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相关论文: The Risk Distribution Curve and its Derivatives

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The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristics curve (ROC) evaluates the separation between patients and nonpatients or discrimination. For risk prediction models these risk distributions can be derived from the…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2021-02-23 Ralph H. Stern

Assessment of risk prediction models has primarily utilized measures of discrimination, the ROC curve AUC and C-statistic. These derive from the risk distributions of patients and nonpatients, which in turn are derived from a population…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2023-12-05 Ralph H. Stern

The key concepts (calibration, discrimination, and discordance) important in understanding and comparing risk models are best conveyed graphically. To illustrate this, models predicting death and acute kidney injury in a large cohort of PCI…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2015-04-21 Ralph H. Stern , Dean E. Smith , Hitinder S. Gurm

The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve and the Area Under the Curve (AUC) of the ROC curve are widely used to compare the performance of diagnostic and prognostic assays. The ROC curve has the advantage that it is independent of…

ROC curves and cost curves are two popular ways of visualising classifier performance, finding appropriate thresholds according to the operating condition, and deriving useful aggregated measures such as the area under the ROC curve (AUC)…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2011-08-01 José Hernández-Orallo , Peter Flach , Cèsar Ferri

The Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC) is a widely employed metric in long-tailed classification scenarios. Nevertheless, most existing methods primarily assume that training and testing examples are drawn i.i.d. from the same distribution,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-07 Siran Dai , Qianqian Xu , Zhiyong Yang , Xiaochun Cao , Qingming Huang

The Area Under the the Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) Curve, referred to as AUC, is a well-known performance measure in the supervised learning domain. Due to its compelling features, it has been employed in a number of studies to…

Several efforts have been done to bring ROC analysis beyond (binary) classification, especially in regression. However, the mapping and possibilities of these proposals do not correspond to what we expect from the analysis of operating…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-10-17 Jose Hernandez-Orallo

The ROC (receiver operating characteristic) curve is a widely used device for assessing decision-making systems. It seems surprising, in view of its history dating back to World War Two, that the assignment of uncertainties to a ROC curve…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2024-08-19 M. P. Fewell

The work deals with the risk assessment theory. An unitary risk algorithm is elaborated. The algorithm is based on parallel curves. The basic curve of risk is a hyperbolic curve, obtained as a multiplication between the probability of…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2013-03-08 Nicolae Popoviciu , Floarea Baicu

The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve of a binary classifier has often been utilized to measure the performance of the classifier. The area beneath this curve is used in particular because of its quoted probabilistic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-05 Steven Redolfi

The Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC) is a widely used performance metric for binary classifiers. However, as a global ranking statistic, the AUC aggregates model behavior over the entire dataset, masking localized weaknesses in specific…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-08-12 Agus Sudjianto , Alice J. Liu

The ROC curve is a statistical tool that analyses the accuracy of a diagnostic test in which a variable is used to decide whether an individual is healthy or not. Along with that diagnostic variable it is usual to have information of some…

The performance of risk prediction models is often characterized in terms of discrimination and calibration. The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve is widely used for evaluating model discrimination. When evaluating the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-19 Mohsen Sadatsafavi , Paramita Saha-Chaudhuri , John Petkau

The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve is a representation of the statistical information discovered in binary classification problems and is a key concept in machine learning and data science. This paper studies the statistical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-05-09 Kai Feng , Han Hong , Ke Tang , Jingyuan Wang

In analysis of binary outcomes, the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve is heavily used to show the performance of a model or algorithm. The ROC curve is informative about the performance over a series of thresholds and can be…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-08-10 John Muschelli

The ROC curve and the corresponding AUC are popular tools for the evaluation of diagnostic tests. They have been recently extended to assess prognostic markers and predictive models. However, due to the many particularities of time-to-event…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-10-26 Paul Blanche , Aurélien Latouche , Vivian Viallon

Background: Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves are widely used to evaluate the performance of Software Defect Prediction (SDP) models that estimate module fault-proneness, i.e., the probability that a module is faulty. A ROC…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2026-04-23 Luigi Lavazza , Gabriele Rotoloni , Sandro Morasca

The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve is a useful tool that measures the discriminating power of a continuous variable or the accuracy of a pharmaceutical or medical test to distinguish between two conditions or classes. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-26 Ana M. Bianco , Graciela Boente , Wenceslao Gonzalez-Manteiga

The predictiveness curve is a valuable tool for predictive evaluation, risk stratification, and threshold selection in a target population, given a single biomarker or a prediction model. In the presence of competing risks, regression…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-04 Wei Tao , Jing Ning , Wen Li , Wenyaw Chan , Xi Luo , Ruosha Li
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