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相关论文: Off-line detection of multiple change points with …

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We suggest a novel procedure for online change point detection. Our approach expands an idea of maximizing a discrepancy measure between points from pre-change and post-change distributions. This leads to flexible algorithms suitable for…

A novel sequential change detection problem is proposed, in which the goal is to not only detect but also accelerate the change. Specifically, it is assumed that the sequentially collected observations are responses to treatments selected…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-06-24 Yanglei Song , Georgios Fellouris

In this work, we propose a non-parametric and robust change detection algorithm to detect multiple change points in time series data under contamination. The contamination model is sufficiently general, in that, the most common model used…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-24 Sujay Bhatt , Guanhua Fang , Ping Li

Time series, as frequently the case in neuroscience, are rarely stationary, but often exhibit abrupt changes due to attractor transitions or bifurcations in the dynamical systems producing them. A plethora of methods for detecting such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-10-05 Hazem Toutounji , Daniel Durstewitz

We propose a novel change-point detection method based on online Dynamic Mode Decomposition with control (ODMDwC). Leveraging ODMDwC's ability to find and track linear approximation of a non-linear system while incorporating control…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-08-20 Marek Wadinger , Michal Kvasnica , Yoshinobu Kawahara

A common approach to detect multiple changepoints is to minimise a measure of data fit plus a penalty that is linear in the number of changepoints. This paper shows that the general finite sample behaviour of such a method can be related to…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-08-15 Chao Zheng , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

High-dimensional time series are characterized by a large number of measurements and complex dependence, and often involve abrupt change points. We propose a new procedure to detect change points in the mean of high-dimensional time series…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-19 Jun Li , Minya Xu , Ping-Shou Zhong , Lingjun Li

This paper develops change-point methods for the spectrum of a locally stationary time series. We focus on series with a bounded spectral density that change smoothly under the null hypothesis but exhibits change-points or becomes less…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-08 Alessandro Casini , Pierre Perron

When analysing multiple time series that may be subject to changepoints, it is sometimes possible to specify a priori, by means of a graph, which pairs of time series are likely to be impacted by simultaneous changepoints. This article…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-10 Karl L. Hallgren , Nicholas A. Heard , Melissa J. M. Turcotte

Modeling matrix-valued time series is an interesting and important research topic. In this paper, we extend the method of Chang et al. (2017) to matrix-valued time series. For any given $p\times q$ matrix-valued time series, we look for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-11 Zhaoxing Gao

This paper studies the construction of p-values for nonparametric outlier detection, taking a multiple-testing perspective. The goal is to test whether new independent samples belong to the same distribution as a reference data set or are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-12 Stephen Bates , Emmanuel Candès , Lihua Lei , Yaniv Romano , Matteo Sesia

Change point detection is a typical task that aim to find changes in time series and can be tackled with two-sample test. Copula Entropy is a mathematical concept for measuring statistical independence and a two-sample test based on it was…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-14 Jian Ma

Multivariate time series can often have a large number of dimensions, whether it is due to the vast amount of collected features or due to how the data sources are processed. Frequently, the main structure of the high-dimensional time…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-11 Euan Thomas McGonigle , Hankui Peng

We study sequential change-point detection for spatio-temporal point processes, where actionable detection requires not only identifying when a distributional change occurs but also localizing where it manifests in space. While classical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-05 Wenbin Zhou , Liyan Xie , Shixiang Zhu

In this paper, we propose a new method for offline change-point detection on some parameters of the distribution of a random vector. We introduce a penalized maximum likelihood approach that can be efficiently computed by a dynamic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-22 Lucas Prates , Renan B Lemes , Tábita Hünemeier , Florencia Leonardi

By attaching auxiliary event times to the chronologically ordered observations, we formulate the Bayesian multiple changepoint problem of discrete-time observations into that of continuous-time ones. A version of forward-filtering…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-06-30 Lu Shaochuan

Process monitoring and control requires detection of structural changes in a data stream in real time. This article introduces an efficient sequential Monte Carlo algorithm designed for learning unknown changepoints in continuous time. The…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-09-29 Melissa J. M. Turcotte , Nicholas A. Heard

Estimating and quantifying uncertainty in unknown system parameters from limited data remains a challenging inverse problem in a variety of real-world applications. While many approaches focus on estimating constant parameters, a subset of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-09 Andrea Arnold

We propose estimation methods for change points in high-dimensional covariance structures with an emphasis on challenging scenarios with missing values. We advocate three imputation like methods and investigate their implications on common…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-26 Malte Londschien , Solt Kovács , Peter Bühlmann

There is a vast body of literature related to methods for detecting changepoints (CP). However, less attention has been paid to assessing the statistical reliability of the detected CPs. In this paper, we introduce a novel method to perform…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-23 Vo Nguyen Le Duy , Hiroki Toda , Ryota Sugiyama , Ichiro Takeuchi