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This paper introduces an innovative method for constructing copula models capable of describing arbitrary non-monotone dependence structures. The proposed method enables the creation of such copulas in parametric form, thus allowing the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-26 Manfred Marvin Marchione , Fabio Baione

This paper is concerned with modeling the dependence structure of two (or more) time-series in the presence of a (possible multivariate) covariate which may include past values of the time series. We assume that the covariate influences…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-12-11 Natalie Neumeyer , Marek Omelka , Sarka Hudecova

--- the companies populating a Stock market, along with their connections, can be effectively modeled through a directed network, where the nodes represent the companies, and the links indicate the ownership. This paper deals with this…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-07-26 Roy Cerqueti , Giulia Rotundo , Marcel Ausloos

This study outlines a comprehensive methodology utilizing copulas to discern inconsistencies in the behavior exhibited by pairs of financial assets. It introduces a robust approach to establishing the interrelationship between the returns…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-12-05 Alexander Shulzhenko

We introduce a copula mixture model to perform dependency-seeking clustering when co-occurring samples from different data sources are available. The model takes advantage of the great flexibility offered by the copulas framework to extend…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-07-03 Melanie Rey , Volker Roth

Newsvendor problem is an extensively researched topic in inventory management. In this class of inventory problems, shortage and excess costs are considered to be proportional to the quantity lost. But, for critical goods or commodities,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-07-09 Soham Ghosh , Mamta Sahare , Sujay Mukhoti

The newsvendor problem is one of the most basic and widely applied inventory models. There are numerous extensions of this problem. If the probability distribution of the demand is known, the problem can be solved analytically. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-03-07 Afshin Oroojlooyjadid , Lawrence Snyder , Martin Takáč

Thanks to their ability to capture complex dependence structures, copulas are frequently used to glue random variables into a joint model with arbitrary marginal distributions. More recently, they have been applied to solve statistical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-22 Thomas Nagler , Thibault Vatter

We discuss the connection between information and copula theories by showing that a copula can be employed to decompose the information content of a multivariate distribution into marginal and dependence components, with the latter…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2011-10-26 Rafael S. Calsaverini , Renato Vicente

Multivariate datasets are common in various real-world applications. Recently, copulas have received significant attention for modeling dependencies among random variables. A copula-based information measure is required to quantify the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-06 Mohd. Arshad , Swaroop Georgy Zachariah , Ashok Kumar Pathak

Uncertain information on input parameters of reliability models is usually modeled by considering these parameters as random, and described by marginal distributions and a dependence structure of these variables. In numerous real-world…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-04-30 Nazih Benoumechiara , Bertrand Michel , Philippe Saint-Pierre , Nicolas Bousquet

We propose a framework for determining whether the causal dependence of an outcome $Y$ on a covariate $X$ changes at a given time point, given confounders $\boldsymbol{Z}$. For instance, in financial markets, the effect of a market…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-08 Shakeel Gavioli-Akilagun , Kieran Wood , Francesco Quinzan

In actuarial research, a task of particular interest and importance is to predict the loss cost for individual risks so that informative decisions are made in various insurance operations such as underwriting, ratemaking, and capital…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-10-15 Peng Shi , Zifeng Zhao

Analysing dependent risks is an important task for insurance companies. A dependency is reflected in the fact that information about one random variable provides information about the likely distribution of values of another random…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-22 Sen Hu , Adrian O'Hagan

One of the main goals in non-life insurance is to estimate the claims reserve distribution. A generalized time series model, that allows for modeling the conditional mean and variance of the claim amounts, is proposed for the claims…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-06-20 Michal Pešta , Ostap Okhrin

Capturing complex dependence structures between outcome variables (e.g., study endpoints) is of high relevance in contemporary biomedical data problems and medical research. Distributional copula regression provides a flexible tool to model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-28 Nicolai Hans , Nadja Klein , Florian Faschingbauer , Michael Schneider , Andreas Mayr

The success of any business depends on how well it is able to satisfy customer demand, while remaining financially viable. Globalisation and the growth of e-commerce have resulted in retail businesses having to manage increasing numbers of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-07-29 Hans Jurie Zietsman , Jan Harm van Vuuren

We propose a copula based method to handle missing values in multivariate data of mixed types in multilevel data sets. Building upon the extended rank likelihood of \cite{hoff2007extending} and the multinomial probit model, our model is a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-28 Jiali Wang , Bronwyn Loong , Anton H. Westveld , Alan H. Welsh

This paper addresses the problem of quantification and propagation of uncertainties associated with dependence modeling when data for characterizing probability models are limited. Practically, the system inputs are often assumed to be…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-04-14 Jiaxin Zhang , Michael D. Shields

We propose a dependence-aware predictive modeling framework for multivariate risks stemmed from an insurance contract with bundling features - an important type of policy increasingly offered by major insurance companies. The bundling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-17 Peng Shi , Zifeng Zhao
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