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Familiar statistical tests and estimates are obtained by the direct observation of cases of interest: a clinical trial of a new drug, for instance, will compare the drug's effects on a relevant set of patients and controls. Sometimes,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-12-09 Bradley Efron

Stochastic modeling of transcription is a classic yet long-standing problem in theoretical biophysics. The lack of unified results and a computationally efficient approach for a general, fine-grained transcription model has confined…

生物物理 · 物理学 2025-11-17 Yuntao Lu , Yunxin Zhang

In order to increase the efficiency of the computer simulation of biological molecules, it is very common to impose holonomic constraints on the fastest degrees of freedom; normally bond lengths, but also possibly bond angles. However, as…

化学物理 · 物理学 2011-12-19 Pablo Echenique , Claudio N. Cavasotto , Pablo García-Risueño

We analyze the relative price change of assets starting from basic supply/demand considerations subject to arbitrary motivations. The resulting stochastic differential equation has coefficients that are functions of supply and demand. We…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2020-08-26 Carey Caginalp , Gunduz Caginalp

In probability theory, how to approximate the solution of a stochastic differential equation is an important topic. In Watanabe's classical textbook, by an approximation of the Wiener process, solutions of approximated equations converge to…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-28 Xi Lin

This paper addresses the challenge of model uncertainty in quantitative finance, where decisions in portfolio allocation, derivative pricing, and risk management rely on estimating stochastic models from limited data. In practice, the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-06-10 Hans Buehler , Blanka Horvath , Yannick Limmer , Thorsten Schmidt

Importance Sampling (IS) is a widely used variance reduction technique for enhancing the efficiency of Monte Carlo methods, particularly in rare-event simulation and related applications. Despite its effectiveness, the performance of IS is…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-02-11 Liviu Aolaritei , Bart P. G. Van Parys , Henry Lam , Michael I. Jordan

The stochastic volatility model is a popular tool for modeling the volatility of assets. The model is a nonlinear and non-Gaussian state space model, and consequently is difficult to fit. Many approaches, both classical and Bayesian, have…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-22 Chen Gong , David S. Stoffer

Q-learning has become an important part of the reinforcement learning toolkit since its introduction in the dissertation of Chris Watkins in the 1980s. The purpose of this paper is in part a tutorial on stochastic approximation and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-22 Sean Meyn

This book covers a wide range of problems involving the applications of stochastic processes, stochastic calculus, large deviation theory, group representation theory and quantum statistics to diverse fields in dynamical systems,…

数学物理 · 物理学 2021-08-13 Harish Parthasarathy

Sampling is an important tool for estimating large, complex sums and integrals over high dimensional spaces. For instance, important sampling has been used as an alternative to exact methods for inference in belief networks. Ideally, we…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-18 Luis E. Ortiz , Leslie Pack Kaelbling

We present a quasi-Newton method for unconstrained stochastic optimization. Most existing literature on this topic assumes a setting of stochastic optimization in which a finite sum of component functions is a reasonable approximation of an…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-09-04 Matt Menickelly , Stefan M. Wild , Miaolan Xie

Adaptive therapy is a promising paradigm for treating cancers, that exploits competitive interactions between drug-sensitive and drug-resistant cells, thereby avoiding or delaying treatment failure due to evolution of drug resistance within…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-09-12 Yuri G. Vilela , Artur C. Fassoni , Armando G. M. Neves

Stochastic diffusion is the noisy and uncertain process through which dynamics like epidemics, or agents like animal species, disperse over a larger area. Understanding these processes is becoming increasingly important as we attempt to…

In response to growing concern about the reliability and reproducibility of published science, researchers have proposed adopting measures of greater statistical stringency, including suggestions to require larger sample sizes and to lower…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-09 Harlan Campbell , Paul Gustafson

Shape-constrained optimization arises in a wide range of problems including distributionally robust optimization (DRO) that has surging popularity in recent years. In the DRO literature, these problems are usually solved via reduction into…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-06-13 Henry Lam , Zhenyuan Liu , Dashi I. Singham

The Markov decision process (MDP) formulation used to model many real-world sequential decision making problems does not efficiently capture the setting where the set of available decisions (actions) at each time step is stochastic.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-22 Yash Chandak , Georgios Theocharous , Blossom Metevier , Philip S. Thomas

Stochastic localization is a pathwise analysis technique originating from convex geometry. This paper explores certain algorithmic aspects of stochastic localization as a computational tool. First, we unify various existing stochastic…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-20 Tom Alberts , Yiming Xu , Qiang Ye

We study contextual stochastic optimization problems, where we leverage rich auxiliary observations (e.g., product characteristics) to improve decision making with uncertain variables (e.g., demand). We show how to train forest decision…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-03-17 Nathan Kallus , Xiaojie Mao

We study a random process with reinforcement, which evolves following the dynamics of a given diffusion process in a bounded domain and is resampled according to its occupation measure when it reaches the boundary. We show that its…

概率论 · 数学 2021-02-16 Michel Benaïm , Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais