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The Kelly criterion provides a general framework for optimizing the growth rate of an investment portfolio over time by maximizing the expected logarithmic utility of wealth. However, the optimality condition of the Kelly criterion is…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-11-04 Fabrizio Lillo , Piero Mazzarisi , Ioanna-Yvonni Tsaknaki

This paper introduces a new semi-parametric approach to the pricing and risk management of bespoke CDO tranches, with a particular attention to bespokes that need to be mapped onto more than one reference portfolio. The only user input in…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2009-10-15 Igor Halperin

Modern portfolio theory has provided for decades the main framework for optimizing portfolios. Because of its sensitivity to small changes in input parameters, especially expected returns, the mean-variance framework proposed by Markowitz…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2023-09-06 Adil Rengim Cetingoz , Jean-David Fermanian , Olivier Guéant

We introduce a model for the loss distribution of a credit portfolio considering a contagion mechanism for the default of names which is the result of two independent components: an infection attempt generated by defaulting entities and a…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2026-01-22 Gabriele Torri , Rosella Giacometti , Gianluca Farina

This paper addresses allocation methodologies for a risk measure inherited from ruin theory. Specifically, we consider a dynamic value-at-risk (VaR) measure defined as the smallest initial capital needed to ensure that the ultimate ruin…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2021-03-31 Guusje Delsing , Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij , Erik Winands

In this contribution we consider the overall risk given as the sum of random subrisks $\mathbf{X}_j$ in the context of value-at-risk (VaR) based risk calculations. If we assume that the undertaking knows the parametric distribution family…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2017-04-07 Andreas Fröhlich , Annegret Weng

The paper provides a mathematical model and a tool for the focused investing strategy as advocated by Buffett, Munger, and others from this investment community. The approach presented here assumes that the investor's role is to think about…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2024-02-27 Vuko Vukcevic , Robert Keser

We analyze multiline pricing and capital allocation in equilibrium no-arbitrage markets. Existing theories often assume a perfect complete market, but when pricing is linear, there is no diversification benefit from risk pooling and…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-08-31 John A. Major , Stephen J. Mildenhall

We study the risk criterion for investments based on the drawdown from the maximal value of the capital in the past. Depending on investor's risk attitude, thus his risk exposure, we find that the distribution of these drawdowns follows a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-25 Sergei Maslov , Yi-Cheng Zhang

Protecting against cyber-threats is vital for every organization and can be done by investing in cybersecurity controls and purchasing cyber insurance. However, these are interlinked since insurance premiums could be reduced by investing…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-02 Chaitanya Joshi , Jinming Yang , Sergeja Slapnicar , Ryan K L Ko

Recent developments in deep learning techniques have motivated intensive research in machine learning-aided stock trading strategies. However, since the financial market has a highly non-stationary nature hindering the application of…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2020-12-15 Kentaro Imajo , Kentaro Minami , Katsuya Ito , Kei Nakagawa

A quadratic discrete time probabilistic model, for optimal portfolio selection in (re-)insurance is studied. For positive values of underwriting levels, the expected value of the accumulated result is optimized, under constraints on its…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2007-05-23 Erik Taflin

We consider the problem of the statistical uncertainty of the correlation matrix in the optimization of a financial portfolio. We show that the use of clustering algorithms can improve the reliability of the portfolio in terms of the ratio…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Vincenzo Tola , Fabrizio Lillo , Mauro Gallegati , Rosario N. Mantegna

Attempts to allocate capital across a selection of different investments are often hampered by the fact that investors' decisions are made under limited information (no historical return data) and during an extremely limited timeframe.…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2020-04-22 Christoph J. Börner , Ingo Hoffmann , Fabian Poetter , Tim Schmitz

Asset allocation is an investment strategy that aims to balance risk and reward by constantly redistributing the portfolio's assets according to certain goals, risk tolerance, and investment horizon. Unfortunately, there is no simple…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2022-08-16 Ricard Durall

The PCL framework provides a comprehensive climate risk management approach grounded in the assessment of societal values of financial and non-financial loss tolerability. The framework optimizes response action across three main clusters,…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-04-15 Youssef Nassef

To quantify the operational risk capital charge under the current regulatory framework for banking supervision, referred to as Basel II, many banks adopt the Loss Distribution Approach. There are many modeling issues that should be resolved…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2010-06-15 Pavel V. Shevchenko

Managing a portfolio to a risk model can tilt the portfolio toward weaknesses of the model. As a result, the optimized portfolio acquires downside exposure to uncertainty in the model itself, what we call "second order risk." We propose a…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2009-08-19 Peter G. Shepard

Equity risk premium is a central component of every risk and return model in finance and a key input to estimate costs of equity and capital in both corporate finance and valuation. An article by Damodaran examines three broad approaches…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2019-03-20 Enzo Busseti

The investment economy is a main characteristic of prosperous society. The investment portfolio management is a main financial problem, which has to be solved by the investment, commercial and central banks with the application of modern…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2013-02-05 Dimitri O. Ledenyov , Viktor O. Ledenyov