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Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC), or particle filtering, is widely used in nonlinear state-space systems, but its performance often suffers from poorly approximated proposal and state-transition distributions. This work introduces a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-14 Wessel L. van Nierop , Nir Shlezinger , Ruud J. G. van Sloun

Accurate estimation of the states of a nonlinear dynamical system is crucial for their design, synthesis, and analysis. Particle filters are estimators constructed by simulating trajectories from a sampling distribution and averaging them…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-02-03 Fernando Gama , Nicolas Zilberstein , Martin Sevilla , Richard Baraniuk , Santiago Segarra

Recently, Andrieu, Doucet and Holenstein (2010) introduced a general framework for using particle filters (PFs) to construct proposal kernels for Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. This framework, termed Particle Markov chain Monte…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-03-14 Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

Particle smoothers are SMC (Sequential Monte Carlo) algorithms designed to approximate the joint distribution of the states given observations from a state-space model. We propose dSMC (de-Sequentialized Monte Carlo), a new particle…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-02-07 Adrien Corenflos , Nicolas Chopin , Simo Särkkä

Efficient sampling of many-dimensional and multimodal density functions is a task of great interest in many research fields. We describe an algorithm that allows parallelizing inherently serial Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling by…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-08-10 Vasyl Hafych , Philipp Eller , Oliver Schulz , Allen Caldwell

Using a perturbation technique, we derive a new approximate filtering and smoothing methodology generalizing along different directions several existing approaches to robust filtering based on the score and the Hessian matrix of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-06 Giuseppe Buccheri , Giacomo Bormetti , Fulvio Corsi , Fabrizio Lillo

As it has become common to use many computer cores in routine applications, finding good ways to parallelize popular algorithms has become increasingly important. In this paper, we present a parallelization scheme for Markov chain Monte…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-01 Guillaume W. Basse , Natesh S. Pillai , Aaron Smith

Finding effective ways to exploit parallel computing to accelerate Markov chain Monte Carlo methods is an important problem in Bayesian computation and related disciplines. In this paper, we consider the zeroth-order setting where the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-28 Francesco Pozza , Giacomo Zanella

Smoothing algorithms for state-space models, i.e., fixed-interval smoothing, fixed-lag smoothing, and two-filter formula for smoothing, are examined using real examples. For linear and Gaussian state-space models, it is observed that…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-07-10 G. Kitagawa

Policy-guided Monte Carlo is an adaptive method to simulate classical interacting systems. It adjusts the proposal distribution of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm to maximize the sampling efficiency, using a formalism inspired by…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2024-08-23 Leonardo Galliano , Riccardo Rende , Daniele Coslovich

Many random processes can be simulated as the output of a deterministic model accepting random inputs. Such a model usually describes a complex mathematical or physical stochastic system and the randomness is introduced in the input…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-11-21 A. Gokcen Mahmutoglu , Alper T. Erdogan , Alper Demir

We present here two irreversible Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms for general discrete state systems, one of the algorithms is based on the random-scan Gibbs sampler for discrete states and the other on its improved version, the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-05-08 Fahim Faizi , George Deligiannidis , Edina Rosta

We study the filtering and smoothing problem for continuous-time linear Gaussian systems. While classical approaches such as the Kalman-Bucy filter and the Rauch-Tung-Striebel (RTS) smoother provide recursive formulas for the conditional…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-06 Masahiro Kurisaki

In the context of Bayesian inversion for scientific and engineering modeling, Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling strategies are the benchmark due to their flexibility and robustness in dealing with arbitrary posterior probability density…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-12-07 Han Lu , Mohammad Khalil , Thomas Catanach , Jiefu Chen , Xuqing Wu , Xin Fu , Cosmin Safta , Yueqin Huang

Non-Gaussian state-space models arise in several applications, and within this framework the binary time series setting provides a relevant example. However, unlike for Gaussian state-space models - where filtering, predictive and smoothing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-29 Augusto Fasano , Giovanni Rebaudo , Daniele Durante , Sonia Petrone

Reflected diffusions in polyhedral domains are commonly used as approximate models for stochastic processing networks in heavy traffic. Stationary distributions of such models give useful information on the steady state performance of the…

概率论 · 数学 2012-05-24 Amarjit Budhiraja , Jiang Chen , Sylvain Rubenthaler

We propose a class of discrete state sampling algorithms based on Nesterov's accelerated gradient method, which extends the classical Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm. The evolution of the discrete states probability distribution governed…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-02-10 Bohan Zhou , Shu Liu , Xinzhe Zuo , Wuchen Li

We show that it is feasible to carry out exact Bayesian inference for non-Gaussian state space models using an adaptive Metropolis Hastings sampling scheme with the likelihood approximated by the particle filter. Furthermore, an adapyive…

统计计算 · 统计学 2009-11-03 Ralph Silva , Paolo Giordani , Robert Kohn , Mike Pitt

Filtering---estimating the state of a partially observable Markov process from a sequence of observations---is one of the most widely studied problems in control theory, AI, and computational statistics. Exact computation of the posterior…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-07 Bhaskara Marthi , Hanna Pasula , Stuart Russell , Yuval Peres

We consider online computation of expectations of additive state functionals under general path probability measures proportional to products of unnormalised transition densities. These transition densities are assumed to be intractable but…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-04-13 Pierre Gloaguen , Sylvain Le Corff , Jimmy Olsson