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Margin-based structured prediction commonly uses a maximum loss over all possible structured outputs \cite{Altun03,Collins04b,Taskar03}. In natural language processing, recent work \cite{Zhang14,Zhang15} has proposed the use of the maximum…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-11-16 Jean Honorio , Tommi Jaakkola

This paper explores the possibility of establishing an analytic form of the distribution of the order parameter fluctuations in a two-dimensional critical spin wave model, or width fluctuations of a two dimensional Edwards-Wilkinson…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-04-13 Steven T. Bramwell

We present a statistical framework for estimating global navigation satellite system (GNSS) non-ionospheric differential time delay bias. The biases are estimated by examining differences of measured line integrated electron densities (TEC)…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2015-08-13 Juha Vierinen , Anthea J. Coster , William C. Rideout , Philip J. Erickson , Johannes Norberg

We use Stein's method to obtain bounds on the rate of convergence for a class of statistics in geometric probability obtained as a sum of contributions from Poisson points which are exponentially stabilizing, i.e. locally determined in a…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Mathew D. Penrose , J. E. Yukich

The particle Gibbs sampler is a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to sample from the full posterior distribution of a state-space model. It does so by executing Gibbs sampling steps on an extended target distribution defined on the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-07-29 Nicolas Chopin , Sumeetpal S. Singh

A method to perform unfolding with Gaussian processes (GPs) is presented. Using Bayesian regression, we define an estimator for the underlying truth distribution as the mode of the posterior. We show that in the case where the bin contents…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-11-07 Adam Bozson , Glen Cowan , Francesco Spanò

In this article, we show that a general class of weakly stationary time series can be modeled applying Gaussian subordinated processes. We show that, for any given weakly stationary time series $(z_t)_{z\in\mathbb{N}}$ with given equal…

概率论 · 数学 2019-10-24 Lauri Viitasaari , Pauliina Ilmonen

Applications of stochastic models often involve the evaluation of steady-state performance, which requires solving a set of balance equations. In most cases of interest, the number of equations is infinite or even uncountable. As a result,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-04-08 Shukai Li , Sanjay Mehrotra

Using the Hamilton-Jacobi method, we solve chemical Fokker-Planck equations within the Gaussian approximation and obtain a simple and compact formula for a conditional probability distribution. The formula holds in general transient…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-17 Hiizu Nakanishi , Takahiro Sakaue , Jun'ichi Wakou

We present a Bayesian estimation analysis for a particular trace gas detection technique with species separation provided by differential diffusion. The proposed method collects a sample containing multiple gas species into a common volume,…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-13 John K. Stockton , Ari K. Tuchman

A common and effective method for calculating the steady-state distribution of a process under stochastic resetting is the renewal approach that requires only the knowledge of the reset-free propagator of the underlying process and the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-11-15 Ron Vatash , Amy Altshuler , Yael Roichman

The extreme value dependence of regularly varying stationary time series can be described by the spectral tail process. Drees, Segers and Warchol [Extremes 18(3): 369--402, 2015] proposed estimators of the marginal distributions of this…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-07-23 Holger Drees , Miran Knezevic

The use of spectral projection based methods for simulation of a stochastic system with discontinuous solution exhibits the Gibbs phenomenon, which is characterized by oscillations near discontinuities. This paper investigates a dynamic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-10-24 Piyush M. Tagade , Han-Lim Choi

Traditionally, Hawkes processes are used to model time--continuous point processes with history dependence. Here we propose an extended model where the self--effects are of both excitatory and inhibitory type and follow a Gaussian Process.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-05-21 Noa Malem-Shinitski , Cesar Ojeda , Manfred Opper

This paper presents a Gaussian process (GP) model for estimating piecewise continuous regression functions. In scientific and engineering applications of regression analysis, the underlying regression functions are piecewise continuous in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-15 Chiwoo Park

We propose a statistical mechanics for a general class of stationary and metastable equilibrium states. For this purpose, the Gibbs extremal conditions are slightly modified in order to be applied to a wide class of non-equilibrium states.…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-10-20 A. Cabo , S. Curilef , A. Gonzalez , N. G. Cabo-Bizet , C. A. Vera

In this paper, we study the problem of adaptive estimation of the spectral density of a stationary Gaussian process. For this purpose, we consider a wavelet-based method which combines the ideas of wavelet approximation and estimation by…

Statistical models and methods for determinantal point processes (DPPs) seem largely unexplored. We demonstrate that DPPs provide useful models for the description of spatial point pattern datasets where nearby points repel each other. Such…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-04-28 Frédéric Lavancier , Jesper Møller , Ege Rubak

We consider stationary configurations of points in Euclidean space which are marked by positive random variables called scores. The scores are allowed to depend on the relative positions of other points and outside sources of randomness.…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-25 Bojan Basrak , Ilya Molchanov , Hrvoje Planinić

Dependent generalized extreme value (dGEV) models have attracted much attention due to the dependency structure that often appears in real datasets. To construct a dGEV model, a natural approach is to assume that some parameters in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-06 Bo Ning , Peter Bloomfield
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