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Assume that cause-effect relationships between variables can be described as a directed acyclic graph and the corresponding linear structural equation model.We consider the identification problem of total effects in the presence of latent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-06-18 Zhihong Cai , Manabu Kuroki

Empirical economists are often deterred from the application of fixed effects binary choice models mainly for two reasons: the incidental parameter problem and the computational challenge even in moderately large panels. Using the example…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-10-27 Daniel Czarnowske , Amrei Stammann

In causal models, a given mechanism is assumed to be invariant to changes of other mechanisms. While this principle has been utilized for inference in settings where the causal variables are observed, theoretical insights when the variables…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-12-07 Simon Bing , Jonas Wahl , Urmi Ninad , Jakob Runge

This paper studies identification of the effect of a mis-classified, binary, endogenous regressor when a discrete-valued instrumental variable is available. We begin by showing that the only existing point identification result for this…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-11-17 Francis J. DiTraglia , Camilo Garcia-Jimeno

The use of instrumental variables for estimating the effect of an exposure on an outcome is popular in econometrics, and increasingly so in epidemiology. This increasing popularity may be attributed to the natural occurrence of instrumental…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-03 T. Martinussen , S. Vansteelandt , E. J. Tchetgen Tchetgen , D. M. Zucker

Predictions about people, such as their expected educational achievement or their credit risk, can be performative and shape the outcome that they aim to predict. Understanding the causal effect of these predictions on the eventual outcomes…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-19 Celestine Mendler-Dünner , Frances Ding , Yixin Wang

We study settings in which a researcher has an instrumental variable (IV) and seeks to evaluate the effects of a counterfactual policy that alters treatment assignment, such as a directive encouraging randomly assigned judges to release…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-16 Michal Kolesár , José Luis Montiel Olea , Jonathan Roth

The method of instrumental variables provides a fundamental and practical tool for causal inference in many empirical studies where unmeasured confounding between the treatments and the outcome is present. Modern data such as the genetical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-28 Ziang Niu , Yuwen Gu , Wei Li

Instrumental variables (IVs) are extensively used to estimate treatment effects when the treatment and outcome are confounded by unmeasured confounders; however, weak IVs are often encountered in empirical studies and may cause problems.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-19 Siyu Heng , Bo Zhang , Xu Han , Scott A. Lorch , Dylan S. Small

Instrumental variables are widely used in econometrics and epidemiology for identifying and estimating causal effects when an exposure of interest is confounded by unmeasured factors. Despite this popularity, the assumptions invoked to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-15 Alexander W. Levis , Edward H. Kennedy , Luke Keele

The instrumental variable method consistently estimates the effect of a treatment when there is unmeasured confounding and a valid instrumental variable. A valid instrumental variable is a variable that is independent of unmeasured…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-02-03 Zijian Guo , Dylan Small

Instrumental variables (IVs) are often continuous, arising in diverse fields such as economics, epidemiology, and the social sciences. Existing approaches for continuous IVs typically impose strong parametric models or assume homogeneous…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-17 Mei Dong , Lin Liu , Dingke Tang , Geoffrey Liu , Wei Xu , Linbo Wang

Instrumental variables are commonly used to estimate effects of a treatment afflicted by unmeasured confounding, and in practice instruments are often continuous (e.g., measures of distance, or treatment preference). However, available…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-05 Edward H. Kennedy , Scott A. Lorch , Dylan S. Small

Instrumental variables (IV) are often used to identify causal effects in observational settings and experiments subject to non-compliance. Under canonical assumptions, IVs allow us to identify a so-called local average treatment effect…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-03 Luca Locher , Mats J. Stensrud , Aaron L. Sarvet

In recent years a lot of research has been conducted within the area of causal inference and causal learning. Many methods have been developed to identify the cause-effect pairs in models and have been successfully applied to observational…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-08-26 Benjamin Kap

We propose a method to detect model misspecifications in nonlinear causal additive and potentially heteroscedastic noise models. We aim to identify predictor variables for which we can infer the causal effect even in cases of such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-28 Christoph Schultheiss , Peter Bühlmann

This paper concerns the assessment of the effects of actions from a combination of nonexperimental data and causal assumptions encoded in the form of a directed acyclic graph in which some variables are presumed to be unobserved. We provide…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-07-19 Jin Tian

To reach human level intelligence, learning algorithms need to incorporate causal reasoning. But identifying causality, and particularly counterfactual reasoning, remains elusive. In this paper, we make progress on counterfactual inference…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Marc Braun , Jose M. Peña , Adel Daoud

As technology advanced, collecting data via automatic collection devices become popular, thus we commonly face data sets with lengthy variables, especially when these data sets are collected without specific research goals beforehand. It…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-05-10 Wan-Ping Nicole Chen , Yuan-chin Ivan Chang

Imitation learning from demonstrations usually suffers from the confounding effects of unmeasured variables (i.e., unmeasured confounders) on the states and actions. If ignoring them, a biased estimation of the policy would be entailed. To…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-24 Yan Zeng , Shenglan Nie , Feng Xie , Libo Huang , Peng Wu , Zhi Geng