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In this paper we use Malliavin Calculus techniques in order to obtain expressions for the short-time behavior of the at-the-money implied volatility (ATM-IV) level and skew for a jump-diffusion stock price. The diffusion part is assumed to…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-03-31 Elisa Alòs , Òscar Burés , Josep Vives

Our first result concerns a characterisation by means of a functional equation of Poisson point processes conditioned by the value of their first moment. It leads to a generalised version of Mecke's formula. En passant, it also allows to…

概率论 · 数学 2018-09-25 Giovanni Conforti , Tetiana Kosenkova , Sylvie Roelly

We present an empirical study of the subordination hypothesis for a stochastic time series of a stock price. The fluctuating rate of trading is identified with the stochastic variance of the stock price, as in the continuous-time random…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 A. Christian Silva , Victor M. Yakovenko

We provide general conditions ensuring that the value functions of some nonlinear stopping problems with finite horizon converge to the value functions of the corresponding problems with infinite horizon. Our result can be formulated as…

概率论 · 数学 2022-10-28 Tomasz Klimsiak , Andrzej Rozkosz

We analyse a collection of twisted mixed moments of the Riemann zeta function and establish the validity of asymptotic formulae comprising on some instances secondary terms of the shape $P(\log T) T^{C}$ for a suitable constant $C<1$ and a…

数论 · 数学 2022-11-22 Javier Pliego

This paper develops a rigorous asymptotic framework for likelihood-based inference in the Block Maxima (BM) method for stationary time series. While Bayesian inference under the BM approach has been widely studied in the independence…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-24 David L. Carl , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

We analyse a period spanning 35 years of activity in the Sao Paulo Stock Exchange Index (IBOVESPA) and show that the Heston model with stochastic volatility is capable of explaining price fluctuations for time scales ranging from 5 minutes…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Renato Vicente , Charles M. de Toledo , Vitor B. P. Leite , Nestor Caticha

It is well-known that the Black-Scholes formula has been derived under the assumption of constant volatility in stocks. In spite of evidence that this parameter is not constant, this formula is widely used by financial markets. This paper…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2013-06-06 Kais Hamza , Fima Klebaner , Olivia Mah

We consider a stochastic volatility model with jumps where the underlying asset price is driven by the process sum of a 2-dimensional Brownian motion and a 2-dimensional compensated Poisson process. The market is incomplete, resulting in…

概率论 · 数学 2011-10-31 Youssef El-Khatib

We propose a randomised version of the Heston model-a widely used stochastic volatility model in mathematical finance-assuming that the starting point of the variance process is a random variable. In such a system, we study the small-and…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2018-12-07 Antoine Jacquier , Fangwei Shi

We prove the asymptotic functional Poisson laws in the total variation norm and obtain estimates of the corresponding convergence rates for a large class of hyperbolic dynamical systems. These results generalize the ones obtained before in…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-07-07 Leonid Bunimovich , Yaofeng Su

We consider the moderate deviations behaviors for two (co-) volatility estima-tors: generalised bipower variation, Hayashi-Yoshida estimator. The results are obtained by using a new result about the moderate deviations principle for…

概率论 · 数学 2017-02-06 Hacène Djellout , Arnaud Guillin , Hui Jiang , Yacouba Samoura

We derive a backward and forward nonlinear PDEs that govern the implied volatility of a contingent claim whenever the latter is well-defined. This would include at least any contingent claim written on a positive stock price whose payoff at…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2019-07-18 Peter Carr , Andrey Itkin , Sasha Stoikov

Dynamic jumps in the price and volatility of an asset are modelled using a joint Hawkes process in conjunction with a bivariate jump diffusion. A state space representation is used to link observed returns, plus nonparametric measures of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-03-10 Worapree Maneesoonthorn , Catherine S. Forbes , Gael M. Martin

We investigate the Heston model with stochastic volatility and exponential tails as a model for the typical price fluctuations of the Brazilian S\~ao Paulo Stock Exchange Index (IBOVESPA). Raw prices are first corrected for inflation and a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Renato Vicente , Charles M. de Toledo , Vitor B. P. Leite , Nestor Caticha

We consider a general local-stochastic volatility model and an investor with exponential utility. For a European-style contingent claim, whose payoff may depend on either a traded or non-traded asset, we derive an explicit approximation for…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2015-09-04 Matthew Lorig

We consider parametric inference for an ergodic and stationary diffusion process, when the data are high-frequency observations of the integral of the diffusion process. Such data are obtained via certain measurement devices, or if…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-09 Emil S. Jørgensen , Michael Sørensen

In this paper we study coupled fully non-local equations, where a linear non-local operator jointly acts on the time and space variables. We establish existence and uniqueness of the solution. A maximum principle is proved and used to…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-24 Giacomo Ascione , Enrico Scalas , Bruno Toaldo , Lorenzo Torricelli

There are numerous examples of natural and artificial processes that represent stochastic sequences of events followed by an absolute refractory period during which the occurrence of a subsequent event is impossible. In the simplest case of…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2022-01-24 A. V. Paraskevov , A. S. Minkin

Scaling properties of time series are usually studied in terms of the scaling laws of empirical moments, which are the time average estimates of moments of the dynamic variable. Nonlinearities in the scaling function of empirical moments…

概率论 · 数学 2023-04-24 Marco Zamparo