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Gaussian process regression is a widely-applied method for function approximation and uncertainty quantification. The technique has gained popularity recently in the machine learning community due to its robustness and interpretability. The…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-12 Marcus M. Noack , James A. Sethian

Gaussian processes are arguably the most important class of spatiotemporal models within machine learning. They encode prior information about the modeled function and can be used for exact or approximate Bayesian learning. In many…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-16 Iskander Azangulov , Andrei Smolensky , Alexander Terenin , Viacheslav Borovitskiy

This study presents an efficient incremental/decremental approach for big streams based on Kernel Ridge Regression (KRR), a frequently used data analysis in cloud centers. To avoid reanalyzing the whole dataset whenever sensors receive new…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-11-10 Bo-Wei Chen , Nik Nailah Binti Abdullah , Sangoh Park

We introduce a fast algorithm for Gaussian process regression in low dimensions, applicable to a widely-used family of non-stationary kernels. The non-stationarity of these kernels is induced by arbitrary spatially-varying vertical and…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-03-28 P. Michael Kielstra , Michael Lindsey

Given a discrete time sample $X_1,... X_n$ from a L\'evy process $X=(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ of a finite jump activity, we study the problem of nonparametric estimation of the characteristic triplet $(\gamma,\sigma^2,\rho)$ corresponding to the…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-17 Shota Gugushvili

We address the problem of quickest change detection in Markov processes with unknown transition kernels. The key idea is to learn the conditional score $\nabla_{\mathbf{y}} \log p(\mathbf{y}|\mathbf{x})$ directly from sample pairs $(…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-07 Wuxia Chen , Taposh Banerjee , Vahid Tarokh

The histogram estimator of a discrete probability mass function often exhibits undesirable properties related to zero probability estimation both within the observed range of counts and outside into the tails of the distribution. To…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-19 Alan Huang , Lucas Sippel , Thomas Fung

The challenge to fruitfully merge state-of-the-art techniques from mathematical finance and numerical analysis has inspired researchers to develop fast deterministic option pricing methods. As a result, highly efficient algorithms to…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2015-11-06 Kathrin Glau

Recently, it has been shown that CSMA-type random access algorithms can achieve the maximum possible throughput in ad hoc wireless networks. However, these algorithms assume an idealized continuous-time CSMA protocol where collisions can…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2019-11-13 Jian Ni , Bo Tan , R. Srikant

We consider high frequency samples from ergodic L\'evy driven stochastic differential equation (SDE) with drift coefficient $a(x,\alpha)$ and scale coefficient $c(x,\gamma)$ involving unknown parameters $\alpha$ and $\gamma$. We suppose…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-12 Hiroki Masuda , Yuma Uehara

In this work, we study the problem of continual learning (CL) where the goal is to learn a model on a sequence of tasks, such that the data from the previous tasks becomes unavailable while learning on the current task data. CL is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-12 Imad Eddine Marouf , Subhankar Roy , Enzo Tartaglione , Stéphane Lathuilière

A promising approach for scalable Gaussian processes (GPs) is the Karhunen-Lo\`eve (KL) decomposition, in which the GP kernel is represented by a set of basis functions which are the eigenfunctions of the kernel operator. Such decomposed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-24 Kyle Hayes , Michael W. Fouts , Ali Baheri , David S. Mebane

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) sampling methods provide a mechanism for defining distant proposals with high acceptance probabilities in a Metropolis-Hastings framework, enabling more efficient exploration of the state space than standard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-05-13 Tianqi Chen , Emily B. Fox , Carlos Guestrin

It is well understood that, when numerically simulating SDEs with general noise, achieving a strong convergence rate better than $O(\sqrt{h})$ (where h is the step size) requires the use of certain iterated integrals of Brownian motion,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-01 Andraž Jelinčič , Jiajie Tao , William F. Turner , Thomas Cass , James Foster , Hao Ni

We present simple, user-friendly bounds for the expected operator norm of a random kernel matrix under general conditions on the kernel function $k(\cdot,\cdot)$. Our approach uses decoupling results for U-statistics and the non-commutative…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-07 Chiraag Kaushik , Justin Romberg , Vidya Muthukumar

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

A general rate estimation method is proposed that is based on studying the in-sample evolution of appropriately chosen diverging/converging statistics. The proposed rate estimators are based on simple least squares arguments, and are shown…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Tucker McElroy , Dimitris N. Politis

In this article we study multivariate continuous-time autoregressive moving-average (MCARMA) processes with values in convex cones. More specifically, we introduce matrix-valued MCARMA processes with L\'evy noise and present necessary and…

概率论 · 数学 2023-06-19 Fred Espen Benth , Sven Karbach

Stochastic processes are random variables with values in some space of paths. However, reducing a stochastic process to a path-valued random variable ignores its filtration, i.e. the flow of information carried by the process through time.…

Our goal is to estimate the characteristic exponent of the input to a L\'evy-driven storage system from a sample of equispaced workload observations. The estimator relies on an approximate moment equation associated with the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-08-29 Dennis Nieman , Michel Mandjes , Liron Ravner