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We study the spatio-temporal features of extremal sub-daily precipitation data over the Piave river basin in northeast Italy using a rich database of observed hourly rainfall. Empirical evidence suggests that both the marginal and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-11-26 Dáire Healy , Ilaria Prosdocimi , Isadora Antoniano-Villalobos

We study the relation between flow structure and fluid deformation in steady two-dimensional random flows. Beyond the linear (shear flow) and exponential (chaotic flow) elongation paradigms, we find a broad spectrum of stretching behaviors,…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2016-08-25 Marco Dentz , Daniel R. Lester , Tanguy Le Borgne , Felipe P. J. de Barros

We analyse under a simple approach the problem one must decide the best strategy to minimize the contact with rain when moving between two points through the rain. The available strategies: walk (low speed boost $<<$ $c$) or run…

科普物理 · 物理学 2015-03-17 Armando V. D. B. Assis

Studying water droplets is a rich lesson in fields of fluid dynamics, nonlinear systems, and differential equations. Understanding various physical aspects of raindrops can help us in understanding drop dynamics, rainfall density…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2023-10-31 Yashvir Tibrewal , Nishchal Dwivedi

Changing climate signals and the continuous world population growth requires proper hydrologic risk analysis to build and operate water resource infrastructures in a sustainable way. Although modernized computational facilities are becoming…

斑图形成与孤子 · 物理学 2022-08-30 Victor Peñaranda , David Serrano , Mahesh Maskey

In nonlinear dynamics, basins of attraction link a given set of initial conditions to its corresponding final states. This notion appears in a broad range of applications where several outcomes are possible, which is a common situation in…

Meteorological forecasting provides reliable prediction about the future weather within a given interval of time. Meteorological forecasting can be viewed as a form of hybrid diagnostic reasoning and can be mapped onto an integrated…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2019-02-11 Matteo Cristani , Francesco Domenichini , Claudio Tomazzoli , Luca Viganò , Margherita Zorzi

The paper presents improved mathematical models and methods for statistical regularities in the behavior of some important characteristics of precipitation: duration of a wet period, maximum daily and total precipitation volumes within a…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-01 Victor Korolev , Andrey Gorshenin

Resilience is a rehashed concept in natural hazard management - resilience of cities to earthquakes, to floods, to fire, etc. In a word, a system is said to be resilient if there exists a strategy that can drive the system state back to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-02-05 Michel De Lara

Earth and soils are indispensable elements of river environment. Dam-downstream environment and ecosystems have been severely affected by reduced or even stopped sediment supply from the upstream. Replenishing earth and soils from outside…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-05-12 Hidekazu Yoshioka

A new approach for evaluating time-trends in extreme values accounting also for spatial dependence is proposed. Based on exceedances over a space-time threshold, estimators for a trend function and for extreme value parameters are given,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-17 Ana Ferreira , Petra Friederichs , Laurens de Haan , Cláudia Neves , Martin Schlather

Motivated by the analysis of extreme rainfall data, we introduce a general Bayesian hierarchical model for estimating the probability distribution of extreme values of intermittent random sequences, a common problem in geophysical and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-26 Enrico Zorzetto , Antonio Canale , Marco Marani

This contribution derives from a rather extensive study on the foundations of probability. We start by discussing critically the two main models of the random event in Probability Theroy and cast light over a number of incongruities. We…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Paolo Rocchi , Leonida Gianfagna

In the present paper we demonstrate the results of a statistical analysis of some characteristics of precipitation events and propose a kind of a theoretical explanation of the proposed models in terms of mixed Poisson and mixed exponential…

概率论 · 数学 2018-06-28 V. Yu. Korolev , A. K. Gorshenin , S. K. Gulev , K. P. Belyaev , A. A. Grusho

Spatial maps of extreme precipitation are crucial in flood protection. With the aim of producing maps of precipitation return levels, we propose a novel approach to model a collection of spatially distributed time series where the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-27 Federica Stolf , Antonio Canale

A region under rainfall is a contiguous spatial area receiving positive precipitation at a particular time. The probabilistic behavior of such a region is an issue of interest in meteorological studies. A region under rainfall can be viewed…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-03-05 Kaushik Jana , Debasis Sengupta , Subrata Kundu , Arindam Chakraborty , Purnima Shaw

We analyze distributions of rain-event sizes, rain-event durations, and dry-spell durations for data obtained from a network of 20 rain gauges scattered in a region of the NW Mediterranean coast. While power-law distributions model the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2012-12-24 Anna Deluca , Alvaro Corral

Here we define natural chaotic systems, like the earths weather and climate system, as chaotic systems which are open to the world so have constantly changing boundary conditions, and measurements of their states are subject to errors. In…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2024-09-24 Michael LuValle

We describe a simple classroom demonstration of a fluid-dynamic instability. The demonstration requires only a bucket of water, a piece of string and some used tealeaves or coffee grounds. We argue that the mechanism for the instability, at…

物理教育 · 物理学 2021-01-06 Tom Howard , Ana Barbosa Aguiar

Event definitions in Complex Event Processing systems are constrained by the expressiveness of each system's language. Some systems allow the definition of instantaneous complex events, while others allow the definition of durative complex…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2021-08-31 Manolis Pitsikalis , Alexei Lisitsa , Shan Luo