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Single-chain Markov chain Monte Carlo simulates realizations from a Markov chain to estimate expectations with the empirical average. The single-chain simulation is generally of considerable length and restricts many advantages of modern…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-01 Austin Brown

Monte Carlo integration is a commonly used technique to compute intractable integrals and is typically thought to perform poorly for very high-dimensional integrals. To show that this is not always the case, we examine Monte Carlo…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-26 Yanbo Tang

In dynamic Monte Carlo simulations, using for example the Metropolis dynamic, it is often required to simulate for long times and to simulate large systems. We present an overview of advanced algorithms to simulate for larger times and to…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 M. A. Novotny , Alice K. Kolakowska , G. Korniss

Adaptive and interacting Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms (MCMC) have been recently introduced in the literature. These novel simulation algorithms are designed to increase the simulation efficiency to sample complex distributions.…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-03-15 G. Fort , E. Moulines , P. Priouret

Bayesian modelling and computational inference by Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a principled framework for large-scale uncertainty quantification, though is limited in practice by computational cost when implemented in the simplest…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-09-21 Colin Fox , Tiangang Cui , Markus Neumayer

We address the problem of community detection in networks by introducing a general definition of Markov stability, based on the difference between the probability fluxes of a Markov chain on the network at different time scales. The…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-05-05 Aurelio Patelli , Andrea Gabrielli , Giulio Cimini

We present a new class of interacting Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms for solving numerically discrete-time measure-valued equations. The associated stochastic processes belong to the class of self-interacting Markov chains. In contrast…

概率论 · 数学 2010-09-30 Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet

This paper surveys various results about Markov chains on general (non-countable) state spaces. It begins with an introduction to Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, which provide the motivation and context for the theory which…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods have become standard tools in statistics to sample from complex probability measures. Many available techniques rely on discrete-time reversible Markov chains whose transition kernels build up over the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-21 Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Sebastian J. Vollmer , Arnaud Doucet

In this paper, we study the asymptotic variance of sample path averages for inhomogeneous Markov chains that evolve alternatingly according to two different $\pi$-reversible Markov transition kernels $P$ and $Q$. More specifically, our main…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-15 Florian Maire , Randal Douc , Jimmy Olsson

This paper presents a new data assimilation (DA) scheme based on a sequential Markov Chain Monte Carlo (SMCMC) DA technique [Ruzayqat et al. 2024] which is provably convergent and has been recently used for filtering, particularly for…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-09-12 Hamza Ruzayqat , Omar Knio

In this paper we study the ergodicity properties of some adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms (MCMC) that have been recently proposed in the literature. We prove that under a set of verifiable conditions, ergodic averages calculated…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-16 Christophe Andrieu , Éric Moulines

A novel class of non-reversible Markov chain Monte Carlo schemes relying on continuous-time piecewise-deterministic Markov Processes has recently emerged. In these algorithms, the state of the Markov process evolves according to a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-16 Paul Vanetti , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

We prove explicit, i.e., non-asymptotic, error bounds for Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods, such as the Metropolis algorithm. The problem is to compute the expectation (or integral) of f with respect to a measure which can be given by a…

数值分析 · 数学 2011-01-18 Daniel Rudolf

The availability of data sets with large numbers of variables is rapidly increasing. The effective application of Bayesian variable selection methods for regression with these data sets has proved difficult since available Markov chain…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-05-08 Jim Griffin , Krys Latuszynski , Mark Steel

Bayesian inference for Markov processes has become increasingly relevant in recent years. Problems of this type often have intractable likelihoods and prior knowledge about model rate parameters is often poor. Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-10-23 Jamie Owen , Darren J. Wilkinson , Colin S. Gillespie

Statistical Data Assimilation (SDA) is the transfer of information from field or laboratory observations to a user selected model of the dynamical system producing those observations. The data is noisy and the model has errors; the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-01-16 Adrian S. Wong , Kangbo Hao , Zheng Fang , Henry D. I. Abarbanel

We analyse the convergence and stability of a micro-macro acceleration algorithm for Monte Carlo simulations of stiff stochastic differential equations with a time-scale separation between the fast evolution of the individual stochastic…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-12-20 Przemysław Zieliński , Hannes Vandecasteele , Giovanni Samaey

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo has emerged as a standard tool for posterior computation. In this article, we present an extension that can efficiently explore target distributions with discontinuous densities. Our extension in particular enables…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-06-09 Akihiko Nishimura , David Dunson , Jianfeng Lu

Markov chains can be used to generate samples whose distribution approximates a given target distribution. The quality of the samples of such Markov chains can be measured by the discrepancy between the empirical distribution of the samples…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-01-18 Josef Dick , Daniel Rudolf , Houying Zhu