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We study the long-term memory in diverse stock market indices and foreign exchange rates using the Detrended Fluctuation Analysis(DFA). For all daily and high-frequency market data studied, no significant long-term memory property is…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 GabJin Oh , Cheol-Jun Um , Seunghwann Kim

We study decades-long historic distributions of accumulated S\&P500 returns, from daily returns to those over several weeks. The time series of the returns emphasize major upheavals in the markets -- Black Monday, Tech Bubble, Financial…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-12-30 Hamed Farahani , R. A. Serota

Universal features in stock markets and their derivative markets are studied by means of probability distributions in internal rates of return on buy and sell transaction pairs. Unlike the stylized facts in log normalized returns, the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2009-11-11 Lukas Pichl , Taisei Kaizoji , Takuya Yamano

Multivariate probability density functions of returns are constructed in order to model the empirical behavior of returns in a financial time series. They describe the well-established deviations from the Gaussian random walk, such as an…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-08-23 E. Alessio , V. Frappietro , M. I. Krivoruchenko , L. J. Streckert

The following working document summarizes our work on the clustering of financial time series. It was written for a workshop on information geometry and its application for image and signal processing. This workshop brought several experts…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2016-03-28 Gautier Marti , Frank Nielsen , Philippe Donnat , Sébastien Andler

We investigate the tendency for financial instruments to form clusters when there are multiple factors influencing the correlation structure. Specifically, we consider a stock portfolio which contains companies from different industrial…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-05-08 Gordon J. Ross

It is commonly believed that the correlations between stock returns increase in high volatility periods. We investigate how much of these correlations can be explained within a simple non-Gaussian one-factor description with time…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Pierre Cizeau , Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Financial time series exhibit multiscale behavior, with interaction between multiple processes operating on different timescales. This paper introduces a method for separating these processes using variance and tail stationarity criteria,…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2026-01-19 Jan Rosenzweig

We compare some methods recently used in the literature to detect the existence of a certain degree of common behavior of stock returns belonging to the same economic sector. Specifically, we discuss methods based on random matrix theory…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2008-12-02 C. Coronnello , M. Tumminello , F. Lillo , S. Miccichè , R. N. Mantegna

Many financial and economic variables, including financial returns, exhibit nonlinear dependence, heterogeneity and heavy-tailedness. These properties may make problematic the analysis of (non-)efficiency and volatility clustering in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-12-01 Rustam Ibragimov , Rasmus Pedersen , Anton Skrobotov

Time series clustering is an essential machine learning task with applications in many disciplines. While the majority of the methods focus on time series taking values on the real line, very few works consider time series defined on the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-02-15 Ángel López-Oriona , Ying Sun , Rosa M. Crujeiras

Crowded trades by similarly trading peers influence the dynamics of asset prices, possibly creating systemic risk. We propose a market clustering measure using granular trading data. For each stock the clustering measure captures the degree…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-03-16 Marc van Kralingen , Diego Garlaschelli , Karolina Scholtus , Iman van Lelyveld

Records of the traded value f_i(t) of stocks display fluctuation scaling, a proportionality between the standard deviation sigma(i) and the average <f(i)>: sigma(i) ~ f(i)^alpha, with a strong time scale dependence alpha(dt). The…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Janos Kertesz

Based on the tick-by-tick stock prices from the German and American stock markets, we study the statistical properties of the distribution of the individual stocks and the index returns in highly collective and noisy intervals of trading,…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2015-06-24 J. Kwapien , S. Drozdz , J. Speth

We investigate the general problem of how to model the kinematics of stock prices without considering the dynamical causes of motion. We propose a stochastic process with long-range correlated absolute returns. We find that the model is…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2008-12-02 M. Serva , U. L. Fulco , M. L. Lyra , G. M. Viswanathan

Nowadays, financial data analysis is becoming increasingly important in the business market. As companies collect more and more data from daily operations, they expect to extract useful knowledge from existing collected data to help make…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2016-09-28 Fan Cai , Nhien-An Le-Khac , Tahar Kechadi

We present and discuss a stochastic model of financial assets dynamics based on the idea of an inverse renormalization group strategy. With this strategy we construct the multivariate distributions of elementary returns based on the scaling…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2014-02-20 Marco Zamparo , Fulvio Baldovin , Michele Caraglio , Attilio L. Stella

Detection of power-law behavior and studies of scaling exponents uncover the characteristics of complexity in many real world phenomena. The complexity of financial markets has always presented challenging issues and provided interesting…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-08-01 Stjepan Begušić , Zvonko Kostanjčar , H. Eugene Stanley , Boris Podobnik

By analyzing a large data set of daily returns with data clustering technique, we identify economic sectors as clusters of assets with a similar economic dynamics. The sector size distribution follows Zipf's law. Secondly, we find that…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Matteo Marsili

This paper presents a comprehensive statistical analysis of the Web3 ecosystem, comparing various Web3 tokens with traditional financial assets across multiple time scales. We examine probability distributions, tail behaviors, and other key…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-12-09 Wei-Ru Chen , A. Christian Silva , Shen-Ning Tung