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The estimation of parameters in a linear model is considered under the hypothesis that the noise, with finite second order statistics, can be represented in a given deterministic basis by random coefficients. An extended underdetermined…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-05-06 Piero Barone , Isabella Lari

We propose a novel iterative algorithm for estimating a deterministic but unknown parameter vector in the presence of model uncertainties. This iterative algorithm is based on a system model where an overall noise term describes both, the…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-27 Oliver Lang , Michael Lunglmayr , Mario Huemer

The purpose of this note is to show how the method of maximum entropy in the mean (MEM) may be used to improve parametric estimation when the measurements are corrupted by large level of noise. The method is developed in the context on a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-23 Henryk Gzyl , Enrique ter Horst

We review the methods of constructing confidence intervals that account for a priori information about one-sided constraints on the parameter being estimated. We show that the so-called method of sensitivity limit yields a correct solution…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-05-20 A. V. Lokhov , F. V. Tkachov

Elliptically symmetric distributions are a classic example of a semiparametric model where the location vector and the scatter matrix (or a parameterization of them) are the two finite-dimensional parameters of interest, while the density…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-18 Stefano Fortunati , Jean-Pierre Delmas , Esa Ollila

The normal-normal hierarchical model (NNHM) constitutes a simple and widely used framework for meta-analysis. In the common case of only few studies contributing to the meta-analysis, standard approaches to inference tend to perform poorly,…

While Bayesian inference techniques are standard in cosmological analyses, it is common to interpret resulting parameter constraints with a frequentist intuition. This intuition can fail, for example, when marginalizing high-dimensional…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2025-01-22 Bernardita Ried Guachalla , Dylan Britt , Daniel Gruen , Oliver Friedrich

In this paper we consider the estimation of unknown parameters in Bayesian inverse problems. In most cases of practical interest, there are several barriers to performing such estimation, This includes a numerical approximation of a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-07 Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Raul Tempone

Profile likelihood is the key tool for dealing with nuisance parameters in likelihood theory. It is often asserted, however, that profile likelihood is not a 'true' likelihood. One implication is that likelihood theory lacks the generality…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-07-06 Oliver J. Maclaren

Cosmological fine-tuning has traditionally been associated with the narrowness of the intervals in which the parameters of the physical models must be located to make life possible. A more thorough approach focuses on the probability of the…

物理学史与哲学 · 物理学 2022-04-26 Daniel Andrés Díaz-Pachón , Ola Hössjer , Robert J. Marks

In the propositional setting, the marginal problem is to find a (maximum-entropy) distribution that has some given marginals. We study this problem in a relational setting and make the following contributions. First, we compare two…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-04-26 Ondrej Kuzelka , Yuyi Wang , Jesse Davis , Steven Schockaert

Classical probabilistic models of (noisy) quantum systems are not only relevant for understanding the non-classical features of quantum mechanics, but they are also useful for determining the possible advantage of using quantum resources…

量子物理 · 物理学 2020-03-16 Iman Marvian

Estimating a large alphabet probability distribution from a limited number of samples is a fundamental problem in machine learning and statistics. A variety of estimation schemes have been proposed over the years, mostly inspired by the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-08-20 Amichai Painsky , Meir Feder

The posterior probability distribution for a set of model parameters encodes all that the data have to tell us in the context of a given model; it is the fundamental quantity for Bayesian parameter estimation. In order to infer the…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2015-06-16 Rupert Allison , Joanna Dunkley

In this paper we introduce two Bayesian estimators for learning the parameters of the Gamma distribution. The first algorithm uses a well known unnormalized conjugate prior for the Gamma shape and the second one uses a non-linear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-13 A. Llera , C. F. Beckmann

We introduce a framework for uncertainty estimation that both describes and extends many existing methods. We consider typical hyperparameters involved in classical training as random variables and marginalise them out to capture various…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-07 Francesco Farina , Lawrence Phillips , Nicola J Richmond

When modeling a probability distribution with a Bayesian network, we are faced with the problem of how to handle continuous variables. Most previous work has either solved the problem by discretizing, or assumed that the data are generated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-02-21 George H. John , Pat Langley

If we have an unbiased estimate of some parameter of interest, then its absolute value is positively biased for the absolute value of the parameter. This bias is large when the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) is small, and it becomes even…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-01 Erik van Zwet , Andrew Gelman

Many imaging systems are used to estimate a vector of parameters associated with the object being imaged. In many cases there are other parameters in the model for the imaging data that are not of interest for the task at hand. We refer to…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2019-02-14 Eric Clarkson

Computing the marginal likelihood (also called the Bayesian model evidence) is an important task in Bayesian model selection, providing a principled quantitative way to compare models. The learned harmonic mean estimator solves the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-22 Alicja Polanska , Matthew A. Price , Alessio Spurio Mancini , Jason D. McEwen