中文
相关论文

相关论文: High confidence estimates of the mean of heavy-tai…

200 篇论文

We analyze the \textit{Large Deviation Probability (LDP)} of linear factor models generated from non-identically distributed components with \textit{regularly-varying} tails, a large subclass of heavy tailed distributions. An efficient…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-12-10 Farzad Pourbabaee , Omid Shams Solari

There has been a surge of interest in developing robust estimators for models with heavy-tailed and bounded variance data in statistics and machine learning, while few works impose unbounded variance. This paper proposes two type of robust…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-12 Lihu Xu , Fang Yao , Qiuran Yao , Huiming Zhang

We study full Bayesian procedures for high-dimensional linear regression. We adopt data-dependent empirical priors introduced in [1]. In their paper, these priors have nice posterior contraction properties and are easy to compute. Our paper…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-02-14 Xiao Fang , Malay Ghosh

Heavy tailed distributions present a tough setting for inference. They are also common in industrial applications, particularly with Internet transaction datasets, and machine learners often analyze such data without considering the biases…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-10-14 Matt Taddy , Hedibert Freitas Lopes , Matt Gardner

Modern statistical analyses often encounter datasets with massive sizes and heavy-tailed distributions. For datasets with massive sizes, traditional estimation methods can hardly be used to estimate the extreme value index directly. To…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-26 Yongxin Li , Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Hansheng Wang

In this paper, we present a new estimator of the mean of a random vector, computed by applying some threshold function to the norm. Non asymptotic dimension-free almost sub-Gaussian bounds are proved under weak moment assumptions, using…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-02-14 Olivier Catoni , Ilaria Giulini

The aim of this paper is to generalize the PAC-Bayesian theorems proved by Catoni in the classification setting to more general problems of statistical inference. We show how to control the deviations of the risk of randomized estimators. A…

机器学习 · 统计学 2009-01-09 Pierre Alquier

We study the problem of estimating the parameters of a Gaussian distribution when samples are only shown if they fall in some (unknown) subset $S \subseteq \R^d$. This core problem in truncated statistics has long history going back to…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-08-06 Vasilis Kontonis , Christos Tzamos , Manolis Zampetakis

In this paper, we study the problem of distributed mean estimation with 1-bit communication constraints. We propose a mean estimator that is based on (randomized and sequentially-chosen) interval queries, whose 1-bit outcome indicates…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-07 Ivan Lau , Jonathan Scarlett

Approximate Bayesian Computation is a family of likelihood-free inference techniques that are well-suited to models defined in terms of a stochastic generating mechanism. In a nutshell, Approximate Bayesian Computation proceeds by computing…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-07-28 Michael Blum

Although applications of Bayesian analysis for numerical quadrature problems have been considered before, it's only very recently that statisticians have focused on the connections between statistics and numerical analysis of differential…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-10-03 Majnu John , Yihren Wu

Estimating the mean of a random vector from i.i.d. data has received considerable attention, and the optimal accuracy one may achieve with a given confidence is fairly well understood by now. When the data take values in more general metric…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-18 Daniel Bartl , Gabor Lugosi , Roberto Imbuzeiro Oliveira , Zoraida F. Rico

Recently, we and several other authors have written about the possibilities of using stochastic approximation techniques for fitting variational approximations to intractable Bayesian posterior distributions. Naive implementations of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-01-14 Tim Salimans , David A. Knowles

Assume that one is interested in estimating an average treatment effect (ATE), equal to a weighted average of $S$ conditional average treatment effects (CATEs). One has unbiased estimators of the CATEs. One could just average the CATE…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-11 Clément de Chaisemartin

The analysis of extremal dependence in high dimensions has recently attracted considerable interest. Existing methodology primarily focuses on modeling and estimation of extremal dependence structures, often supported by concentration…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-02 Axel Bücher , Yeonjoon Choi , Katharina Effertz , Stanislav Volgushev

We study the consistency of sample mean-variance portfolios of arbitrarily high dimension that are based on Bayesian or shrinkage estimation of the input parameters as well as weighted sampling. In an asymptotic setting where the number of…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2015-05-30 Francisco Rubio , Xavier Mestre , Daniel P. Palomar

We study efficient algorithms for linear regression and covariance estimation in the absence of Gaussian assumptions on the underlying distributions of samples, making assumptions instead about only finitely-many moments. We focus on how…

Chebyshev's inequality provides an upper bound on the tail probability of a random variable based on its mean and variance. While tight, the inequality has been criticized for only being attained by pathological distributions that abuse the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-10-16 Ernst Roos , Ruud Brekelmans , Wouter van Eekelen , Dick den Hertog , Johan van Leeuwaarden

Heavy-tailed distributions naturally occur in many real life problems. Unfortunately, it is typically not possible to compute inference in closed-form in graphical models which involve such heavy-tailed distributions. In this work, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2011-03-22 Danny Bickson , Carlos Guestrin

We propose an estimator for the mean of random variables in separable real Banach spaces using the empirical characteristic function. Assuming that the covariance operator of the random variable is bounded in a precise sense, we show that…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-04 Sohail Bahmani