相关论文: G-Brownian Motion and Dynamic Risk Measure under V…

In this paper, we show that the integration of a stochastic differential equations driven by G-Brownian motion in R can be reduced to the integration of an ordinary differential equations parametrized by a variable in ({\Omega},F). We study…

In special relativity the mathematical expressions, defining physical observables as the momentum, the energy etc, emerge as one parameter (light speed) continuous deformations of the corresponding ones of the classical physics. Here, we…

Stochastic volatility (SV) models mimic many of the stylized facts attributed to time series of asset returns, while maintaining conceptual simplicity. The commonly made assumption of conditionally normally distributed or…

In this paper we introduce randomized $t$-type statistics that will be referred to as randomized pivots. We show that these randomized pivots yield central limit theorems with a significantly smaller magnitude of error as compared to that…

In this paper, a new approach to computing the generalisation performance is presented that assumes the distribution of risks, $\rho(r)$, for a learning scenario is known. From this, the expected error of a learning machine using empirical…

In this paper, we investigate suffcient and necessary conditions for the comparison theorem of neutral stochastic functional differential equations driven by G-Brownian motion (G-NSFDE). Moreover, the results extend the ones in the linear…

This paper introduces a unified approach for modeling high-frequency financial data that can accommodate both the continuous-time jump-diffusion and discrete-time realized GARCH model by embedding the discrete realized GARCH structure in…

The aim of this paper is to develop a sequence of discrete approximations to a one-dimensional It\^o diffusion that almost surely converges to a weak solution of the given stochastic differential equation. Under suitable conditions, the…

We define generalized innovations associated with generalized error models having arbitrary distributions, that is, distributions that can be mixtures of continuous and discrete distributions. These models include stochastic volatility…

This article describes a multivariate polynomial regression method where the uncertainty of the input parameters are approximated with Gaussian distributions, derived from the central limit theorem for large weighted sums, directly from the…

The sub-Gaussian stable distribution is a heavy-tailed elliptically contoured law which has interesting applications in signal processing and financial mathematics. This work addresses the problem of feasible estimation of distributions. We…

This dissertation discusses the intermitency phenomenon in three models of turbulence, employing analytical and numerical techniques in the analysis of stochastic processes and the probability distributions which they induce. The initial…

A theory of measurement uncertainty is presented, which, since it is based exclusively on the Bayesian approach and on the subjective concept of conditional probability, is applicable in the most general cases. The recent International…

Einstein's explanation of Brownian motion provided one of the cornerstones which underlie the modern approaches to stochastic processes. His approach is based on a random walk picture and is valid for Markovian processes lacking long-term…

The problem of non-stationarity in financial markets is discussed and related to the dynamic nature of price volatility. A new measure is proposed for estimation of the current asset volatility. A simple and illustrative explanation is…

We use the law of total variance to generate multiple expansions for the posterior predictive variance. These expansions are sums of terms involving conditional expectations and conditional variances and provide a quantification of the…

A new statistical field-theory model of isotropic turbulence is introduced. The model renormalizes the effects of turbulent stresses into a velocity-gradient-dependent random force. The model is well-defined within the context of the…

We derive limit distributions for certain empirical regularized optimal transport distances between probability distributions supported on a finite metric space and show consistency of the (naive) bootstrap. In particular, we prove that the…

We extend Robins' theory of causal inference for complex longitudinal data to the case of continuously varying as opposed to discrete covariates and treatments. In particular we establish versions of the key results of the discrete theory:…

Let $B=(B_t)_{t\in {\mathbb{R}}}$ be a two-sided standard Brownian motion. An unbiased shift of $B$ is a random time $T$, which is a measurable function of $B$, such that $(B_{T+t}-B_T)_{t\in {\mathbb{R}}}$ is a Brownian motion independent…