相关论文: On the least squares estimator in a nearly unstabl…
This paper is concerned with the least squares estimator for a basic class of nonlinear autoregressive models, whose outputs are not necessarily to be ergodic. Several asymptotic properties of the least squares estimator have been…
In this paper, we consider the normalized least squares estimator of the parameter in a mildly stationary first-order autoregressive (AR(1)) model with dependent errors which are modeled as a mildly stationary AR(1) process. By martingale…
The aim of this paper is to define a nonlinear least squares estimator for the spectral parameters of a spherical autoregressive process of order 1 in a parametric setting. Furthermore, we investigate on its asymptotic properties, such as…
A general asymptotic theory is given for the panel data AR(1) model with time series independent in different cross sections. The theory covers the cases of stationary process, nearly non-stationary process, unit root process, mildly…
We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a linear univariate autoregressive model with sub-Gaussian innovations from a limited sequence of consecutive observations. Assuming that the parameters are compressible, we analyze…
We consider stationary autoregressive processes with coefficients restricted to an ellipsoid, which includes autoregressive processes with absolutely summable coefficients. We provide consistency results under different norms for the…
We consider maximum likelihood estimation for both causal and noncausal autoregressive time series processes with non-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable noise. A nondegenerate limiting distribution is given for maximum likelihood estimators of the…
The purpose of this paper is to study the asymptotic behavior of the weighted least square estimators of the unknown parameters of random coefficient bifurcating autoregressive processes. Under suitable assumptions on the immigration and…
We are interested in the implications of a linearly autocorrelated driven noise on the asymptotic behavior of the usual least squares estimator in a stable autoregressive process. We show that the least squares estimator is not consistent…
In this paper, we consider the normalized least squares estimator of the parameter in a mildly-explosive first-order autoregressive model with dependent errors which are modeled as a mildly-explosive AR(1) process. We prove that the…
We consider the problem of threshold estimation for autoregressive time series with a "space switching" in the situation, when the regression is nonlinear and the innovations have a smooth, possibly non Gaussian, probability density.…
We construct an autoregressive model with random coefficients that has a stationary distribution after proper normalization. This limit distribution is found to be stable.
For estimating the unknown parameters in an unstable autoregressive AR(p), the paper proposes sequential least squares estimates with a special stopping time defined by the trace of the observed Fisher information matrix. The limiting…
In this paper, we study non-asymptotic deviation bounds of the least squares estimator in Gaussian AR($n$) processes. By relying on martingale concentration inequalities and a tail-bound for $\chi^2$ distributed variables, we provide a…
Weak consistency and asymptotic normality of the ordinary least-squares estimator in a linear regression with adaptive learning is derived when the crucial, so-called, `gain' parameter is estimated in a first step by nonlinear least squares…
In this paper we study the limiting distributions of the least-squares estimators for the non-stationary first-order threshold autoregressive (TAR(1)) model. It is proved that the limiting behaviors of the TAR(1) process are very different…
In this article we study the asymptotic behaviour of the least square estimator in a linear regression model based on random observation instances. We provide mild assumptions on the moments and dependence structure on the randomly spaced…
This paper investigates the optimality analysis of the recursive least-squares (RLS) algorithm for autoregressive systems with exogenous inputs (ARX systems). A key challenge in analyzing is managing the potential unboundedness of the…
Spatial unilateral autoregressive model $X_{k,\ell}=\alpha X_{k-1,\ell}+\beta X_{k,\ell-1}+\gamma X_{k-1,\ell-1}+\epsilon_{k,\ell}$ is investigated in the unit root case, that is when the parameters are on the boundary of the domain of…
This paper presents a model of asymmetric bifurcating autoregressive process with random coefficients. We couple this model with a Galton Watson tree to take into account possibly missing observations. We propose least-squares estimators…