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Recently attention has been drawn to practical problems with the use of unbounded Pareto distributions, for instance when there are natural upper bounds that truncate the probability tail. Aban, Meerschaert and Panorska (2006) derived the…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-12-24 Jan Beirlant , Isabel Fraga Alves , Ivette Gomes , Mark M. Meerschaert

The subject of tail estimation for randomly censored data from a heavy tailed distribution receives growing attention, motivated by applications for instance in actuarial statistics. The bias of the available estimators of the extreme value…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-19 Jan Beirlant , Gaonyalelwe Maribe , Andrehette Verster

This paper establishes the optimal sub-Gaussian variance proxy for truncated Gaussian and truncated exponential random variables. The proofs rely on first characterizing the optimal variance proxy as the unique solution to a set of two…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-11-27 Mathias Barreto , Olivier Marchal , Julyan Arbel

Exact upper bounds on the Winsorised-tilted mean of a random variable in terms of its first two moments are given. Such results are needed in work on nonuniform Berry--Esseen-type bounds for general nonlinear statistics. As another…

概率论 · 数学 2012-05-24 Iosif Pinelis

Different questions related with analysis of extreme values and outliers arise frequently in practice. To exclude extremal observations and outliers is not a good decision because they contain important information about the observed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-17 Pavlina K. Jordanova , Monika P. Petkova

How can we perform efficient inference and learning in directed probabilistic models, in the presence of continuous latent variables with intractable posterior distributions, and large datasets? We introduce a stochastic variational…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-12-13 Diederik P Kingma , Max Welling

We consider the problem of robustly predicting as well as the best linear combination of $d$ given functions in least squares regression, and variants of this problem including constraints on the parameters of the linear combination. For…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-02-24 Jean-Yves Audibert , Olivier Catoni

We revisit the problem of estimating the mean of a real-valued distribution, presenting a novel estimator with sub-Gaussian convergence: intuitively, "our estimator, on any distribution, is as accurate as the sample mean is for the Gaussian…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-18 Jasper C. H. Lee , Paul Valiant

We present a new method for constructing a confidence interval for the mean of a bounded random variable from samples of the random variable. We conjecture that the confidence interval has guaranteed coverage, i.e., that it contains the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-05 Erik Learned-Miller , Philip S. Thomas

This paper introduces a new version of the smoothly trimmed mean with a more general version of weights, which can be used as an alternative to the classical trimmed mean. We derive its asymptotic variance and to further investigate its…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-10 Elina Kresse , Emils Silins , Janis Valeinis

Finite sample properties of random covariance-type matrices have been the subject of much research. In this paper we focus on the "lower tail" of such a matrix, and prove that it is subgaussian under a simple fourth moment assumption on the…

概率论 · 数学 2013-12-11 Roberto Imbuzeiro Oliveira

Multivariate elliptically-contoured distributions are widely used for modeling correlated and non-Gaussian data. In this work, we study the kurtosis of the elliptical model, which is an important parameter in many statistical analysis.…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-23 Bowen Zhou , Peirong Xu , Cheng Wang

This paper addresses the issue of estimating the expectation of a real-valued random variable of the form $X = g(\mathbf{U})$ where $g$ is a deterministic function and $\mathbf{U}$ can be a random finite- or infinite-dimensional vector.…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2015-09-10 Clément Walter

In this paper, we propose an estimator of the second-order parameter of randomly right-truncated Pareto-type distributions data and establish its consistency and asymptotic normality. Moreover, we derive an asymptotically unbiased estimator…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-10-21 Nawel Haouas , Abdelhakim Necir , Brahim Brahimi

We propose a new approach for estimating the parameters of a probability distribution. It consists on combining two new methods of estimation. The first is based on the definition of a new distance measuring the difference between…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-12-30 Ahmed Guellil , Tewfik Kernane

Two non-intrusive uncertainty propagation approaches are proposed for the performance analysis of engineering systems described by expensive-to-evaluate deterministic computer models with parameters defined as interval variables. These…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-02-15 Alice Cicirello , Filippo Giunta

It is well-known that trimmed sample means are robust against heavy tails and data contamination. This paper analyzes the performance of trimmed means and related methods in two novel contexts. The first one consists of estimating…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-03 Roberto I. Oliveira , Lucas Resende

The minimax risk is often considered as a gold standard against which we can compare specific statistical procedures. Nevertheless, as has been observed recently in robust and heavy-tailed estimation problems, the inherent reduction of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-08 Tianyi Ma , Kabir A. Verchand , Richard J. Samworth

Unbiased and consistent variance estimators generally do not exist for design-based treatment effect estimators because experimenters never observe more than one potential outcome for any unit. The problem is exacerbated by interference and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-04 Christopher Harshaw , Joel A. Middleton , Fredrik Sävje

It was shown that when one disposes of a parametric information of the truncation distribution, the semiparametric estimator of the distribution function for truncated data (Wang, 1989) is more efficient than the nonparametric one. On the…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-03 Saida Mancer , Abdelhakim Necir , Souad Benchaira