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Causal inference with observational studies often relies on the assumptions of unconfoundedness and overlap of covariate distributions in different treatment groups. The overlap assumption is violated when some units have propensity scores…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-19 Shu Yang , Peng Ding

For randomized controlled trials to be conclusive, it is important to set the target sample size accurately at the design stage. Comparing two normal populations, the sample size calculation requires specification of the variance other than…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-04 Hirotada Maeda , Satoshi Hattori , Tim Friede

We introduce methods to bound the mean of a discrete distribution (or finite population) based on sample data, for random variables with a known set of possible values. In particular, the methods can be applied to categorical data with…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-11-16 Eric Bax , Frédéric Ouimet

In this work, we derive sharp non-asymptotic deviation bounds for weighted sums of Dirichlet random variables. These bounds are based on a novel integral representation of the density of a weighted Dirichlet sum. This representation allows…

Given a statistical model, we propose a novel estimation method that yields randomised estimators for the unknown distribution of an observed random variable. We establish non-asymptotic bounds for the performance of these estimators and…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-06 Yannick Baraud

We consider the problem of constructing confidence intervals (CIs) for the population mean of $N$ values $\{x_1, \ldots, x_N\} \subset \Sigma^N$ based on a random sample of size $n$, denoted by $X^n \equiv (X_1, \ldots, X_n)$, drawn…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-17 Shubhanshu Shekhar , Aaditya Ramdas

We establish higher-order nonasymptotic expansions for a difference between probability distributions of sums of i.i.d. random vectors in a Euclidean space. The derived bounds are uniform over two classes of sets: the set of all Euclidean…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-30 Mayya Zhilova

We consider a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation and testing for a multivariate monotone density. Instead of following the conventional Bayesian route of putting a prior distribution complying with the monotonicity restriction,…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-09 Kang Wang , Subhashis Ghosal

We consider Bayesian sample size determination using a criterion that utilizes the first two moments of the expected posterior variance. We study the resulting sample size in dependence on the chosen prior and explore the success rate for…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-28 Jörg Martin , Clemens Elster

The paper develops new methods of non-parametric estimation a compound Poisson distribution. Such a problem arise, in particular, in the inference of a Levy process recorded at equidistant time intervals. Our key estimator is based on…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-10-19 Alexey Lindo , Sergei Zuyev , Serik Sagitov

The paper aims at reconsidering the famous Le Cam LAN theory. The main features of the approach which make it different from the classical one are as follows: (1) the study is nonasymptotic, that is, the sample size is fixed and does not…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-03-06 Vladimir Spokoiny

Let X be a second order random process indexed by a compact interval [0,T]. Assume that n independent realizations of X are observed on a fixed grid of p time points. Under mild regularity assumptions on the sample paths of X, we show the…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-05-25 David Degras

This paper investigates the {\em nonasymptotic} properties of Bayes procedures for estimating an unknown distribution from $n$ i.i.d.\ observations. We assume that the prior is supported by a model $(\scr{S},h)$ (where $h$ denotes the…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-11-03 Lucien Birgé

We present algorithms for nonparametric regression in settings where the data are obtained sequentially. While traditional estimators select bandwidths that depend upon the sample size, for sequential data the effective sample size is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-07-03 Haijie Gu , John Lafferty

A prediction interval covers a future observation from a random process in repeated sampling, and is typically constructed by identifying a pivotal quantity that is also an ancillary statistic. Analogously, a tolerance interval covers a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-19 Geoffrey S Johnson

Complex scientific models where the likelihood cannot be evaluated present a challenge for statistical inference. Over the past two decades, a wide range of algorithms have been proposed for learning parameters in computationally feasible…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-12-16 Aden Forrow , Ruth E. Baker

In the present paper we consider the varying coefficient model which represents a useful tool for exploring dynamic patterns in many applications. Existing methods typically provide asymptotic evaluation of precision of estimation…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-02-07 Olga Klopp , Marianna Pensky

In this paper we have considered the problem of estimating the population mean in systematic sampling using information on an auxiliary variable in presence of non response. Some modified ratio, product and difference type estimators in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-03-06 Hemant K. Verma , R. D. Singh , Rajesh Singh

After rejecting the null hypothesis in the analysis of variance, the next step is to make the pairwise comparisons to find out differences in means. The purpose of this paper is threefold. The foremost aim is to suggest expression for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-22 Elsayed A. H. Elamir

We study the consistency of sample mean-variance portfolios of arbitrarily high dimension that are based on Bayesian or shrinkage estimation of the input parameters as well as weighted sampling. In an asymptotic setting where the number of…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2015-05-30 Francisco Rubio , Xavier Mestre , Daniel P. Palomar