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Ising models originated in statistical physics and are widely used in modeling spatial data and computer vision problems. However, statistical inference of this model remains challenging due to intractable nature of the normalizing constant…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-06 Minwoo Kim , Shrijita Bhattacharya , Tapabrata Maiti

We propose a novel approach to Bayesian analysis that is provably robust to outliers in the data and often has computational advantages over standard methods. Our technique is based on splitting the data into non-overlapping subgroups,…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-06-03 Stanislav Minsker , Sanvesh Srivastava , Lizhen Lin , David B. Dunson

We study the inverse problem of recovering the order and the diffusion coefficient of an elliptic fractional partial differential equation from a finite number of noisy observations of the solution. We work in a Bayesian framework and show…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2017-06-28 Nicolas Garcia Trillos , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

A common task in experimental sciences is to fit mathematical models to real-world measurements to improve understanding of natural phenomenon (reverse-engineering or inverse modeling). When complex dynamical systems are considered, such as…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-06-18 Jean-Charles Croix , Nicolas Durrande , Mauricio Alvarez

The univariate generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution is the most commonly used tool for analyzing the properties of rare events. The ever greater utilization of Bayesian methods for extreme value analysis warrants detailed…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-07-03 Likun Zhang , Benjamin A. Shaby

We study a Bayesian approach to nonparametric estimation of the periodic drift function of a one-dimensional diffusion from continuous-time data. Rewriting the likelihood in terms of local time of the process, and specifying a Gaussian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-02-14 Y. Pokern , A. M. Stuart , J. H. van Zanten

In this paper we propose a shrinkage wavelet-based method to estimate the signal in a nonparametric regression model with Autoregressive Fractionally Integrated Moving Average (ARFIMA) errors. Monte Carlo experiments indicate that the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-13 Alex Rodrigo dos S. Sousa , Mauricio Zevallos

Statistical inference can be seen as information processing involving input information and output information that updates belief about some unknown parameters. We consider the Bayesian framework for making inferences about dynamical…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-01-17 Artur O. Lopes , Silvia R. C. Lopes , Paulo Varandas

We consider nonparametric Bayesian estimation inference using a rescaled smooth Gaussian field as a prior for a multidimensional function. The rescaling is achieved using a Gamma variable and the procedure can be viewed as choosing an…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-08-26 A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

In this paper, we consider simultaneous estimation of Poisson parameters in situations where we can use side information in aggregated data. We use standardized squared error and entropy loss functions. Bayesian shrinkage estimators are…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-11-06 Yasuyuki Hamura

An efficient algorithm is proposed for Bayesian model calibration, which is commonly used to estimate the model parameters of non-linear, computationally expensive models using measurement data. The approach is based on Bayesian statistics:…

In all areas of human knowledge, datasets are increasing in both size and complexity, creating the need for richer statistical models. This trend is also true for economic data, where high-dimensional and nonlinear/nonparametric inference…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-12-23 Dimitris Korobilis , Kenichi Shimizu

The aim of this paper is to discuss both higher-order asymptotic expansions and skewed approximations for the Bayesian Discrepancy Measure for testing precise statistical hypotheses. In particular, we derive results on third-order…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-02 Elena Bortolato , Francesco Bertolino , Monica Musio , Laura Ventura

We explore the construction of nonsubjective prior distributions in Bayesian statistics via a posterior predictive relative entropy regret criterion. We carry out a minimax analysis based on a derived asymptotic predictive loss function and…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Trevor J. Sweeting , Gauri S. Datta , Malay Ghosh

The paper investigates uniform convergence of wavelet expansions of Gaussian random processes. The convergence is obtained under simple general conditions on processes and wavelets which can be easily verified. Applications of the developed…

概率论 · 数学 2013-07-29 Yuriy Kozachenko , Andriy Olenko , Olga Polosmak

Bayesian coresets have emerged as a promising approach for implementing scalable Bayesian inference. The Bayesian coreset problem involves selecting a (weighted) subset of the data samples, such that the posterior inference using the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-01 Jacky Y. Zhang , Rajiv Khanna , Anastasios Kyrillidis , Oluwasanmi Koyejo

We introduce a new method for learning Bayesian neural networks, treating them as a stack of multivariate Bayesian linear regression models. The main idea is to infer the layerwise posterior exactly if we know the target outputs of each…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-20 Richard Kurle , Alexej Klushyn , Ralf Herbrich

Density estimation represents one of the most successful applications of Bayesian nonparametrics. In particular, Dirichlet process mixtures of normals are the gold standard for density estimation and their asymptotic properties have been…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-07-02 Antonio Canale , Pierpaolo De Blasi

In this article, we investigate posterior convergence of nonparametric binary and Poisson regression under possible model misspecification, assuming general stochastic process prior with appropriate properties. Our model setup and objective…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-04 Debashis Chatterjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

In recent years, Bayesian inference in large-scale inverse problems found in science, engineering and machine learning has gained significant attention. This paper examines the robustness of the Bayesian approach by analyzing the stability…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-03-06 Alfredo Garbuno-Inigo , Tapio Helin , Franca Hoffmann , Bamdad Hosseini