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This paper investigates whether short-term market overreactions can be systematically predicted and monetized as momentum signals using high-frequency emotional information and modern machine learning methods. Focusing on Apple Inc. (AAPL),…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2026-02-24 Szymon Lis , Robert Ślepaczuk , Paweł Sakowski

The report presents with the development and optimisation of an enhanced algorithmic trading strategy through the use of historical S&P 500 market data and earnings call sentiment analysis. The proposed strategy integrates various technical…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-03-24 Owen Nyo Wei Yuan , Victor Tan Jia Xuan , Ong Jun Yao Fabian , Ryan Tan Jun Wei

Standard methods and theories in finance can be ill-equipped to capture highly non-linear interactions in financial prediction problems based on large-scale datasets, with deep learning offering a way to gain insights into correlations in…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2020-04-22 Ben Moews , Gbenga Ibikunle

We studied non-dynamical stochastic resonance for the number of trades in the stock market. The trade arrival rate presents a deterministic pattern that can be modeled by a cosine function perturbed by noise. Due to the nonlinear…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2008-12-02 A. Christian Silva , Ju-Yi J. Yen

A point process for event arrivals in high frequency trading is presented. The intensity is the product of a Hawkes process and high dimensional functions of covariates derived from the order book. Conditions for stationarity of the process…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2026-05-12 Luca Mucciante , Alessio Sancetta

In financial markets, not only prices and returns can be considered as random variables, but also the waiting time between two transactions varies randomly. In the following, we analyse the statistical properties of General Electric stock…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 M. Raberto , E. Scalas , F. Mainardi

Records of the traded value f_i(t) of stocks display fluctuation scaling, a proportionality between the standard deviation sigma(i) and the average <f(i)>: sigma(i) ~ f(i)^alpha, with a strong time scale dependence alpha(dt). The…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Janos Kertesz

We study the dependence of volatility on the stock price in the stochastic volatility framework on the example of the Heston model. To be more specific, we consider the conditional expectation of variance (square of volatility) under fixed…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2011-07-29 Mikhail Martynov , Olga Rozanova

Financial markets are nonlinear with complexity, where different types of assets are traded between buyers and sellers, each having a view to maximize their Return on Investment (ROI). Forecasting market trends is a challenging task since…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-11-22 Sahand Hassanizorgabad

Full electronic automation in stock exchanges has recently become popular, generating high-frequency intraday data and motivating the development of near real-time price forecasting methods. Machine learning algorithms are widely applied to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-03-29 Xuekui Zhang , Yuying Huang , Ke Xu , Li Xing

We introduce a trade strategy representation theorem for performance measurement and portable alpha in high frequency trading, by embedding a robust trading algorithm that describe portfolio manager market timing behavior, in a canonical…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2012-06-21 Godfrey Charles-Cadogan

The unpredictability and volatility of the stock market render it challenging to make a substantial profit using any generalised scheme. Many previous studies tried different techniques to build a machine learning model, which can make a…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2023-08-14 A. K. M. Amanat Ullah , Fahim Imtiaz , Miftah Uddin Md Ihsan , Md. Golam Rabiul Alam , Mahbub Majumdar

We introduce a new stochastic duration model for transaction times in asset markets. We argue that widely accepted rules for aggregating seemingly related trades mislead inference pertaining to durations between unrelated trades: while any…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-05-20 Samuel Gingras , William J. McCausland

This research analyses high-frequency data of the cryptocurrency market in regards to intraday trading patterns related to algorithmic trading and its impact on the European cryptocurrency market. We study trading quantitatives such as…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2020-09-10 Alla A. Petukhina , Raphael C. G. Reule , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Multivariate probability density functions of returns are constructed in order to model the empirical behavior of returns in a financial time series. They describe the well-established deviations from the Gaussian random walk, such as an…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-08-23 E. Alessio , V. Frappietro , M. I. Krivoruchenko , L. J. Streckert

Stochastic clocks represent a class of time change methods for incorporating trading activity into continuous-time financial models, with the ability to deal with typical asymmetrical and tail risks in financial returns. In this paper we…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-08-20 Zhe Fei , Weixuan Xia

The volatility of financial instruments is rarely constant, and usually varies over time. This creates a phenomenon called volatility clustering, where large price movements on one day are followed by similarly large movements on successive…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-05-08 Gordon J. Ross

Mounting empirical evidence suggests that the observed extreme prices within a trading period can provide valuable information about the volatility of the process within that period. In this paper we define a class of stochastic volatility…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2009-01-12 Abel Rodriguez , Henryk Gzyl , German Molina , Enrique ter Horst

Addressing the ongoing examination of high-frequency trading practices in financial markets, we report the results of an extensive empirical study estimating the maximum possible profitability of the most aggressive such practices, and…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2010-09-15 Michael Kearns , Alex Kulesza , Yuriy Nevmyvaka

Market Mill is a complex dependence pattern leading to nonlinear correlations and predictability in intraday dynamics of stock prices. The present paper puts together previous efforts to build a dynamical model reflecting the market mill…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-05-13 Sergey Zaitsev , Alexander Zaitsev , Andrei Leonidov , Vladimir Trainin