistency and validate specific Bayesian methods, in terms of consistency of…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Taeryon Choi , R. V. Ramamoorthi

Robust Bayesian linear regression is a classical but essential statistical tool. Although novel robustness properties of posterior distributions have been proved recently under a certain class of error distributions, their sufficient…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-23 Yasuyuki Hamura , Kaoru Irie , Shonosuke Sugasawa

We study full Bayesian procedures for sparse linear regression when errors have a symmetric but otherwise unknown distribution. The unknown error distribution is endowed with a symmetrized Dirichlet process mixture of Gaussians. For the…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-03-26 Minwoo Chae , Lizhen Lin , David B. Dunson

In this paper we compare and contrast the behavior of the posterior predictive distribution to the risk of the maximum a posteriori estimator for the random features regression model in the overparameterized regime. We will focus on the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-30 Youngsoo Baek , Samuel I. Berchuck , Sayan Mukherjee

Under model misspecification, the MLE generally converges to the pseudo-true parameter, the parameter corresponding to the distribution within the model that is closest to the distribution from which the data are sampled. In many problems,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-11-02 Peter Hoff , Jon Wakefield

This article introduces a Bayesian neural network estimation method for quantile regression assuming an asymmetric Laplace distribution (ALD) for the response variable. It is shown that the posterior distribution for feedforward neural…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-04-06 Sanket R. Jantre , Shrijita Bhattacharya , Tapabrata Maiti

In this paper, distributed Bayesian detection problems with unknown prior probabilities of hypotheses are considered. The sensors obtain observations which are conditionally dependent across sensors and their probability density functions…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2012-09-20 Xiaojing Shen , Pramod K. Varshney , Yunmin Zhu

This paper deals with some computational aspects in the Bayesian analysis of statistical models with intractable normalizing constants. In the presence of intractable normalizing constants in the likelihood function, traditional MCMC…

统计计算 · 统计学 2008-04-22 Yves Atchade , Nicolas Lartillot , Christian P. Robert

We study objective Bayesian inference for linear regression models with residual errors distributed according to the class of two-piece scale mixtures of normal distributions. These models allow for capturing departures from the usual…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-05-09 F. J. Rubio , K. Yu

We consider heteroscedastic nonparametric regression models, when both the mean function and variance function are unknown and to be estimated with nonparametric approaches. We derive convergence rates of posterior distributions for this…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-10-07 Yuao Hu

Formulating a statistical inverse problem as one of inference in a Bayesian model has great appeal, notably for what this brings in terms of coherence, the interpretability of regularisation penalties, the integration of all uncertainties,…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-12-19 Natalia A. Bochkina , Peter J. Green

This paper investigates the consistency of a posterior distribution in the single-measurement fractional Calder\'on problem with additive Gaussian noise. We consider a Bayesian framework with rescaled and Gaussian sieve priors, using a…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-17 Pu-Zhao Kow , Janne Nurminen , Jesse Railo
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