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Matryoshka dolls, the traditional Russian nesting figurines, are known world-wide for each doll's encapsulation of a sequence of smaller dolls. In this paper, we identify a large class of Markov process whose moments are easy to compute by…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-26 Andrew Daw , Jamol Pender

The analysis of many problems of interest associated with Markov chains, e.g. stationary distributions, moments of first passage time distributions and moments of occupation time random variables, involves the solution of a system of linear…

概率论 · 数学 2012-08-29 Jeffrey J. Hunter

Stationary time series models built from parametric distributions are, in general, limited in scope due to the assumptions imposed on the residual distribution and autoregression relationship. We present a modeling approach for univariate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-05-04 Maria DeYoreo , Athanasios Kottas

During the past sixty years, a lot of effort has been made regarding the productive efficiency. Such endeavours provided an extensive bibliography on this subject, culminating in two main methods, named the Stochastic Frontier Analysis…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-08-14 Anibal Galindro , Micael Santos , Delfim F. M. Torres , Ana Marta-Costa

Reversible Markov chains play a central role in stochastic modelling and in algorithms such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Motivated by the fundamental importance of reversibility in classical settings, this paper develops a…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-28 Damjan Škulj

Inspired from modern out-of-equilibrium statistical physics models, a matrix product based framework permits the formal definition of random vectors (and random time series) whose desired joint distributions are a priori prescribed. Its key…

统计力学 · 物理学 2012-03-21 Florian Angeletti , Eric Bertin , Patrice Abry

Fitting models to data to obtain distributions of consistent parameter values is important for uncertainty quantification, model comparison, and prediction. Standard Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approaches for fitting ordinary…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-09-05 Chris Chi , Jonathan Weare , Aaron R. Dinner

Markov switching models (MSMs) are probabilistic models that employ multiple sets of parameters to describe different dynamic regimes that a time series may exhibit at different periods of time. The switching mechanism between regimes is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-13 Silvia Chiappa

In many applications, for example when computing statistics of fast subsystems in a multiscale setting, we wish to find the stationary distributions of systems of continuous time Markov chains. Here we present a class of models that appears…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-20 David F. Anderson , Simon L. Cotter

The paper is devoted to the construction of the superstatistical description for nonequilibrium Markovian systems. It is based on Kirchhoff's diagram technique and the assumption on the system under consideration to possess a wide variety…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-06-07 Ihor Lubashevsky , Rudolf Friedrich , Andrey Ushakov , Andreas Heuer

The master equation and, more generally, Markov processes are routinely used as models for stochastic processes. They are often justified on the basis of randomization and coarse-graining assumptions. Here instead, we derive n-th order…

统计力学 · 物理学 2012-09-27 Julian Lee , Steve Pressé

This paper concerns the numerical approximation for the invariant distribution of Markovian switching L\'evy-driven stochastic differential equations. By combining the tamed-adaptive Euler-Maruyama scheme with the Multi-level Monte Carlo…

Markov models are widely used to describe processes of stochastic dynamics. Here, we show that Markov models are a natural consequence of the dynamical principle of Maximum Caliber. First, we show that when there are different possible…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-28 Hao Ge , Steve Presse , Kingshuk Ghosh , Ken Dill

The aim of this work is to provide a rigorous mathematical analysis of a stochastic concatenation model presented by Sobottka and Hart (2011) which allows approximation of the first-order stochastic structure in bacterial DNA by means of a…

基因组学 · 定量生物学 2019-11-28 Andrew G. Hart , M. Sobottka

We introduce Markov Neural Processes (MNPs), a new class of Stochastic Processes (SPs) which are constructed by stacking sequences of neural parameterised Markov transition operators in function space. We prove that these Markov transition…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-26 Jin Xu , Emilien Dupont , Kaspar Märtens , Tom Rainforth , Yee Whye Teh

In the present paper, we give some examples of stochastic differential equations which have delicateness in the Markov and strong Markov properties, the uniqueness locally in time and globally in time, and initial conditions. Moreover, we…

概率论 · 数学 2022-09-14 Seiichiro Kusuoka

Stochastic kinetic models (SKMs) are increasingly used to account for the inherent stochasticity exhibited by interacting populations of species in areas such as epidemiology, population ecology and systems biology. Species numbers are…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-04-06 Tom E. Lowe , Andrew Golightly , Chris Sherlock

In this paper, we first show the existence of solutions to the following system of nonlinear equations \begin{eqnarray*}\left\{\begin{array}{l} a_{11}x_1+a_{12}x_2+a_{13}x_3+\cdots+a_{1n}x_{n} =…

概率论 · 数学 2017-05-11 Ze-Chun Hu , Wei Sun , Jing Zhang

Markov chains are a common framework for individual-based state and time discrete models in ecology and evolution. Their use, however, is largely limited to systems with a low number of states, since the transition matrices involved pose…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2014-07-10 Katja Reichel , Valentin Bahier , Cédric Midoux , Jean-Pierre Masson , Solenn Stoeckel

Motivated by queueing systems with heterogeneous parallel servers, we consider a class of structured multi-dimensional Markov processes whose state space can be partitioned into two parts: a finite set of boundary states and a structured…

概率论 · 数学 2015-10-02 Jori Selen , Ivo J. B. F. Adan , Johan S. H. van Leeuwaarden