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In all but special circumstances, measurements of time-dependent processes reflect internal structures and correlations only indirectly. Building predictive models of such hidden information sources requires discovering, in some way, the…

概率论 · 数学 2009-11-10 Nihat Ay , James P. Crutchfield

We study dynamical reversibility in stationary stochastic processes from an information theoretic perspective. Extending earlier work on the reversibility of Markov chains, we focus on finitary processes with arbitrarily long conditional…

We comment on some conceptual and and technical problems related to computational mechanics, point out some errors in several papers, and straighten out some wrong priority claims. We present explicitly the correct algorithm for…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-04-09 Peter Grassberger

In the hidden Markov process, there is a possibility that two different transition matrices for hidden and observed variables yield the same stochastic behavior for the observed variables. Since such two transition matrices cannot be…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-10 Masahito Hayashi

We introduce the minimal maximally predictive models ({\epsilon}-machines) of processes generated by certain hidden semi-Markov models. Their causal states are either hybrid discrete-continuous or continuous random variables and…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-05-24 Sarah E. Marzen , James P. Crutchfield

We show how to efficiently enumerate a class of finite-memory stochastic processes using the causal representation of epsilon-machines. We characterize epsilon-machines in the language of automata theory and adapt a recent algorithm for…

形式语言与自动机理论 · 计算机科学 2012-12-18 B. D. Johnson , J. P. Crutchfield , C. J. Ellison , C. S. McTague

Among the predictive hidden Markov models that describe a given stochastic process, the {\epsilon}-machine is strongly minimal in that it minimizes every R\'enyi-based memory measure. Quantum models can be smaller still. In contrast with…

量子物理 · 物理学 2019-10-02 Samuel Loomis , James P. Crutchfield

We introduce Generator Matching, a modality-agnostic framework for generative modeling using arbitrary Markov processes. Generators characterize the infinitesimal evolution of a Markov process, which we leverage for generative modeling in a…

The $\epsilon$-machine is a stochastic process' optimal model -- maximally predictive and minimal in size. It often happens that to optimally predict even simply-defined processes, probabilistic models -- including the $\epsilon$-machine --…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-12-15 Alexandra M. Jurgens , James P. Crutchfield

Generators of Markov processes on a countable state space can be represented as finite or infinite matrices. One key property is that the off-diagonal entries corresponding to jump rates of the Markov process are non-negative. Here we…

概率论 · 数学 2020-09-11 Florian Völlering

Even simply-defined, finite-state generators produce stochastic processes that require tracking an uncountable infinity of probabilistic features for optimal prediction. For processes generated by hidden Markov chains the consequences are…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-09-15 Alexandra M. Jurgens , James P. Crutchfield

This article introduces both a new algorithm for reconstructing epsilon-machines from data, as well as the decisional states. These are defined as the internal states of a system that lead to the same decision, based on a user-provided…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-06-07 Nicolas Brodu

Computational mechanics, an approach to structural complexity, defines a process's causal states and gives a procedure for finding them. We show that the causal-state representation--an $\epsilon$-machine--is the minimal one consistent with…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-02-17 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , James P. Crutchfield

Many recent flow-matching and diffusion-style generative models rely on auxiliary stochastic dynamics during training: a richer process is simulated to define conditional targets, but the auxiliary state is either intractable to sample at…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-21 Lukas Billera , Hedwig Nora Nordlinder , Ben Murrell

Many years ago B.S. Pitskel observed that the metric entropy of the shift transformation in the sample space of a stationary random process $X=\{X_n,\,n\in \mathbb Z\}$ with a countable number of states is equal to the conditional entropy…

动力系统 · 数学 2016-06-03 Boris Gurevich

We consider two important time scales---the Markov and cryptic orders---that monitor how an observer synchronizes to a finitary stochastic process. We show how to compute these orders exactly and that they are most efficiently calculated…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2014-04-23 Ryan G. James , John R. Mahoney , Christopher J. Ellison , James P. Crutchfield

Understanding the generative mechanism of a natural system is a vital component of the scientific method. Here, we investigate one of the fundamental steps toward this goal by presenting the minimal generator of an arbitrary binary Markov…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-02-14 J. Ruebeck , R. G. James , J. R. Mahoney , J. P. Crutchfield

It is known, that an $\epsilon$-machine is either exactly or asymptotically synchronizing. In the exact case, the observer can infer the current machine state after observing $L$ generated symbols with probability $1-a^L$ where $0 \leq a<1$…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2014-09-24 Mikhail V. Berlinkov

Stochastic finite-state generators are compressed descriptions of infinite time series. Alternatively, compressed descriptions are given by quantum finite- state generators [K. Wiesner and J. P. Crutchfield, Physica D 237, 1173 (2008)].…

量子物理 · 物理学 2012-08-31 Alex Monras , Almut Beige , Karoline Wiesner

We classify the rare events of structured, memoryful stochastic processes and use this to analyze sequential and parallel generators for these events. Given a stochastic process, we introduce a method to construct a new process whose…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-04-05 C. Aghamohammadi , J. P. Crutchfield
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