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The foundations of Statistical Mechanics can be recovered almost in their entirety from the Principle of Maximum Entropy. In this work we show that its non-equilibrium generalization, the Principle of Maximum Caliber (Jaynes, 1980), when…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-08-01 Diego González , Sergio Davis , Gonzalo Gutiérrez

Evidences are presented concerning tantalizing regularities in cities' population-flows in what regards to space and time correlations. The former exhibit a distance-behavior (for large distances) compatible with the inverse square law,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-07-30 A. Hernando , A. Plastino

In the economic literature, geographic distances are considered fundamental factors to be included in any theoretical model whose aim is the quantification of the trade between countries. Quantitatively, distances enter into the so-called…

This contribution summarizes and explains various principles from physics which are used for the simulation of traffic flows in large street networks, the modeling of destination, transport mode, and route choice, or the simulation of urban…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-06-17 Dirk Helbing , Kai Nagel

The classical foundations of migration research date from the 1880s with Ravenstein's Laws of migration, which represent the first comparative analyses of internal migration. While his observations remain largely valid, the ensuing century…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-12-16 Francisco Rowe , Martin Bell , Aude Bernard , Elin Charles-Edwards , Philipp Ueffing

Migration's impact spans various social dimensions, including demography, sustainability, politics, economy and gender disparities. Yet, the decision-making process behind migrants choosing their destination remains elusive. Existing models…

We present and test a sequential learning algorithm for the short-term prediction of human mobility. This novel approach pairs the Exponential Weights forecaster with a very large ensemble of experts. The experts are individual sequence…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-10-23 Bartosz Hawelka , Izabela Sitko , Pavlos Kazakopoulos , Euro Beinat

Existing theories of migration either focus on micro- or macroscopic behavior of populations; that is, either the average behavior of entire population is modeled directly, or decisions of individuals are modeled directly. In this work, we…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-05-10 Babak Fotouhi , Michael G. Rabbat

Discrete optimal transportation problems arise in various contexts in engineering, the sciences and the social sciences. Often the underlying cost criterion is unknown, or only partly known, and the observed optimal solutions are corrupted…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-05-13 Andrew M. Stuart , Marie-Therese Wolfram

Urban scaling and Zipf's law are two fundamental paradigms for the science of cities. These laws have mostly been investigated independently and are often perceived as disassociated matters. Here we present a large scale investigation about…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-11-18 Haroldo V. Ribeiro , Milena Oehlers , Ana I. Moreno-Monroy , Jurgen P. Kropp , Diego Rybski

From footpaths to flight routes, human mobility networks facilitate the spread of communicable diseases. Control and elimination efforts depend on characterizing these networks in terms of connections and flux rates of individuals between…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2016-01-29 Kyle B Gustafson , Basil S. Bayati , Philip A. Eckhoff

Recent advances in human mobility research have revealed consistent pairwise characteristics in movement behavior, yet existing mobility models often overlook the spatial and topological structure of mobility networks. By analyzing millions…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-05-22 Lu Zhong , Lei Dong , Qi Wang , Chaoming Song , Jianxi Gao

The success of foundation models in language has inspired a new wave of general-purpose models for human mobility. However, existing approaches struggle to scale effectively due to two fundamental limitations: a failure to use meaningful…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-11-25 Chonghua Han , Yuan Yuan , Jingtao Ding , Jie Feng , Fanjin Meng , Yong Li

Global mobility flow data are at the heart of spatial epidemiological models used to predict infectious disease behavior but this wealth of data on human mobility has been largely neglected by reconstructions of pathogen evolutionary…

The evolution of a generally covariant theory is under-determined. One hundred years ago such dynamics had never before been considered; its ramifications were perplexing, its future important role for all the fundamental interactions under…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2016-11-23 James M. Nester , Chiang-Mei Chen

General theory of relativity (or Lovelock extensions) is a dynamical theory; given an initial configuration on a space-like hypersurface, it makes a definite prediction of the final configuration. Recent developments suggest that gravity…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2015-12-09 Swastik Bhattacharya , S. Shankaranarayanan

Previous studies demonstrated empirically that human mobility exhibits Levy flight behaviour. However, our knowledge of the mechanisms governing this Levy flight behaviour remains limited. Here we analyze over 72 000 people's moving…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-09-15 Bin Jiang , Junjun Yin , Sijian Zhao

It is often necessary to introduce the main characteristics of population mobility dynamics to model critical social phenomena such as the economy, violence, transmission of information, or infectious diseases. In this work, we focus on…

A population of compact object binaries emitting gravitational waves that are not individually resolvable will form a stochastic gravitational wave signal. While the expected spectrum over population realizations is well known from Phinney…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2024-08-06 William G. Lamb , Stephen R. Taylor

A Lorentz invariant model for gravity-induced quantum state reduction is presented, which is mainly developed from Penrose's argument that the time translation operator in a superposition of macroscopic states is ill-defined. The problem to…

量子物理 · 物理学 2017-01-16 Garrelt Quandt-Wiese
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