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Data-driven risk analysis involves the inference of probability distributions from measured or simulated data. In the case of a highly reliable system, such as the electricity grid, the amount of relevant data is often exceedingly limited,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-11 Simon H. Tindemans , Goran Strbac

In this paper, the authors first provide an overview of two major developments on complex survey data analysis: the empirical likelihood methods and statistical inference with non-probability survey samples, and highlight the important…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-14 Yilin Chen , Pengfei Li , J. N. K. Rao , Changbao Wu

Nonprobability (convenience) samples are increasingly sought to reduce the estimation variance for one or more population variables of interest that are estimated using a randomized survey (reference) sample by increasing the effective…

The article considers the problem of identifying the variable frequency of a sinusoidal signal. To obtain a regression model of the signal, an iterative differentiation of the original analytical expression is performed, and the swapping…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-09-21 S. I. Nizovtsev , S. V. Shavetov , A. A. Pyrkin

Various statistical tests have been developed for testing the equality of means in matched pairs with missing values. However, most existing methods are commonly based on certain distributional assumptions such as normality, 0-symmetry or…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-03-02 Lubna Amro , Markus Pauly

We derive general bounds on the probability that the empirical first-passage time $\overline{\tau}_n\equiv \sum_{i=1}^n\tau_i/n$ of a reversible ergodic Markov process inferred from a sample of $n$ independent realizations deviates from the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-12-12 Rick Bebon , Aljaž Godec

We derive non-asymptotic confidence regions for the mean of a random vector whose coordinates have an unknown dependence structure. The random vector is supposed to be either Gaussian or to have a symmetric bounded distribution, and we…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-02-07 Sylvain Arlot , Gilles Blanchard , Etienne Roquain

The average properties of the well-known Subset Sum Problem can be studied by the means of its randomised version, where we are given a target value $z$, random variables $X_1, \ldots, X_n$, and an error parameter $\varepsilon > 0$, and we…

Say $X_1,X_2,\ldots$ are independent identically distributed Bernoulli random variables with mean $p$. This paper builds a new estimate $\hat p$ of $p$ that has the property that the relative error, $\hat p /p - 1$, of the estimate does not…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-11-18 Mark Huber

Determining the strength of non-linear statistical dependencies between two variables is a crucial matter in many research fields. The established measure for quantifying such relations is the mutual information. However, estimating mutual…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2019-07-24 Damián G. Hernández , Inés Samengo

The task of monitoring for a change in the mean of a sequence of Bernoulli random variables has been widely studied. However most existing approaches make at least one of the following assumptions, which may be violated in many real-world…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-05-08 Gordon J. Ross , Dimitris K. Tasoulis , Niall M. Adams

We present an extension of local sensitivity analysis, also referred to as the perturbation approach for uncertainty quantification, to Bayesian inverse problems. More precisely, we show how moments of random variables with respect to the…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-04-06 Jürgen Dölz , David Ebert

We study the asymptotic behavior of the least squares estimators of the unknown parameters of bifurcating autoregressive processes. Under very weak assumptions on the driven noise of the process, namely conditional pair-wise independence…

概率论 · 数学 2009-06-29 Bernard Bercu , Benoite de Saporta , Anne Gegout-Petit

We consider the sequential composite binary hypothesis testing problem in which one of the hypotheses is governed by a single distribution while the other is governed by a family of distributions whose parameters belong to a known set…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2022-03-30 Jiachun Pan , Yonglong Li , Vincent Y. F. Tan

This paper considers inference for conditional moment inequality models using a multiscale statistic. We derive the asymptotic distribution of this test statistic and use the result to propose feasible critical values that have a simple…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-12-10 Timothy B. Armstrong , Hock Peng Chan

This paper presents a new perspective on the identification at infinity for the intercept of the sample selection model as identification at the boundary via a transformation of the selection index. This perspective suggests generalizations…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-02-13 Zhewen Pan

The problem of pricing Bermudan options using Monte Carlo and a nonparametric regression is considered. We derive optimal non-asymptotic bounds for a lower biased estimate based on the suboptimal stopping rule constructed using some…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2009-08-03 Denis Belomestny

There is a wide literature on change point tests, but the case of variables with infinite variances is essentially unexplored. In this paper we address this problem by studying the asymptotic behavior of trimmed CUSUM statistics. We show…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-01-06 István Berkes , Lajos Horváth , Johannes Schauer

Convergence rate estimates in limit theorems for sums of independent random variables are considered.

历史与综述 · 数学 2021-10-22 Irina Shevtsova

Predictive mean matching imputation is popular for handling item nonresponse in survey sampling. In this article, we study the asymptotic properties of the predictive mean matching estimator of the population mean. For variance estimation,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-16 Shu Yang , Jae Kwang Kim