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In the seminal contribution [4] the joint weak convergence of maxima and minima of weakly dependent stationary sequences is derived under some mild asymptotic conditions. In this paper we address additionally the case of incomplete samples…

概率论 · 数学 2014-10-08 Enkelejd Hashorva , Zhichao Weng

We study subexponential tail asymptotics for the distribution of the maximum $M_t:=\sup_{u\in[0,t]}X_u$ of a process $X_t$ with negative drift for the entire range of $t>0$. We consider compound renewal processes with linear drift and…

概率论 · 数学 2016-11-22 Dmitry Korshunov

In this paper, the asymptotic behavior of the entrance probability of discounted aggregate claims of a certain family of rare sets is studied, considering the finite and infinite time horizons. This multivariate risk model, driven by a…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-11 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis , Hui Xu

For measuring tail risk with scarce extreme events, extreme value analysis is often invoked as the statistical tool to extrapolate to the tail of a distribution. The presence of large datasets benefits tail risk analysis by providing more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-18 Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Chen Zhou

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of the sum of twisted traces of self-dual or conjugate self-dual discrete automorphic representations of $\mathrm{GL}_n$ for the level aspect of principal congruence subgroups under some…

数论 · 数学 2025-04-03 Yugo Takanashi , Satoshi Wakatsuki

We provide exact large-time equivalents of the density and upper tail distributions of the exponential functional of a subordinator in terms of its Laplace exponents. This improves previous results on the logarithmic asymptotic behaviour of…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-17 Bénédicte Haas

For multivariate distributions in the domain of attraction of a max-stable distribution, the tail copula and the stable tail dependence function are equivalent ways to capture the dependence in the upper tail. The empirical versions of…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-09 John H. J. Einmahl , Johan Segers

Let $\{X(t),t\ge0\}$ be a centered Gaussian process and let $\gamma$ be a non-negative constant. In this paper we study the asymptotics of $P\{\underset{t\in [0,\mathcal{T}/u^\gamma]}\sup X(t)>u\}$ as $u\to\infty$, with $\mathcal{T}$ an…

概率论 · 数学 2013-11-26 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

Gaussian scale mixtures are constructed as Gaussian processes with a random variance. They have non-Gaussian marginals and can exhibit asymptotic dependence unlike Gaussian processes, which are asymptotically independent except in the case…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-31 Raphael Huser , Thomas Opitz , Emeric Thibaud

Gaussian random vectors exhibit the loss of dimension phenomena, which relate to their joint survival tail behaviour. Besides, the fact that the components of such vectors are light-tailed complicates the approximations of various…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2018-10-09 E. Hashorva

We introduce the concept of an extremely negatively dependent (END) sequence of random variables with a given common marginal distribution. The END structure, as a new benchmark for negative dependence, is comparable to comonotonicity and…

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-28 Bin Wang , Ruodu Wang

Chebyshev's inequality provides an upper bound on the tail probability of a random variable based on its mean and variance. While tight, the inequality has been criticized for only being attained by pathological distributions that abuse the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-10-16 Ernst Roos , Ruud Brekelmans , Wouter van Eekelen , Dick den Hertog , Johan van Leeuwaarden

Exploratory data analysis is often used to test the goodness-of-fit of sample observations to specific target distributions. A few such graphical tools have been extensively used to detect subexponential or heavy-tailed behavior in observed…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-02-04 Bikramjit Das , Souvik Ghosh

The class of subweibull distributions has recently been shown to generalize the important properties of subexponential and subgaussian random variables. We describe alternative characterizations of subweibull distributions and detail the…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-12 F. William Townes

The problem of sums of independent, identically distributed random variables with stretched-exponential tails exhibits a dynamical phase transition and has recently reemerged in the context of active transport and condensation phenomena. We…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-05-11 Alberto Bassanoni , Omer Hamdi

We study the asymptotic behavior of the diameter or maximum interpoint distance of a cloud of i.i.d. $d$-dimensional random vectors when the number of points in the cloud tends to infinity. This is a non standard extreme value problem since…

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-30 Yann Demichel , Ana Karina Fermin , Philippe Soulier

Let X and Y be two independent and nonnegative random variables with corresponding distributions F and G. Denote by H the distribution of the product XY , called the product convolution of F and G. Cline and Samorodnitsky (1994) proposed…

概率论 · 数学 2017-10-03 Hui Xu , Fengyang Cheng , Yuebao Wang , Dongya Cheng

In this paper we present a conditional principle of Gibbs type for independent nonidentically distributed random vectors. We obtain this result by performing Edgeworth expansions for densities of sums of independent random vectors.

概率论 · 数学 2022-01-19 Dimbihery Rabenoro

This paper continues a series of studies devoted to analysis of the bivariate probability distribution P(x,y) of two consecutive price increments x (push) and y (response) at intraday timescales for a group of stocks. Besides the asymmetry…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Andrei Leonidov , Vladimir Trainin , Alexander Zaitsev , Sergey Zaitsev

The Gumbel-Softmax probability distribution allows learning discrete tokens in generative learning, while the Gumbel-Argmax probability distribution is useful in learning discrete structures in discriminative learning. Despite the efforts…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-05 Hedda Cohen Indelman , Tamir Hazan
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