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The use of simulated data in the field of causal discovery is ubiquitous due to the scarcity of annotated real data. Recently, Reisach et al., 2021 highlighted the emergence of patterns in simulated linear data, which displays increasing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-24 Francesco Montagna , Nicoletta Noceti , Lorenzo Rosasco , Francesco Locatello

A new empirical Bayes approach to variable selection in the context of generalized linear models is developed. The proposed algorithm scales to situations in which the number of putative explanatory variables is very large, possibly much…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-29 Haim Bar , James Booth , Martin T. Wells

Causal inference necessarily relies upon untestable assumptions; hence, it is crucial to assess the robustness of obtained results to violations of identification assumptions. However, such sensitivity analysis is only occasionally…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-19 Tobias Freidling , Qingyuan Zhao

Causal models communicate our assumptions about causes and effects in real-world phe- nomena. Often the interest lies in the identification of the effect of an action which means deriving an expression from the observed probability…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-20 Santtu Tikka , Juha Karvanen

The instrumental variable model of Imbens and Angrist (1994) and Angrist et al. (1996) allow for the identification of the local average treatment effect, also known as the complier average causal effect. However, many empirical studies are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-12 Shuozhi Zuo , Peng Ding , Fan Yang

This paper describes a computational model of loudness variations in expressive ensemble performance. The model predicts and explains the continuous variation of loudness as a function of information extracted automatically from the written…

声音 · 计算机科学 2016-12-19 Thassilo Gadermaier , Maarten Grachten , Carlos Eduardo Cancino Chacón

The modern formulation of the instrumental variable methods initiated the valuable interactions between economics and statistics literatures of causal inference and fueled new innovations of the idea. It helped resolving the long-standing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-03 Toru Kitagawa

Uncertainty in the estimation of the causal effect in observational studies is often due to unmeasured confounding, i.e., the presence of unobserved covariates linking treatments and outcomes. Instrumental Variables (IV) are commonly used…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-30 M. Usaid Awan , Yameng Liu , Marco Morucci , Sudeepa Roy , Cynthia Rudin , Alexander Volfovsky

We introduce the Multiplicative Quasi-Instrumental Variable (MQIV) model, a framework for causal inference with unmeasured confounding that leverages an instrument that may be imperfectly exogenous. We allow the candidate quasi-instrument…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-13 Jiewen Liu , Chan Park , David Richardson , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

Causal inference is difficult in the presence of unobserved confounders. We introduce the instrumented common confounding (ICC) approach to (nonparametrically) identify causal effects with instruments, which are exogenous only conditional…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-09-20 Christian Tien

In this paper I revisit the interpretation of the linear instrumental variables (IV) estimand as a weighted average of conditional local average treatment effects (LATEs). I focus on a situation in which additional covariates are required…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-30 Tymon Słoczyński

The interpretation of coefficients from multivariate linear regression relies on the assumption that the conditional expectation function is linear in the variables. However, in many cases the underlying data generating process is…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-16 Nadav Kunievsky

Instrumental variable methods are widely used in medical and social science research to draw causal conclusions when the treatment and outcome are confounded by unmeasured confounding variables. One important feature of such studies is that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-25 Bo Zhang , Siyu Heng , Emily J. MacKay , Ting Ye

We develop a method to perform model averaging in two-stage linear regression systems subject to endogeneity. Our method extends an existing Gibbs sampler for instrumental variables to incorporate a component of model uncertainty. Direct…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-03-20 Anna Karl , Alex Lenkoski

Consider a situation with two treatments, the first of which is randomized but the second is not, and the multifactor version of this. Interest is in treatment effects, defined using standard factorial notation. We define estimators for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-09 Nicole E. Pashley , Kristen B. Hunter , Katy McKeough , Donald B. Rubin , Tirthankar Dasgupta

In a variety of applications, including nonparametric instrumental variable (NPIV) analysis, proximal causal inference under unmeasured confounding, and missing-not-at-random data with shadow variables, we are interested in inference on a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-04 Andrew Bennett , Nathan Kallus , Xiaojie Mao , Whitney Newey , Vasilis Syrgkanis , Masatoshi Uehara

Instrumental variable (IV) methods are central to causal inference from observational data, particularly when a randomized experiment is not feasible. However, of the three conventional core IV identification conditions, only one, IV…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-23 Zhonghua Liu , Baoluo Sun , Ting Ye , David Richardson , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

The estimation of causal effects using quasiexperiments often relies on the use of unusual or serendipitous sources of exogenous variation. When the goal is estimating the same causal effects across many different settings, the same unusual…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-26 Nick Huntington-Klein

Measuring treatment effects in observational studies is challenging because of confounding bias. Confounding occurs when a variable affects both the treatment and the outcome. Traditional methods such as propensity score matching estimate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-23 Bevan I. Smith , Charles Chimedza

In the causal adjustment setting, variable selection techniques based on one of either the outcome or treatment allocation model can result in the omission of confounders, which leads to bias, or the inclusion of spurious variables, which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-11-30 Ashkan Ertefaie , Masoud Asgharian , David Stephens